2017-2018 UEFA Europa League Simulation


Europa League Final 2017
Like our UEFA Champions League simulation, we are also simulating every UEFA Europa League match. Perhaps the most unique thing about the Europa League in the computer ratings world is that it has given us the ability to rank all the teams across Europe. Here is our European Football Rankings page, you can find our top clubs across Europe. We use historical data that goes back up to four years to determine these ratings and then run the simulation 5,000 times to attempt to get an accurate view of what will actually happen.

We programmed all the rules of the Europa League and simulated every pair of games 5,000 times. The UEFA Europa League uses the Away goals rule, so our simulations strictly follow these standards. In our simulations, we also offer the probabilities for method of victory within each two leg grouping. Also note that if a team wins by away goals in extra time then we set their method of victory as “Away Goals”.

You can read more about the methodology of our rankings here, but essentially, we take into account the scores of all prior games to give teams a rating. It is important to note that these ratings are adjusted based on whether the game is played at home or away. We also provide predictions for each leg of the UEFA Europa League, these predictions are provided at Europa League game predictions.

We will continue to update this page throughout the qualification, group stage, and playoff process.

UEFA Europa League – Qualifying – Round 1

The 2017/2018 iteration of the Europa League tournament features 100 teams in the First Round. The first leg of Round 1 will be played on the 29th of June, 2017 and the second leg will be played between the 4th and 6th of July, 2017.

# Team To Advance Method of Victory
Score Diff Away Goals Extra Time Shootout
1 ND Gorica 51.3% 42.2% 4.7% 2.2% 2.2%
Shirak Gyumri 48.7% 40.4% 4.9% 1.1% 2.3%
2 Dunav Ruse 38.9% 29.2% 6.1% 1.7% 1.9%
I. Pavlodar 61.1% 53.2% 4.4% 1.3% 2.2%
3 Atlantas 4.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.6%
K. Almaty 95.9% 92.7% 1.5% 1.2% 0.5%
4 Botev Plovdiv 35.6% 23.9% 6.9% 2.1% 2.7%
Partizani 64.4% 55.6% 5% 1.6% 2.2%
5 Pyunik Yerevan 21.5% 14.9% 4.3% 0.5% 1.8%
Slovan Bratislava 78.5% 71.1% 4.4% 2% 1%
6 Valur 42.4% 34.6% 4.6% 1.8% 1.4%
Ventspils 57.6% 50.2% 4.9% 1% 1.5%
7 Torpedo Kutaisi 10.3% 7.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.4%
Trencin 89.7% 84.1% 3% 2% 0.6%
8 Din. Minsk 93.9% 90.3% 2.5% 0.3% 0.8%
NSI Runavik 6.1% 3.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.5%
9 Cork City 74.1% 65.3% 5.2% 2.2% 1.4%
Levadia 25.9% 19.6% 4.7% 0.3% 1.3%
10 Dinamo Batumi 18.3% 12.3% 4.9% 0.6% 0.5%
Jagiellonia 81.7% 76% 3.2% 1.9% 0.6%
11 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 81.7% 75.9% 3.2% 1.6% 1%
Suduva 18.3% 13.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.9%
12 Dacia Chisinau 46.9% 37.3% 4.8% 3.1% 1.7%
Shkendija 53.1% 43.3% 6.3% 2% 1.5%
13 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 57.4% 46.8% 5% 3.2% 2.4%
VPS 42.6% 33.5% 5.1% 1.5% 2.5%
14 B36 Torshavn 17.7% 12.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6%
Kalju 82.3% 76.2% 4.3% 1.6% 0.2%
15 Bangor City 9.1% 6.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.7%
Lyngby 90.9% 86.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6%
16 Beitar Jerusalem 60.7% 51.3% 6.3% 1.1% 2%
Vasas 39.3% 28.9% 6.4% 1.7% 2.3%
17 Ferencvaros 53.6% 43.7% 6.3% 1.9% 1.7%
Jelgava 46.4% 36.1% 4.5% 2.8% 3%
18 AEK Larnaca 62% 54.6% 5.1% 0.8% 1.5%
Lincoln Red Imps 38% 29.7% 5.6% 1.6% 1.1%
19 Altach 83.5% 76.8% 2.9% 2.6% 1.2%
Chikhura 16.5% 11.8% 2.8% 0.8% 1.1%
20 Coleraine 8.4% 6.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.4%
Haugesund 91.6% 86.4% 3% 1.5% 0.7%
21 AIK 95.7% 93.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5%
Klaksvik 4.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2%
22 Levski 81.5% 74.3% 3.9% 1.8% 1.5%
Sutjeska 18.5% 12.2% 3.1% 1.4% 1.8%
23 Ballymena 6.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Odd 93.3% 89.5% 2.2% 1.4% 0.2%
24 Sant Julia 7.1% 4.5% 2% 0.3% 0.3%
Skenderbeu 92.9% 90% 1.7% 0.6% 0.6%
25 AEL Limassol 88.2% 82.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.7%
St Josephs 11.8% 7.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.8%
26 Rabotnicki 92.1% 88.5% 1.5% 1.5% 0.6%
Tre Penne 7.9% 5.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.8%
27 Osijek 97.4% 96.1% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
UE Santa Coloma 2.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0% 0.1%
28 FK Sarajevo 50.2% 40.9% 5.6% 2.3% 1.4%
Zaria Balti 49.8% 39.6% 7.1% 1.2% 1.9%
29 Differdange 84.9% 78% 3.6% 2.5% 0.8%
Zira 15.1% 11% 3.1% 0.6% 0.4%
30 Fola 85.9% 80.1% 4.3% 0.9% 0.6%
Milsami 14.1% 9.5% 3% 1% 0.6%
31 Bala 30.3% 22.6% 5.4% 0.7% 1.6%
Vaduz 69.7% 62.4% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2%
32 Connahs Q. 34.2% 25.5% 7.3% 0.8% 0.6%
HJK 65.8% 58.6% 4% 1.9% 1.3%
33 KF Tirana 23% 15.6% 4.9% 1.5% 1%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 77% 70.2% 3.3% 2% 1.5%
34 Derry City 17.1% 12.1% 3.3% 0.4% 1.3%
Midtjylland 82.9% 75.9% 3.7% 1.7% 1.6%
35 Norrkoping 93.8% 90.6% 1.8% 1% 0.4%
Prishtina 6.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
36 Ruzomberok 44.4% 34.3% 5.9% 2.7% 1.5%
Vojvodina 55.6% 46.1% 6% 2.3% 1.2%
37 Domzale 36.8% 27.3% 6.7% 0.6% 2.2%
Flora 63.2% 54.1% 4.1% 3.9% 1.1%
38 FK Crvena zvezda 96.3% 94.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Floriana 3.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.3%
39 Inter Baku 66% 57.2% 4.8% 1.8% 2.2%
Mladost 34% 24.2% 6.5% 1.6% 1.7%
40 Gandzasar 45.8% 35.4% 5.9% 2.5% 2%
Mladost Podgorica 54.2% 46.3% 5.1% 1.1% 1.7%
41 Ordabasy 46.6% 35.4% 5.8% 2.5% 2.9%
Siroki Brijeg 53.4% 43.6% 5.8% 1.5% 2.5%
42 Crusaders 55% 46.5% 5.5% 1.6% 1.4%
FK Liepaja 45% 36.6% 5% 1.9% 1.5%
43 Lech Poznan 73.5% 65.3% 4.4% 1.7% 2.1%
Pelister 26.5% 16.8% 4.3% 2.1% 3.3%
44 Niedercorn 61.7% 51.5% 4.7% 3.2% 2.3%
Rangers 38.3% 29.2% 6.5% 0.9% 1.7%
45 St Johnstone 71.3% 64.2% 4.6% 1.5% 1%
Trakai 28.7% 21.6% 4.7% 1.4% 1%
46 Folgore 34.9% 26.2% 5% 1.7% 2%
Valletta 65.1% 57.4% 4.8% 1.3% 1.6%
47 Balzan 11.5% 7.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.8%
Videoton 88.5% 84.3% 2.6% 1% 0.6%
48 Zeljeznicar 76.1% 67.7% 4.7% 1.6% 2.1%
Zeta 23.9% 15.5% 5.2% 1.4% 1.8%
49 KR Reykjavik 52.7% 43.2% 6.4% 1% 2.1%
SJK 47.3% 37.2% 5.4% 2.1% 2.6%
50 Shamrock Rovers 45.6% 36.4% 5.3% 2% 1.9%
Stjarnan 54.4% 44.9% 6.6% 1.5% 1.4%

UEFA Europa League – Qualifying – Round 2

The first leg of the Round 2 will be played on the 13th of July, 2017 and the second leg will be played between the 20th of July, 2017.

UEFA Europa League – Qualifying – Round 3

The first leg of the Round 2 will be played on the 27th of July, 2017 and the second leg will be played between the 3rd of August, 2017.

UEFA Europa League – Qualifying – Playoff Round

The first leg of the Round 2 will be played on the 17th of August, 2017 and the second leg will be played between the 24th of August, 2017.

UEFA Europa League – Group Stage

The group stage will be played between the dates of September 14th and December 7th of 2017.

UEFA Europa League – Round of 32

The first leg of the Round of 32 will be played on the 15th of February, 2018 and the second leg will be played on the 22nd of February, 2018.

UEFA Europa League – Round of 16

The first leg of the Round of 16 will be played on the 8th of March, 2018 and the second leg will be played on the 15th of March, 2018.

UEFA Europa League – Quarterfinals

The first leg of the Quarterfinals will be played on the 5th of April, 2018 and the second leg will be played on the 12th of April, 2018.

UEFA Europa League – Semifinals

The first leg of the Semifinals will be played on the 26th of April, 2018 and the second leg will be played on the 3rd of May, 2018.

UEFA Europa League – Finals

The 2017/2018 Europa League final will be played on May 16th, 2018 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais in France.

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