2016 NCAA Basketball Conference Championships

The NCAA basketball conference tournaments are starting up on March 1st. Here we are providing a broken down look at each of the conference tournaments and the likely winners of each of the conferences. We will be updating this over the course of the first two weeks of March as the major conferences set their tournament schedules. For the predictions for each of the individual games, go to NCAA Basketball Predictions. And for our current projected bracket seeding for the NCAA tournament and NIT, go to Bracketology.

Note that we are locking the projections in at the start of each tournament. As noted, we will add tournaments as the seedings become available.

Jump to Conference
American	Atlantic Coast (ACC)	America East	Atlantic 10 (A10)
Atlantic Sun	Big 12	Big East	Big Sky
Big South	Big Ten	Big West	Conference USA (CUSA)
Colonial	Horizon	Ivy	MAAC
Mid-American (MAC)	Mid-Eastern Athletic (MEAC)	Missouri Valley (MVC)	Mountain West (MWC)
Northeast (NEC)	Ohio Valley (OVC)	Pac-12	Patriot
Southeastern (SEC)	Southern	Southland	Summit
Sun Belt	Southwestern Athletic (SWAC)	Western Athletic (WAC)	West Coast (WCC)

American Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Temple
Tournament Site: Amway Arena (Orlando, FL)
First Round: March 4th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 5th, 2016
Semifinals: March 6th, 2016
Finals: March 7th, 2016

The American Conference Tournament features an 10-team playoff with a standard bracket where the top six seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals. The winner of the 7/10 game plays the 1-seed in the Quarterfinals, while the winner of the 8/9 game plays the 2-seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Temple	100%	84.2%	21.5%	9.3%
2	Houston	100%	79.9%	33.5%	11.7%
3	Tulsa	100%	68.2%	45.4%	18.4%
4	Cincinnati	100%	49.4%	37.7%	25.5%
5	Connecticut	100%	50.6%	39.4%	28%
6	Memphis	100%	31.8%	17.4%	6%
7	UCF	60.5%	14.3%	3.1%	0.6%
8	East Carolina	57.3%	10%	0.8%	0.2%
9	South Florida	42.7%	5.8%	0.6%	0.2%
10	Tulane	39.5%	5.8%	0.6%	0.1%

2016 American Conference Champion: Connecticut

Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: North Carolina
Tournament Site: Verizon Center (Washington, DC)
First Round: March 8th, 2016
Second Round: March 9th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament features an 14-team playoff with a bracket where the top four seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals and the 5th through 10th seed get a bye to the 2nd round. There are two first round matches that pit the 11/14 seeds and 12/13 seeds.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	2nd Rd	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	North Carolina	100%	100%	78.1%	49.8%	28.5%
2	Virginia	100%	100%	80.9%	50.9%	26.6%
3	Miami FL	100%	100%	81.4%	38.3%	19.5%
4	Notre Dame	100%	100%	36.3%	10.9%	4.2%
5	Duke	100%	92.5%	62.4%	30.9%	15.8%
6	Virginia Tech	100%	39%	5.2%	1%	0.1%
7	Clemson	100%	62.5%	12.2%	4.6%	1.3%
8	Pittsburgh	100%	60.7%	14.7%	5.7%	1.6%
9	Syracuse	100%	39.3%	7.2%	2.4%	0.9%
10	Georgia Tech	100%	37.5%	6.9%	1.8%	0.4%
11	Florida St	92.4%	56.5%	13.2%	3.4%	1%
12	NC State	72.7%	5%	1%	0.3%	0.1%
13	Wake Forest	27.3%	2.5%	0.3%	0%	0%
14	Boston College	7.6%	4.5%	0.2%	0%	0%

2016 ACC Champion: North Carolina

America East Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Stony Brook
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 2nd, 2016
Semifinals: March 6th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The America East Conference features an 8-team playoff with a standard bracket. The games are played at the home site of the team that has the higher seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Stony Brook	96.6%	83.6%	61.5%
2	Albany NY	94.5%	51.1%	20.8%
3	Vermont	93.7%	47.7%	14.5%
4	New Hampshire	86.7%	14.8%	3.1%
5	Binghamton	13.3%	0.7%	0.1%
6	Maine	6.3%	0.5%	0%
7	Hartford	5.5%	0.7%	0%
8	UMBC	3.4%	0.9%	0%

2016 America East Champion: Stony Brook

Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Dayton
Tournament Site: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, NY)
First Round: March 9th, 2016
Second Round: March 10th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 11th, 2016
Semifinals: March 12th, 2016
Finals: March 13th, 2016

The Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament features an 14-team playoff with a bracket where the top four seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals and the 5th through 10th seed get a bye to the 2nd round. There are two first round matches that pit the 11/14 seeds and 12/13 seeds.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	2nd Rd	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Dayton	100%	100%	71.4%	38%	20.6%
2	VA Commonwealth	100%	100%	74.4%	54%	31.3%
3	St Bonaventure	100%	100%	60.7%	21.4%	7%
4	St Joseph’s PA	100%	100%	63%	34.7%	20%
5	G Washington	100%	88.4%	35.3%	18%	10.1%
6	Davidson	100%	67%	29.7%	9%	3.6%
7	Rhode Island	100%	81.7%	23.7%	13.3%	4.4%
8	Fordham	100%	40.8%	8.1%	1.9%	0.1%
9	Richmond	100%	59.2%	20.5%	7.2%	2.4%
10	Massachusetts	100%	18.3%	1.9%	0.6%	0%
11	Duquesne	80.8%	26.3%	8.5%	1.6%	0.5%
12	George Mason	63.6%	7.2%	1.1%	0.1%	0%
13	St Louis	36.4%	4.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0%
14	La Salle	19.2%	6.7%	1.1%	0.1%	0%

2016 Atlantic 10 Champion: St. Joseph’s

Atlantic Sun Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: North Florida
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 1st, 2016
Semifinals: March 3rd, 2016
Finals: March 6th, 2016

The Atlantic Sun features an 8-team playoff with a standard bracket. The games are played at the home site of the team that has the higher seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	North Florida	90.7%	66.3%	50%
2	NJIT	85.2%	57.5%	25.7%
3	Jacksonville	57.3%	26.6%	7.1%
4	FL Gulf Coast	68.2%	24.4%	10.1%
5	Kennesaw	31.8%	7.7%	3.3%
6	Lipscomb	42.7%	10.8%	2.6%
7	Stetson	14.8%	5.1%	0.8%
8	SC Upstate	9.3%	1.6%	0.4%

2016 Atlantic Sun Champion: Florida Gulf Coast

Big 12 Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Temple
Tournament Site: Sprint Center (Kansas City, MO)
First Round: March 9th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Big 12 Conference Tournament features an 10-team playoff with a standard bracket where the top six seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals. The winner of the 7/10 game plays the 1-seed in the Quarterfinals, while the winner of the 8/9 game plays the 2-seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Kansas	100%	83.8%	61.2%	36.5%
2	West Virginia	100%	77.6%	41.5%	21.5%
3	Oklahoma	100%	57.3%	33%	18.3%
4	Texas	100%	51%	16.6%	6.4%
5	Baylor	100%	49%	17.4%	5.9%
6	Iowa St	100%	42.7%	20.9%	9%
7	Texas Tech	77%	20.5%	4.5%	1%
8	Kansas St	64.3%	12.1%	3.7%	1%
9	Oklahoma St	35.7%	4.1%	1.1%	0.4%
10	TCU	23%	1.9%	0.1%	0%

2016 Big 12 Champion: Kansas

Big East Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Villanova
Tournament Site: Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)
First Round: March 9th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Big East Conference Tournament features an 10-team playoff with a standard bracket where the top six seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals. The winner of the 7/10 game plays the 1-seed in the Quarterfinals, while the winner of the 8/9 game plays the 2-seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Villanova	100%	86.2%	68.8%	48%
2	Xavier	100%	85.5%	59.8%	28.4%
3	Seton Hall	100%	61.6%	24.2%	7.3%
4	Providence	100%	40.1%	8%	2.8%
5	Butler	100%	59.9%	17.1%	7.3%
6	Creighton	100%	38.4%	11.3%	3.7%
7	Marquette	81.8%	13.8%	4.6%	1%
8	Georgetown	82.8%	12.8%	5.8%	1.4%
9	Depaul	17.2%	1%	0.3%	0.1%
10	St John’s	18.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0%

2016 Big East Champion: Seton Hall

Big Sky Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Weber St
Tournament Site: Reno Events Center (Reno, NV)
First Round: March 8th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Big Sky Conference features an 12-team playoff with a standard bracket. The first round will have four games that match the 5/12 seed, 6/11 seed, the 7/10 seed and the 8/9 seed. The winners of the first round games get a day off, but then must play the top four seeds which all have byes into the Quarterfinals.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Weber St	100%	81.1%	64%	40%
2	Montana	100%	78%	50.3%	27.4%
3	Idaho	100%	48.3%	18.8%	7.3%
4	Idaho St	100%	40%	10%	2.4%
5	North Dakota	86.8%	55.8%	17.5%	7.8%
6	E Washington	90.7%	50.4%	24.3%	10.3%
7	Montana St	61.4%	13.6%	4.2%	1.1%
8	Portland St	68.9%	14.8%	6.9%	2.7%
9	N Colorado	31.1%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
10	CS Sacramento	38.6%	8.4%	2.3%	0.6%
11	Northern Arizona	9.3%	1.3%	0.1%	0.1%
12	Southern Utah	13.2%	4.2%	0.5%	0.1%

2016 Big Sky Champion: Weber State

Big South Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: High Point
Tournament Site: Pope Center/Gore Arena (Buies Creek, NC)
First Round: March 3rd, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 4th, 2016
Semifinals: March 5th, 2016
Finals: March 6th, 2016

The Big South Conference features an 11-team playoff with a standard bracket. The first round will have three games that match the 6/11 seed, the 7/10 seed and the 8/9 seed, while the top five seeds all have byes into the Quarterfinals.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	High Point	100%	84.4%	43.1%	26%
2	Winthrop	100%	70.2%	43.3%	19.9%
3	Coastal Car	100%	72.4%	36.2%	16.5%
4	UNC Asheville	100%	82.8%	48.1%	29.7%
5	Liberty	100%	17.2%	5.2%	1.3%
6	Gardner Webb	65.7%	21.9%	7.8%	2.5%
7	Radford	77.3%	26%	10.8%	2.8%
8	Longwood	45.8%	6.5%	1.6%	0.6%
9	Charleston So	54.2%	9.1%	2%	0.3%
10	Presbyterian	22.7%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
11	Campbell	34.3%	5.7%	0.8%	0.2%

2016 Big South Champion: UNC Asheville

Big Ten Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Indiana
Tournament Site: Bankers Life Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN)
First Round: March 9th, 2016
Second Round: March 10th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 11th, 2016
Semifinals: March 12th, 2016
Finals: March 13th, 2016

The Big Ten Conference Tournament features an 14-team playoff with a bracket where the top four seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals and the 5th through 10th seed get a bye to the 2nd round. There are two first round matches that pit the 11/14 seeds and 12/13 seeds.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	2nd Rd	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Indiana	100%	100%	71.6%	40.8%	16.8%
2	Michigan St	100%	100%	86.9%	60.2%	41.1%
3	Maryland	100%	100%	64.9%	26.9%	12.5%
4	Purdue	100%	100%	52.4%	25.5%	11.2%
5	Iowa	100%	88.3%	45.7%	23.9%	10.4%
6	Wisconsin	100%	80.3%	32.3%	9.5%	4.2%
7	Ohio St	100%	76.8%	11.5%	2.8%	0.6%
8	Michigan	100%	69.3%	22.3%	8.1%	2.6%
9	Northwestern	100%	30.7%	6.1%	1.4%	0.3%
10	Penn St	100%	23.2%	1.6%	0.1%	0.1%
11	Nebraska	94.9%	18.4%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%
12	Illinois	67.7%	9.4%	1.6%	0.2%	0.1%
13	Minnesota	32.3%	2.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0%
14	Rutgers	5.1%	1.3%	0%	0%	0%

2016 Big Ten Champion: Michigan State

Big West Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Hawaii
Tournament Site: Honda Center (Anaheim, CA)
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Big West Conference Tournament features an 8-team playoff with a standard bracket.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Hawaii	85%	59.8%	37.7%
2	UC Irvine	77.3%	46.6%	24.8%
3	Long Beach St	75.9%	38.9%	16.1%
4	Santa Barbara	82.3%	31.9%	15.3%
5	San Diego	17.7%	2.9%	0.6%
6	UC Riverside	24.1%	5.9%	1.3%
7	Cal Poly SLO	22.7%	8.6%	3.1%
8	San Francisco	15%	5.4%	1.1%

2016 Big West Champion: Hawaii

Conference USA Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: UAB
Tournament Site: Bartow Arena (1st Round)/Legacy Arena (Birmingham, AL)
First Round: March 8th, 2016
Second Round: March 9th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Conference USA Tournament features an 13-team playoff with a bracket where the top four seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals and the 5th through 11th seed get a bye to the 2nd round. There is one first round match up between the 12/13 seeds that is played at Bartow Arena.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	2nd Rd	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	UAB	100%	100%	75.3%	43.5%	27.4%
2	MTSU	100%	100%	64.1%	32.5%	14.3%
3	Marshall	100%	100%	70.5%	42.6%	21.9%
4	Louisiana Tech	100%	100%	51.8%	23.1%	11.7%
5	Old Dominion	100%	89.2%	47.2%	23%	12.2%
6	UTEP	100%	62.8%	18.7%	7.1%	2.2%
7	Charlotte	100%	75.5%	29.7%	12%	4.3%
8	WKU	100%	82.1%	22.3%	9.6%	4%
9	North Texas	100%	17.9%	2.4%	0.5%	0.2%
10	Rice	100%	24.5%	6.2%	2.2%	0.4%
11	Florida Intl	100%	37.2%	10.8%	3.6%	1.4%
12	FL Atlantic	73.1%	8.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0%
13	UT San Antonio	26.9%	2.4%	0.1%	0%	0%

2016 CUSA Champion: Middle Tenn St.

Colonial Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Hofstra
Tournament Site: Royal Farms Arena (Baltimore, MD)
First Round: March 4th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 5th, 2016
Semifinals: March 6th, 2016
Finals: March 7th, 2016

The Colonial features an 10-team playoff with a standard bracket where the top six seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals. The winner of the 7/10 game plays the 1-seed in the Quarterfinals, while the winner of the 8/9 game plays the 2-seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Hofstra	100%	71.2%	38.2%	22.9%
2	UNC Wilmington	100%	70.9%	43.2%	23.7%
3	Towson	100%	54.6%	25.1%	9.7%
4	James Madison	100%	52.1%	26.6%	14.9%
5	William & Mary	100%	47.9%	25.2%	13.8%
6	Northeastern	100%	45.4%	19.4%	7.6%
7	Col Charleston	79.8%	26%	11.8%	3.5%
8	Elon	74.2%	24.6%	9.2%	3.5%
9	Drexel	25.8%	4.2%	0.8%	0.3%
10	Delaware	20.2%	3.1%	0.5%	0.1%

2016 Colonial Champion: UNC Wilmington

Horizon Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Valparaiso
Tournament Site: Joe Louis Arena (Detroit, MI)
First Round: March 5th, 2016
Second Round: March 6th, 2016
Semifinals: March 7th, 2016
Finals: March 8th, 2016

The Horizon Conference Tournament features an 10-team playoff with a very unique bracket. In this tournament, the top two seeds get a bye all the way to the Semifinals, while the third through tenth seeds have to battle it out starting in the First Round. This gives the top seeds a major advantage as can be seen by the projected results of the tournament.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	2nd R	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Valparaiso	100%	100%	80.3%	58.8%
2	Oakland	100%	100%	73.6%	28.7%
3	Wright St	90%	53.8%	15.5%	3.1%
4	WI Green Bay	80.6%	41.8%	8.4%	2.4%
5	WI Milwaukee	77.8%	47.2%	10.9%	4.4%
6	Detroit	78.9%	39.7%	10.2%	2.5%
7	Youngstown St	21.1%	4.6%	0.6%	0.1%
8	N Kentucky	22.2%	7.6%	0.3%	0%
9	Cleveland St	19.4%	3.4%	0.1%	0%
10	IL Chicago	10%	1.9%	0.1%	0%

2016 Horizon League Champion: Green Bay

Ivy League Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Yale
The Ivy League does not hold a conference tournament. The regular season Ivy League champion is awarded an automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament.

2016 Ivy League Champion: Yale

MAAC Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Monmouth
Tournament Site: Times Union Center (Albany, NY)
First Round: March 3rd, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 4th, 2016
Semifinals: March 5th, 2016
Finals: March 6th, 2016

The MAAC features an 11-team playoff with a standard bracket. The first round will have three games that match the 6/11 seed, the 7/10 seed and the 8/9 seed, while the top five seeds all have byes into the Quarterfinals.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Monmouth NJ	100%	85.9%	72.1%	45.7%
2	Iona	100%	79.8%	49.5%	26.1%
3	Siena	100%	79.4%	38.4%	16.6%
4	St Peter’s	100%	47.1%	10.1%	2.8%
5	Fairfield	100%	52.9%	11.7%	3.8%
6	Manhattan	62.3%	15.1%	3.3%	0.6%
7	Canisius	74%	17.7%	7%	2.1%
8	Rider	69.6%	11.6%	5.5%	1.8%
9	Quinnipiac	30.4%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
10	Niagara	26%	2.5%	0.5%	0.2%
11	Marist	37.7%	5.5%	1.3%	0.2%

2016 MAAC Champion: Iona

MAC Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Akron
Tournament Site: Campus Sites (1st Round), Quicken Loans Arena (Cleveland, OH)
First Round: March 7th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The MAC Conference features an 12-team playoff with a standard bracket. The first round will have four games that match the 5/12 seed, 6/11 seed, the 7/10 seed and the 8/9 seed and these games will be played at the home sites of the higher seed. The top four seeds all have byes into the Quarterfinals. The Quarterfinals, Semifinals and Finals will all be played at Quicken Loans Arena.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Akron	100%	65.5%	44.1%	27.7%
2	Ohio	100%	62.1%	32.8%	16%
3	Buffalo	100%	55.8%	29.3%	13.6%
4	C Michigan	100%	64.2%	27.3%	15.3%
5	Kent	71.6%	29%	11%	4.1%
6	Ball St	81.5%	39.8%	18.9%	8.1%
7	N Illinois	66.8%	27%	13.3%	5.1%
8	E Michigan	47.2%	14.7%	6.7%	3.4%
9	Toledo	52.8%	19.8%	9.3%	4.6%
10	W Michigan	33.2%	10.9%	4.1%	1.1%
11	Miami OH	18.5%	4.4%	1.6%	0.7%
12	Bowling Green	28.4%	6.8%	1.6%	0.3%

2016 MAC Champion: Buffalo

MEAC Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Hampton
Tournament Site: Scope Arena (Norfolk, NC)
First Round: March 7th, March 8th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 9th, 2016, March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The MEAC Conference features an 12-team playoff with a standard bracket. The first round will have four games that match the 5/12 seed, 6/11 seed, the 7/10 seed and the 8/9 seed, while the top four seeds all have byes into the Quarterfinals.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Hampton	100%	67.9%	45.8%	28.8%
2	Norfolk St	100%	64.4%	36.8%	21.4%
3	S Carolina St	100%	69.6%	38.7%	20.2%
4	Bethune-Cookman	100%	52.2%	20.9%	8.4%
5	Savannah St	75.2%	40%	16%	5.6%
6	NC A&T	50%	14.5%	5.7%	1.4%
7	NC Central	58.5%	21.3%	8.6%	3.1%
8	MD E Shore	43%	12.7%	5.7%	1.7%
9	Morgan St	57%	19.4%	10.4%	5.1%
10	Howard	41.5%	14.3%	4.9%	2.1%
11	Coppin St	50%	15.9%	5.3%	1.9%
12	Delaware St	24.8%	7.8%	1.2%	0.3%

2016 MEAC Champion: Hampton

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Wichita St
Tournament Site: Scotttrade Center (St. Louis, MO)
First Round: March 3rd, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 4th, 2016
Semifinals: March 5th, 2016
Finals: March 6th, 2016

The Missouri Valley Conference features an 10-team playoff with a standard bracket where the top six seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals. The winner of the 7/10 game plays the 1-seed in the Quarterfinals, while the winner of the 8/9 game plays the 2-seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Wichita St	100%	94.3%	81.5%	66.8%
2	Evansville	100%	87.9%	58.3%	16.9%
3	Illinois St	100%	62.2%	27%	5.1%
4	Northern Iowa	100%	67.4%	13.4%	7.3%
5	S Illinois	100%	32.6%	3.3%	1.2%
6	Indiana St	100%	37.8%	10.9%	1.8%
7	Missouri St	59.6%	7.2%	2.4%	0.2%
8	Loyola-Chicago	84.8%	5.5%	1.8%	0.6%
9	Bradley	15.2%	0.2%	0%	0%
10	Drake	40.4%	4.9%	1.4%	0.1%

2016 Missouri Valley Conference Champion: Northern Iowa

Mountain West Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: San Diego St
Tournament Site: Thomas & Mack Center (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 9th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Mountain West Conference Tournament features an 11-team playoff with a standard bracket. The first round will have three games that match the 6/11 seed, the 7/10 seed and the 8/9 seed, while the top five seeds all have byes into the Quarterfinals.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	San Diego St	100%	78.1%	55.4%	32.7%
2	Fresno St	100%	45.9%	17.8%	5.9%
3	Boise St	100%	78.8%	51.3%	28.5%
4	New Mexico	100%	59%	22.5%	11.3%
5	Nevada	100%	41%	13.4%	4.5%
6	Colorado St	73.9%	18.8%	6.2%	2.3%
7	UNLV	83.2%	49.7%	23.4%	11%
8	Wyoming	40.2%	8.1%	2.4%	1%
9	Utah St	59.8%	13.8%	6.3%	2.5%
10	Air Force	16.8%	4.4%	0.6%	0.1%
11	San Jose St	26.1%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%

2016 Mountain West Champion: Fresno State

Northeast Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Wagner
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 2nd, 2016
Semifinals: March 5th, 2016
Finals: March 8th, 2016

The Northeast Conference features an 8-team playoff with a standard bracket. The games are played at the home site of the team that has the higher seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Wagner	81.9%	61.4%	48.2%
2	F Dickinson	68%	36.8%	13.8%
3	Sacred Heart	54.3%	31.1%	10.8%
4	St Francis NY	60.9%	20.5%	9.2%
5	Mt St Mary’s	39.1%	11.9%	5.7%
6	Long Island	45.7%	17.5%	6.1%
7	St Francis PA	32%	14.6%	4.4%
8	Robert Morris	18.1%	6.2%	1.8%

2016 Northeast Champion: Fairleigh Dickinson

Ohio Valley Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Belmont
Tournament Site: Nashville Municipal Auditorium (Nashville, TN)
First Round: March 2nd, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 3rd, 2016
Semifinals: March 4th, 2016
Finals: March 5th, 2016

The Ohio Valley Conference features an 8-team playoff with a non-standard bracket. In the first round, the 5-seed plays the 8-seed and the 6-seed plays the 7-seed. The third and fourth seed receive byes into the Quarterfinals. The 3-seed plays the winner of the 6/7 match up, while the 4-seed plays the winner of the 5/8 match up. The top two seeds receive byes into the Semifinals and only need to win two games to claim the championship.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Belmont	100%	100%	71.4%	45.5%
2	TN Martin	100%	100%	31.8%	10%
3	Morehead St	100%	65.5%	45.9%	23.7%
4	Tennessee St	100%	50.2%	16.1%	6.3%
5	Tennessee Tech	69.5%	37.6%	11.3%	4.3%
6	Murray St	74%	29.7%	20.4%	9.5%
7	E Illinois	26%	4.8%	1.9%	0.5%
8	Austin Peay	30.5%	12.2%	1.2%	0.2%

2016 Ohio Valley Conference Champion: Austin Peay

Pac-12 Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Oregon
Tournament Site: MGM Grand (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 9th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Pac-12 Conference features an 12-team playoff with a standard bracket. The first round will have four games that match the 5/12 seed, 6/11 seed, the 7/10 seed and the 8/9 seed. The winners of the first round games get a day off, but then must play the top four seeds which all have byes into the Quarterfinals.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Oregon	100%	76.2%	38.3%	22.1%
2	Utah	100%	68.2%	39%	17.7%
3	California	100%	74.5%	41.1%	19.7%
4	Arizona	100%	78.1%	47.9%	29.6%
5	Colorado	88.8%	21.5%	7.4%	2.6%
6	Oregon St	64.3%	17.3%	5.5%	1.5%
7	USC	62.6%	19.9%	8.5%	3.4%
8	Stanford	55.6%	12.6%	3.4%	0.9%
9	Washington	44.4%	11.2%	2.8%	1%
10	UCLA	37.4%	11.9%	3.4%	0.9%
11	Arizona St	35.7%	8.2%	2.5%	0.5%
12	Washington St	11.2%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

2016 Pac-12 Champion: Oregon

Patriot League Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Bucknell
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
First Round: March 1st, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 3rd, 2016
Semifinals: March 6th, 2016
Finals: March 9th, 2016

The Patriot League Conference features an 10-team playoff with a standard bracket where the top six seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals. The games are played at the home site of the team that has the higher seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Bucknell	100%	83.9%	62.1%	41.2%
2	Lehigh	100%	67.2%	46.3%	22.8%
3	Boston Univ	100%	93.7%	39.4%	16.8%
4	Army	100%	62.9%	21.8%	8.6%
5	Colgate	100%	37.1%	11.5%	4.1%
6	American Univ	100%	6.3%	0.5%	0.1%
7	Navy	85.6%	30.8%	13%	5.4%
8	Loyola MD	69.1%	12.4%	3.7%	0.6%
9	Holy Cross	30.9%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
10	Lafayette	14.4%	2%	0.8%	0.2%

2016 Patriot LeagueChampion: Holy Cross

Southeastern Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Texas A&M
Tournament Site: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville, TN)
First Round: March 9th, 2016
Second Round: March 10th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 11th, 2016
Semifinals: March 12th, 2016
Finals: March 13th, 2016

The SEC Tournament features an 13-team playoff with a bracket where the top four seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals and the 5th through 11th seed get a bye to the 2nd round.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	2nd Rd	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Texas A&M	100%	100%	61.7%	37.1%	18.1%
2	Kentucky	100%	100%	81.1%	58.3%	38.1%
3	South Carolina	100%	100%	60.3%	23.1%	9.6%
4	LSU	100%	100%	36.7%	12.3%	4.1%
5	Vanderbilt	100%	86.6%	58.6%	31.6%	17.4%
6	Georgia	100%	64.1%	27.7%	8.2%	2%
7	Mississippi	100%	62.3%	12.1%	4.1%	1.7%
8	Florida	100%	69.3%	28.6%	14.4%	5.9%
9	Arkansas	100%	30.7%	9.7%	3.7%	1.1%
10	Alabama	100%	37.7%	6.8%	3.2%	0.9%
11	Mississippi St	100%	35.9%	12%	3.1%	0.9%
12	Tennessee	77.5%	10.6%	4.3%	0.8%	0.2%
13	Auburn	22.5%	2.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0%

2016 SEC Champion: Kentucky

Southern League Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Chattanooga
Tournament Site: U.S. Cellular Center (Asheville, NC)
First Round: March 4th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 5th, 2016
Semifinals: March 6th, 2016
Finals: March 7th, 2016

The Southern League Conference features an 10-team playoff with a standard bracket where the top six seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals. The winner of the 7/10 game plays the 1-seed in the Quarterfinals, while the winner of the 8/9 game plays the 2-seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Chattanooga	100%	85%	65.2%	43.7%
2	ETSU	100%	62.3%	37.8%	17.7%
3	Furman	100%	61.9%	28.9%	10.7%
4	Wofford	100%	53.9%	16.8%	7.6%
5	W Carolina	100%	46.1%	11.2%	4.8%
6	UNC Greensboro	100%	38.1%	14%	5%
7	Mercer	85.8%	35.6%	18.7%	7.7%
8	Samford	71.5%	12.6%	6.2%	2.4%
9	VMI	28.5%	2.4%	0.6%	0.2%
10	Citadel	14.2%	2.1%	0.6%	0.2%

2016 Southern Champion: Chattanooga

Southland Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Stephen F. Austin
Tournament Site: Leonard E. Merrell Center (Katy, TX)
First Round: March 9th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Southland Conference features an 8-team playoff with a non-standard bracket. In the first round, the 5-seed plays the 8-seed and the 6-seed plays the 7-seed. The third and fourth seed receive byes into the Quarterfinals. The 3-seed plays the winner of the 6/7 match up, while the 4-seed plays the winner of the 5/8 match up. The top two seeds receive byes into the Semifinals and only need to win two games to take home the championship.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	SF Austin	100%	100%	92.2%	71.5%
2	TAM C. Christi	100%	100%	67.5%	20.2%
3	Sam Houston St	100%	85%	30.9%	6.4%
4	Houston Bap	100%	62.3%	6%	1.3%
5	SE Louisiana	45%	15.7%	0.7%	0.1%
6	McNeese St	55.4%	9.1%	1.3%	0.2%
7	Nicholls St	44.6%	5.9%	0.3%	0.1%
8	New Orleans	55%	22%	1.1%	0.2%

2016 Southland Champion: Stephen F. Austin

Summit Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: IPFW
Tournament Site: Denny Sanford Premier Center (Sioux Falls, SD)
Quarterfinals: March 5th, March 6th, 2016
Semifinals: March 7th, 2016
Finals: March 8th, 2016

The Summit Conference features an 8-team playoff with a standard bracket.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	IPFW	70.4%	44.2%	18.3%
2	S Dakota St	79.1%	59.8%	43.3%
3	NE Omaha	63.6%	22.5%	12.2%
4	IUPUI	41.9%	16.7%	5%
5	N Dakota St	58.1%	27.5%	10.8%
6	Denver	36.4%	9.3%	4%
7	Oral Roberts	20.9%	8.4%	3.7%
8	South Dakota	29.6%	11.6%	2.7%

2016 Summit Champion: S. Dakota State

Sun Belt Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Arkansas Little Rock
Tournament Site: Lakefront Arena (New Orleans, LA)
First Round: March 10th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 11th, 2016
Semifinals: March 12th, 2016
Finals: March 13th, 2016

The Sun Belt Conference features an 8-team playoff with a non-standard bracket. In the first round, the 5-seed plays the 8-seed and the 6-seed plays the 7-seed. The third and fourth seed receive byes into the Quarterfinals. The 3-seed plays the winner of the 6/7 match up, while the 4-seed plays the winner of the 5/8 match up. The top two seeds receive byes into the Semifinals and only need to win two games to claim the championship.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	Ark Little Rock	100%	100%	69.8%	49.2%
2	ULM	100%	100%	44.3%	13.7%
3	UT Arlington	100%	70.2%	43.3%	18.7%
4	ULL	100%	76%	26.4%	15.1%
5	Ga Southern	63.7%	18.1%	3.4%	1%
6	Georgia St	65.5%	21.9%	9.6%	1.7%
7	Texas St	34.5%	7.9%	2.8%	0.5%
8	South Alabama	36.3%	5.9%	0.4%	0.1%

2016 Sun Belt Champion: Little Rock

SWAC Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: Texas Southern
Tournament Site: Toyota Center (Houston, TX)
First Round: March 8th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 9th, 2016, March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The SWAC features an 10-team playoff with a standard bracket where the top six seeds get a bye to the Quarterfinals. The winner of the 7/10 game plays the 1-seed in the Quarterfinals, while the winner of the 8/9 game plays the 2-seed.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	TX Southern	100%	81.6%	55.4%	45.1%
2	Alcorn St	100%	74.2%	43.2%	13.9%
3	Jacksonville St	100%	69.3%	36.6%	8.9%
4	Southern Univ	100%	61.4%	25.4%	18.9%
5	Alabama St	100%	38.6%	11.1%	6.2%
6	Prairie View	100%	30.7%	10.3%	1.5%
7	MS Valley St	55.2%	16.1%	6.2%	0.9%
8	Alabama A&M	74.7%	15.9%	7.3%	4.2%
9	Ark Pine Bluff	25.3%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
10	Grambling	44.8%	9.7%	3.7%	0.2%

2016 SWAC Champion: Southern

Western Athletic Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: New Mexico St
Tournament Site: Orleans Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2016
Semifinals: March 11th, 2016
Finals: March 12th, 2016

The Western Athletic Conference features an 7-team playoff with a standard bracket. The top team gets a bye into the Semifinals while the second through seventh seeds play each other in the Quarterfinals. In 2016, Grand Canyon is ineligible to play in the tournament even though they finished 2nd in the conference in the regular season.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	New Mexico St	100%	86.4%	47.9%
2	CS Bakersfield	94.1%	83.2%	46.5%
3	Seattle	79.6%	13.1%	2.1%
4	Utah Valley	50.6%	6.4%	1.2%
5	Missouri KC	49.4%	7.2%	1.9%
6	UTRGV	20.4%	1.4%	0.1%
7	Chicago St	5.9%	2.3%	0.3%

2016 Northeast Champion: UC Bakersfield

West Coast Conference Tournament Projections

Reg. Season Champion: St. Mary’s CA
Tournament Site: Orleans Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 4th, 2016
Quarterfinals: March 5th, 2016
Semifinals: March 7th, 2016
Finals: March 8th, 2016

The West Coast Conference features an 9-team playoff with a standard bracket. The first round will have one game that pits the 8-seed versus the 9-seed, while the top seven seeds all have byes into the Quarterfinals.

Seed	Team	To Advance/To Win
Seed	Team	Qtrs	Semis	Finals	Champ
1	St Mary’s CA	100%	92.1%	74.8%	36.6%
2	Gonzaga	100%	92.1%	60%	38.4%
3	BYU	100%	91.8%	37.2%	18.8%
4	Pepperdine	100%	69%	18.5%	4.8%
5	San Francisco	100%	31%	4%	0.9%
6	Santa Clara	100%	8.2%	0.8%	0.1%
7	Portland	100%	7.9%	2%	0.2%
8	Loy Marymount	63%	5.4%	1.7%	0.1%
9	San Diego	37%	2.5%	1%	0.1%

2016 West Coast Conference Champion: Gonzaga