2015-2016 UEFA Europa League Simulation


Original Posting: 6/30/2015

UEFA Europa League – Finals

The Europa League final is set. Below is the projection for the game which will be played on May 18th.

2016 Europa League Final Projection

UEFA Europa League – Semifinals

We are down to four teams with Shakhtar, Sevilla, Villarreal and Liverpool. Based on our simulation, both two-leg matches appear as if they can go either way.

2015-16 Europa League Simulation - Semifinals

UEFA Europa League Semifinal Results
# Result
1
Sevilla Spain advance over Shakhtar Ukraine 5-3 on score differential.
2
Liverpool England advance over Villarreal Spain 3-1 on score differential.

UEFA Europa League – Quarterfinals

The Quarterfinal knockout phase of the 2015-2016 UEFA Europa League tournament begins on April 7th and runs through April 14th. In this phase, each team plays a two leg series with the teams alternating as the home team. Below, we have listed our probabilities to advance to the Semis.

2016 Europa League Quarterfinal Predictions

UEFA Europa League Quarterfinal Results
# Result
1
Sevilla Spain advance over Ath Bilbao Spain 5-4 in penalty shootout (3-3 aggregate).
2
Shakhtar Ukraine advance over Braga Portugal 6-1 on score differential.
3
Liverpool England advance over Dortmund Germany 5-4 on score differential.
4
Villarreal Spain advance over Sparta Prague Czech Republic 6-3 on score differential.

UEFA Europa League – Round of 16

The Round of 16 knockout phase of the 2015-2016 UEFA Europa League tournament begins on March 10th and runs through March 17th. In this phase, each team plays a two leg series with the teams alternating as the home team. Below, we have listed our probabilities to advance to the Quarterfinals.

Europa League 2016 - Odds to Advance to the Quarterfinals

UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Results
# Result
1
Sevilla Spain advance over Basel Switzerland 3-0 on score differential.
2
Dortmund Germany advance over Tottenham England 5-1 on score differential.
3
Braga Portugal advance over Fenerbahce Turkey 4-2 on score differential.
4
Shakhtar Ukraine advance over Anderlecht Belgium 4-1 on score differential.
5
Ath Bilbao Spain advance over Valencia Spain 1-0 on away goals (2-2 aggregate).
6
Liverpool England advance over Manchester United England 3-1 on score differential.
7
Sparta Prague Czech Republic advance over Lazio Italy 4-1 on score differential.
8
Villarreal Spain advance over Bayer Leverkusen Germany 2-0 on score differential.

UEFA Europa League – Round of 32

The Round of 32 knockout phase of the 2015-2016 UEFA Europa League tournament begins on February 16th and runs through February 25th. In this phase, each team plays a two leg series with the teams alternating as the home team. Below, we have listed our probabilities to advance to the Round of 16.

The simulation has been updated to account for the first game result.

Europa League Simulation - Feb 18, 2016

UEFA Europa League Round of 32 Results
# Result
1
Fenerbahce Turkey advance over Lokomotiv Moscow Russia 3-1 on score differential.
2
Anderlecht Belgium advance over Olympiakos Piraeus Greece 3-1 on score differential in extra time.
3
Dortmund Germany advance over FC Porto Portugal 3-0 on score differential.
4
Tottenham England advance over Fiorentina Italy 4-1 on score differential.
5
Manchester United England advance over Midtjylland Denmark 6-3 on score differential.
6
Sevilla Spain advance over Molde Norway 3-1 on score differential.
7
Basel Switzerland advance over St Etienne France 3-2 on away goals (4-4 aggregate).
8
Villarreal Spain advance over Napoli Italy 2-1 on score differential.
9
Liverpool England advance over Augsburg Germany 1-0 on score differential.
10
Lazio Italy advance over Galatasaray Turkey 4-2 on score differential.
11
Ath Bilbao Spain advance over Marseille France 2-1 on score differential.
12
Shakhtar Ukraine advance over Schalke Germany 3-0 on score differential.
13
Braga Portugal advance over Sion Switzerland 4-3 on score differential.
14
Sparta Prague Czech Republic advance over Krasnodar Russia 4-0 on score differential.
15
Bayer Leverkusen Germany advance over Sporting Portugal 4-1 on score differential.
16
Valencia Spain advance over Rapid Vienna Austria 10-0 on score differential.

UEFA Europa League Simulation – Group Stage

The draw is over and the groups are set. After 5,000 simulations, this is where we project out all the teams in the Europa League. We will update this after every two match days. For individual game predictions go to Europa League Game Predictions.

Projection After 4 Rounds

Group A Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Molde Norway
3.3
1.3
1.4
11.4
75.5%
28.9%
Fenerbahce Turkey
2.1
1.4
2.5
8.8
24.5%
47.7%
Ajax Netherlands
1.1
1.4
3.5
6.8
0%
20%
Celtic Scotland
0.5
3
2.5
4
0%
3.4%
Group B Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Liverpool England
2.3
0.3
3.4
10.2
65.1%
29.8%
Sion Switzerland
2.4
1.1
2.5
9.7
34.9%
64.8%
Bordeaux France
0.6
1.9
3.5
5.4
0%
4.5%
Rubin Kazan Russia
0.7
2.7
2.5
4.7
0%
1%
Group C Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Dortmund Germany
4.4
0.3
1.3
14.6
97.9%
2.2%
Krasnodar Russia
2.8
1.8
1.5
9.7
2.1%
96.6%
PAOK Greece
0.7
2
3.3
5.3
0%
1.2%
Gabala Azerbaijan
0.4
4.2
1.5
2.5
0%
0%
Group D Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Napoli Italy
5.1
0.5
0.5
15.7
100%
0%
Midtjylland Denmark
2.5
3
0.5
8
0%
59.8%
Club Brugge Belgium
1.8
2.7
1.6
6.9
0%
40.2%
Legia Poland
0.7
3.9
1.5
3.4
0%
0%
Group E Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Rapid Vienna Austria
4.9
0.7
0.4
15.2
88.2%
12.1%
Villarreal Spain
4.1
1.4
0.5
12.7
11.8%
87.9%
Plzen Czech Republic
1.6
3.8
0.5
5.4
0%
0%
Din. Minsk Belarus
0.4
5.1
0.5
1.7
0%
0%
Group F Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Braga Portugal
3.9
1.6
0.5
12.2
73.1%
17.3%
Marseille France
3.3
2.3
0.4
10.4
16%
58.1%
Liberec Czech Republic
2.4
2.2
1.5
8.6
10.9%
24.5%
Groningen Netherlands
0.5
4.1
1.5
2.9
0%
0%
Group G Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Lazio Italy
3.8
0.7
1.6
12.9
90.2%
7.7%
St Etienne France
2.7
1.7
1.6
9.7
9.8%
80.1%
Dnipro Ukraine
1.8
2.7
1.5
6.8
0%
12.2%
Rosenborg Norway
0.7
3.8
1.5
3.5
0%
0%
Group H Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Lokomotiv Moscow Russia
2.7
0.7
2.6
10.7
65.3%
24.3%
Besiktas Turkey
2
0.6
3.5
9.3
20.1%
59.3%
Sporting Portugal
1.9
2.5
1.6
7.2
14.3%
15%
Skenderbeu Albania
1.4
4.1
0.5
4.7
0.2%
1.4%
Group I Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Basel Switzerland
4
1.5
0.5
12.5
87.7%
11.1%
Fiorentina Italy
3
2.6
0.4
9.3
11.8%
70.4%
Lech Poznan Poland
1.5
2.9
1.6
6.2
0.1%
8.5%
Belenenses Portugal
1.5
3
1.5
5.9
0.3%
10%
Group J Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Tottenham England
2.8
1.6
1.6
9.9
54.4%
32.8%
Monaco France
2
0.5
3.5
9.6
42.2%
49.3%
Anderlecht Belgium
1.6
2.9
1.5
6.3
2.5%
11.5%
Qarabag Azerbaijan
1.5
2.9
1.6
6.1
0.9%
6.4%
Group K Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Schalke Germany
3.3
0.3
2.4
12.2
86.6%
14%
Sparta Prague Czech Republic
2.1
0.5
3.5
9.6
12.6%
77.2%
Asteras Tripolis Greece
1.3
3.2
1.4
5.4
0.7%
7.7%
APOEL Cyprus
1.5
4.1
0.5
4.8
0.1%
1.2%
Group L Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Ath Bilbao Spain
4.1
1.4
0.5
12.8
93.6%
6.5%
Augsburg Germany
2.8
2.7
0.6
8.8
4.5%
48.1%
Partizan Serbia
2.6
2.9
0.5
8.3
1.9%
44.1%
AZ Alkmaar Netherlands
1.6
4
0.4
5.1
0%
1.3%

Projection Before Group Stage Started

The below projections for the Europa League were based on our simulation before Group Play started. For the most up-to-date predictions then one should reference the simulation above.

Group A Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Ajax Netherlands
3.2
1.4
1.4
10.9
50.4%
32.3%
Fenerbahce Turkey
2.8
1.7
1.5
9.9
34.8%
34.8%
Celtic Scotland
2
2.5
1.5
7.5
12.3%
24%
Molde Norway
1.2
3.5
1.3
4.9
2.5%
8.9%
Group B Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Liverpool England
3.7
1
1.3
12.5
76.4%
17.6%
Bordeaux France
2.1
2.3
1.6
7.8
12%
37.6%
Rubin Kazan Russia
1.7
2.7
1.6
6.7
7.3%
24.6%
Sion Switzerland
1.4
3
1.6
5.9
4.3%
20.2%
Group C Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Dortmund Germany
4.6
0.5
0.9
14.6
89.9%
9.7%
Krasnodar Russia
2.6
2.1
1.3
9.1
8.4%
61.9%
PAOK Greece
1.6
3.1
1.3
6.2
1.4%
21.8%
Gabala Azerbaijan
0.9
3.9
1.2
3.8
0.2%
6.6%
Group D Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Napoli Italy
3.6
1.1
1.3
12
67.4%
23.1%
Club Brugge Belgium
2.6
2
1.5
9.2
22.5%
43.4%
Legia Poland
1.7
2.7
1.5
6.7
6.7%
21.1%
Midtjylland Denmark
1.3
3.3
1.4
5.3
3.5%
12.3%
Group E Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Villarreal Spain
3.5
1.2
1.3
11.8
59.2%
29.2%
Rapid Vienna Austria
3
1.7
1.4
10.3
32.7%
43.5%
Plzen Czech Republic
1.8
2.8
1.4
6.9
6.9%
20.5%
Din. Minsk Belarus
1
3.7
1.3
4.3
1.1%
6.8%
Group F Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Groningen Netherlands
1.7
2.9
1.4
6.4
5.3%
22.4%
Marseille France
3.7
0.9
1.3
12.5
76%
16.8%
Liberec Czech Republic
1.6
3
1.4
6.1
5.3%
19.2%
Braga Portugal
2.2
2.3
1.5
8.1
13.3%
41.6%
Group G Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Lazio Italy
2.5
1.9
1.6
9
33.8%
26.7%
St Etienne France
2.3
2.1
1.6
8.5
26.7%
26.5%
Dnipro Ukraine
2.1
2.3
1.6
8
22.7%
25.1%
Rosenborg Norway
1.9
2.6
1.5
7.3
16.8%
21.6%
Group H Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Sporting Portugal
3.1
1.5
1.5
10.6
43.6%
35.2%
Besiktas Turkey
3
1.5
1.5
10.6
43.6%
35.3%
Lokomotiv Moscow Russia
1.9
2.4
1.6
7.4
10.9%
22.8%
Skenderbeu Albania
1
3.6
1.4
4.4
1.8%
6.7%
Group I Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Fiorentina Italy
3.2
1.4
1.4
11.1
48.2%
37.8%
Basel Switzerland
3.2
1.4
1.4
10.9
44.7%
39.5%
Lech Poznan Poland
1.5
3
1.6
5.9
4.6%
14.2%
Belenenses Portugal
1.2
3.3
1.6
5
2.5%
8.5%
Group J Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Monaco France
3.2
1.2
1.5
11.2
57.1%
28.2%
Tottenham England
2.7
1.8
1.6
9.6
31.6%
39.1%
Anderlecht Belgium
1.6
3
1.5
6.1
6.1%
17.2%
Qarabag Azerbaijan
1.4
2.9
1.6
5.9
5.2%
15.5%
Group K Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Schalke Germany
3.3
1.3
1.4
11.4
57.4%
29.4%
Sparta Prague Czech Republic
2.8
1.8
1.5
9.8
30.8%
40.5%
APOEL Cyprus
1.7
2.8
1.5
6.6
8%
18.5%
Asteras Tripolis Greece
1.3
3.3
1.5
5.3
3.8%
11.6%
Group L Projections
Team Wins Losses Ties Points Win Group 2nd in Group
Ath Bilbao Spain
3.6
1.1
1.3
12.2
66.8%
25.5%
Augsburg Germany
2.7
1.8
1.5
9.7
26.1%
46.5%
Partizan Serbia
1.5
3.1
1.4
6
4.1%
15.8%
AZ Alkmaar Netherlands
1.3
3.3
1.4
5.4
2.9%
12.2%

UEFA Europa League Simulation – Qualification – Playoff Round

The Europa League playoff round consists of 44 teams (29 winners from the third round of Europa League and 15 losers from the third round of the Champions League). We simulated the match ups 5,000 times. The results:

2015/2016 UEFA Europa League Playoff Round Leg 2 Simulation

UEFA Europa League Playoffs Round Results
# Result
1
Din. Minsk Belarus advance over Salzburg Austria 3-2 in penalty shootout (2-2 aggregate).
2
Gabala Azerbaijan advance over Panathinaikos Greece 2-0 on away goals (2-2 aggregate).
3
Ajax Netherlands advance over Jablonec Czech Republic 1-0 on score differential.
4
Krasnodar Russia advance over HJK Finland 5-1 on score differential.
5
Liberec Czech Republic advance over Hajduk Split Croatia 2-0 on score differential.
6
St. Liege Belgium advance over Molde Norway 2-1 on away goals (3-3 aggregate).
7
PAOK Greece advance over Brondby Denmark 6-1 on score differential.
8
Sparta Prague Czech Republic advance over Thun Switzerland 6-4 on score differential.
9
Legia Poland advance over Zorya Ukraine 6-2 on score differential.
10
St Etienne France advance over Milsami Moldova 2-1 on score differential.
11
AZ Alkmaar Netherlands advance over Astra Romania 4-3 on score differential.
12
Fenerbahce Turkey advance over Atromitos Greece 4-0 on score differential.
13
Rubin Kazan Russia advance over Rabotnicki FYR Macedonia 2-1 on score differential.
14
Rosenborg Norway advance over Steaua Bucuresti Romania 3-1 on score differential.
15
Qarabag Azerbaijan advance over Young Boys Switzerland 4-0 on score differential.
16
Ath Bilbao Spain advance over Zilina Slovakia 2-1 on away goals (3-3 aggregate).
17
Belenenses Portugal advance over Altach Austria 1-0 on score differential.
18
Bordeaux France advance over K. Almaty Kazakhstan 1-0 on away goals (2-2 aggregate).
19
Dortmund Germany advance over Odd Norway 11-5 on score differential.
20
Plzen Czech Republic advance over Vojvodina Serbia 5-1 on score differential.
21
Lech Poznan Poland advance over Videoton Hungary 4-0 on score differential.
22
Midtjylland Denmark advance over Southampton England 2-1 on score differential.

UEFA Europa League Simulation – Qualification – Third Round

The third round matches have all played the first leg and the games for the second leg are slated for August 6th. We ran our simulation 5,000 times, taking into account the results of the 1st leg matches. The results are below.

UEFA Europa League 2015-2016, 3rd Round Simulation

UEFA Europa League Third Round Results
# Result
1
Jablonec Czech Republic advance over FC Copenhagen Denmark 3-1 on away goals (3-3 aggregate).
2
Altach Austria advance over Guimaraes Portugal 6-2 on score differential.
3
Liberec Czech Republic advance over Shmona Israel 5-1 on score differential.
4
AZ Alkmaar Netherlands advance over Basaksehir Turkey 4-1 on score differential.
5
St Etienne France advance over ASA Targu Mures Romania 4-2 on score differential.
6
Bordeaux France advance over AEK Larnaca Cyprus 4-0 on score differential.
7
Dortmund Germany advance over AC Wolfsberger Austria 6-0 on score differential.
8
Atromitos Greece advance over AIK Sweden 4-1 on score differential.
9
Ath Bilbao Spain advance over Inter Baku Azerbaijan 2-0 on score differential.
10
Belenenses Portugal advance over Goteborg Sweden 2-1 on score differential.
11
Brondby Denmark advance over Omonia Cyprus 2-0 on away goals (2-2 aggregate).
12
Zorya Ukraine advance over Charleroi Belgium 5-0 on score differential.
13
Rosenborg Norway advance over Debrecen Hungary 6-3 on score differential.
14
Odd Norway advance over Elfsborg Sweden 3-2 on score differential.
15
Gabala Azerbaijan advance over Apollon Cyprus 2-1 on score differential.
16
Hajduk Split Croatia advance over Stromsgodset Norway 4-0 on score differential.
17
K. Almaty Kazakhstan advance over Aberdeen Scotland 3-2 on score differential.
18
Krasnodar Russia advance over Slovan Bratislava Slovakia 5-3 on score differential.
19
Legia Poland advance over Kukesi Albania 4-0 on score differential.
20
PAOK Greece advance over Trnava Slovakia 2-1 on score differential.
21
Rabotnicki FYR Macedonia advance over Trabzonspor Turkey 2-1 on score differential in extra time.
22
Vojvodina Serbia advance over Sampdoria Italy 4-2 on score differential.
23
St. Liege Belgium advance over Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-1 on score differential.
24
Rubin Kazan Russia advance over Sturm Graz Austria 4-3 on score differential.
25
Thun Switzerland advance over Vaduz Liechtenstein 2-0 on away goals (2-2 aggregate).
26
Astra Romania advance over West Ham England 4-3 on score differential.
27
Zilina Slovakia advance over Vorskla Poltava Ukraine 1-0 on away goals in extra time (3-3 aggregate).
28
Din. Minsk Belarus advance over Zurich Switzerland 2-1 on score differential in extra time.
29
Southampton England advance over Vitesse Netherlands 5-0 on score differential.

UEFA Europa League Simulation – Qualification – Second Round

With the first round of play over, we have now done 5,000 simulations on the second round. The first matches were played on July 16th. Now that the first leg has been played, we have updated the odds of advancing to the next round. The column furthest to the right shows the original odds of advancing to the third round the of the Europa League tournament before the first leg was played.

UEFA Europa Cup Simulation -Round 2 - After Leg 1

The second round of the 2015-2016 UEFA Europa League tournament is completed. The full results of the thirty-three home and home matches have been listed below. The winners have all advanced to the third round of the tournament.

UEFA Europa League Second Round Results
# Result
1
Din. Minsk Belarus advance over Cherno More Bulgaria 5-1 on score differential.
2
Thun Switzerland advance over H. Beer Sheva Israel 3-2 on score differential.
3
AIK Sweden advance over Shirak Gyumri Armenia 4-0 on score differential.
4
Apollon Cyprus advance over Trakai Lithuania 4-0 on score differential.
5
Brondby Denmark advance over Beroe Bulgaria 1-0 on score differential.
6
Charleroi Belgium advance over Beitar Jerusalem Israel 9-2 on score differential.
7
Gabala Azerbaijan advance over Cukaricki Serbia 2-1 on score differential.
8
Zilina Slovakia advance over Dacia Chisinau Moldova 6-3 on score differential.
9
FC Copenhagen Denmark advance over Newtown Wales 5-1 on score differential.
10
Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina advance over Ferencvaros Hungary 3-0 on score differential.
11
Inter Baku Azerbaijan advance over Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4-3 on score differential in extra time.
12
Astra Romania advance over Inverness Scotland 1-0 on score differential.
13
Omonia Cyprus advance over Jagiellonia Poland 1-0 on score differential.
14
Rabotnicki FYR Macedonia advance over Jelgava Latvia 2-1 on score differential.
15
K. Almaty Kazakhstan advance over Alashkert Armenia 4-2 on score differential.
16
Hajduk Split Croatia advance over Koper Slovenia 6-4 on score differential.
17
Rosenborg Norway advance over KR Reykjavik Iceland 4-0 on score differential.
18
Kukesi Albania advance over Mladost Podgorica Montenegro 4-3 on score differential.
19
Legia Poland advance over FC Botosani Romania 4-0 on score differential.
20
PAOK Greece advance over Lok. Zagreb Croatia 7-2 on score differential.
21
Stromsgodset Norway advance over Mlada Boleslav Czech Republic 2-1 on away goals (2-2 aggregate).
22
Elfsborg Sweden advance over Randers FC Denmark 1-0 on score differential in extra time.
23
Aberdeen Scotland advance over Rijeka Croatia 5-2 on score differential.
24
AC Wolfsberger Austria advance over Shakhtyor Soligorsk Belarus 3-0 on score differential.
25
Odd Norway advance over Shamrock Rovers Ireland 4-1 on score differential.
26
Debrecen Hungary advance over Skonto Latvia 11-4 on score differential.
27
Goteborg Sweden advance over Slask Wroclaw Poland 2-0 on score differential.
28
Slovan Bratislava Slovakia advance over UC Dublin Ireland 6-1 on score differential.
29
Trabzonspor Turkey advance over Differdange Luxembourg 3-1 on score differential.
30
Trnava Slovakia advance over Linfield Northern Ireland 5-2 on score differential.
31
Vaduz Liechtenstein advance over Kalju Estonia 5-1 on score differential.
32
Vojvodina Serbia advance over Spartaks Latvia 4-1 on score differential.
33
West Ham England advance over Birkirkara Malta 5-3 on penalties (1-1 aggregate).

UEFA Europa League Simulation- Qualification – First Round

2015-2016 Europa League Qualification Simulation - Round 1

The first round of the 2015-2016 UEFA Europa League tournament is completed. The full results of the fifty-one home and home matches have been listed below. The winners have all advanced to the second round of the tournament.

UEFA Europa League First Round Results
# Result
1
Lok. Zagreb Croatia advance over Airbus Wales 5-3 on score differential.
2
Kalju Estonia advance over Aktobe Kazakhstan 1-0 on score differential.
3
Alashkert Armenia advance over St Johnstone Scotland 1-0 on away goals (2-2 aggregate).
4
Beroe Bulgaria advance over Atlantas Lithuania 5-1 on score differential.
5
Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina advance over Balzan Youths Malta 3-0 on score differential.
6
Birkirkara Malta advance over Ulisses Yerevan Armenia 3-1 on score differential.
7
Brondby Denmark advance over Juvenes/Dogana San Marino 11-0 on score differential.
8
Apollon Cyprus advance over Ceadir Lunga Moldova 4-0 on score differential.
9
Slask Wroclaw Poland advance over Celje Slovenia 4-1 on score differential.
10
Slovan Bratislava Slovakia advance over College Europa Gibraltar 9-0 on score differential.
11
KR Reykjavik Iceland advance over Cork City Ireland 3-2 on score differential in extra time.
12
K. Almaty Kazakhstan advance over Crvena Zvezda Serbia 4-1 on score differential.
13
Debrecen Hungary advance over Sutjeska Montenegro 3-2 on score differential.
14
Differdange Luxembourg advance over Bala Wales 4-3 on score differential.
15
Omonia Cyprus advance over Dinamo Batumi Georgia 2-1 on score differential.
16
Gabala Azerbaijan advance over Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia 3-2 on score differential.
17
Cukaricki Serbia advance over Domzale Slovenia 1-0 on score differential.
18
FC Botosani Romania advance over Tskhinvali Georgia 4-2 on score differential.
19
Rabotnicki FYR Macedonia advance over Flora Estonia 2-1 on score differential.
20
Ferencvaros Hungary advance over G.A. Eagles Netherlands 5-2 on score differential.
21
Shakhtyor Soligorsk Belarus advance over Glenavon Northern Ireland 5-1 on score differential.
22
Zilina Slovakia advance over Glentoran Northern Ireland 7-1 on score differential.
23
Jelgava Latvia advance over Litex Lovech Bulgaria 2-1 on away goals (3-3 aggregate).
24
Jagiellonia Poland advance over Kruoja Lithuania 9-0 on score differential.
25
Kukesi Albania advance over Zhodino Belarus 2-0 on score differential.
26
Vaduz Liechtenstein advance over La Fiorita San Marino 10-1 on score differential.
27
Inter Baku Azerbaijan advance over Laci Albania 1-0 on away goals (1-1 aggregate).
28
Elfsborg Sweden advance over Lahti Finland 7-2 on score differential.
29
West Ham England advance over Lusitanos Andorra 4-0 on score differential.
30
Mladost Podgorica Montenegro advance over Neftci Baku Azerbaijan 2-1 on away goals (3-3 aggregate).
31
Vojvodina Serbia advance over MTK Budapest Hungary 3-1 on score differential.
32
Newtown Wales advance over Valletta Malta 4-2 on score differential.
33
Shamrock Rovers Ireland advance over Niedercorn Luxembourg 3-0 on score differential.
34
Linfield Northern Ireland advance over NSI Runavik Faroe Islands 5-4 on score differential.
35
Trnava Slovakia advance over Olimpic Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 on away goals (1-1 aggregate).
36
Beitar Jerusalem Israel advance over Ordabasy Kazakhstan 2-1 on score differential.
37
Stromsgodset Norway advance over Partizani Albania 4-1 on score differential.
38
Dacia Chisinau Moldova advance over Renova FYR Macedonia 5-1 on score differential.
39
Randers FC Denmark advance over Sant Julia Andorra 4-0 on score differential.
40
Odd Norway advance over Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova 3-0 on score differential.
41
Shirak Gyumri Armenia advance over Zrinjski Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-2 on score differential.
42
Aberdeen Scotland advance over Shkendija FYR Macedonia 1-0 on away goals (1-1 aggregate).
43
Hajduk Split Croatia advance over Sillamäe Kalev Estonia 7-3 on score differential.
44
Hafnarfjordur Iceland advance over SJK Finland 2-0 on score differential.
45
Skonto Latvia advance over St. Patricks Ireland 4-1 on score differential.
46
Spartaks Latvia advance over Buducnost Montenegro 3-1 on score differential.
47
Trakai Lithuania advance over HB Torshavn Faroe Islands 7-1 on score differential.
48
UC Dublin Ireland advance over Dudelange Luxembourg 1-0 on away goals (2-2 aggregate).
49
Rosenborg Norway advance over Vikingur Faroe Islands 2-0 on score differential.
50
Koper Slovenia advance over Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland 3-2 on score differential.
51
AIK Sweden advance over VPS Finland 6-2 on score differential.