Real Madrid at Athletic Club

Updated

Real Madrid

54.9%22.2%22.9%
Real Madrid WinDrawAthletic Club Win
1.84Projected Goals 0.76
0Final Score 1

Athletic Club

Last Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-1 at Elche-230
Athletic Club
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Barcelona+195
L 4-0 vs Barcelona+475
L 1-0 vs Real Sociedad+195
W 2-1 at Levante+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+117+145+145+165+134+145+165+168.4
Athletic Club+205+190+195+191+196+195+196+201.3
Draw+225+240+230+227+241+230+241+238.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+105---+130+155+155+168.4
Athletic Club+260---+180+195+195+201.3
Draw+250---+200+215+215+238.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 40.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +148 to +141
Athletic Club ML moved from +207 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 30.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +155 to +140
Athletic Club ML moved from +205 to +195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111o2¼-125o2¼-126o2½+109-o2¼-126o2¼-125o2½+114
Underu2½-109u2¼+105u2¼+106u2½-124-u2¼+106u2½-124u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115---o2½+110o2½+110o2½+110o2½+114
Underu2½-105---u2½-140u2½-130u2½-130u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.44%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 414.13%
Exactly 63.18%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.33%
Exactly 321.75%
Exactly 57.34%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 015.99%
Exactly 129.31%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 316.42%
Exactly 47.52%
Exactly 52.76%
Exactly 60.84%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 046.54%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 213.61%
Exactly 33.47%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.03%
Exactly 221.73%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 042.80%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.41%
Exactly 34.36%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 070.18%
Exactly 124.85%
Exactly 24.40%
Exactly 30.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals36.99%
Wins by 3+ goals17.52%
Wins by 4+ goals6.79%
Wins by 5+ goals2.19%
Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals4.32%
Wins by 3+ goals0.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Athletic Club
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.72%
Wins by 2 goals19.47%
Wins by 3 goals10.72%
Wins by 4 goals4.61%
Wins by 5 goals1.61%
Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal10.73%
Wins by 2 goals3.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.56%7.44%
1.573.22%26.78%
2.548.11%51.89%
3.526.36%73.64%
4.512.23%87.77%
5.54.89%95.11%
6.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.01%15.99%
1.554.69%45.31%
2.527.83%72.17%
3.511.41%88.59%
4.53.88%96.12%
5.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.46%46.54%
1.517.87%82.13%
2.54.25%95.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.97%30.03%
1.533.84%66.16%
2.512.11%87.89%
3.53.40%96.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Score01234
0
7.44%
5.69%
2.18%
0.56%
0.11%
1
13.64%
10.44%
3.99%
1.02%
0.19%
2
12.50%
9.56%
3.66%
0.93%
0.18%
3
7.64%
5.84%
2.24%
0.57%
0.11%
4
3.50%
2.68%
1.02%
0.26%
0.05%
5
1.28%
0.98%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
Real Madrid
1-013.64%
2-012.50%
2-19.56%
3-07.64%
3-15.84%
3-22.24%
4-03.50%
4-12.68%
4-21.02%
4-30.26%
5-01.28%
5-10.98%
5-20.38%
Draw
0-07.44%
1-110.44%
2-23.66%
3-30.57%
Athletic Club
0-15.69%
0-22.18%
1-23.99%
0-30.56%
1-31.02%
2-30.93%
0-40.11%
1-40.19%
2-40.18%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Score0123
0
30.03%
10.64%
1.88%
0.22%
1
25.49%
9.03%
1.60%
0.19%
2
10.82%
3.83%
0.68%
0.08%
3
3.06%
1.08%
0.19%
0.02%
4
0.65%
0.23%
0.04%
0.00%
5
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-025.49%
2-010.82%
2-13.83%
3-03.06%
3-11.08%
3-20.19%
4-00.65%
4-10.23%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-030.03%
1-19.03%
2-20.68%
Athletic Club
0-110.64%
0-21.88%
1-21.60%
0-30.22%
1-30.19%