Copa Sudamericana Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Defensa y Just
Independiente 		23.2%
49.0%		27.8%
+239
+131

0.85
1.36		2.21
o2¼-103
u2½-143

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Apr 24, 2024
Games for Apr 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletico Paranaense
Danubio		54.1%
19.3%		26.6%
+103
+318

1
0		-0.74499-0.61524
Defensa y Just
U Cesar Vallejo		50.1%
22.8%		27.1%
-105
+295

1
0		-0.73693-0.69115
Internacional
Belgrano		35.6%
33.4%		31.0%
+110
+268

0
0		-1.21073-1.17009
LDU de Quito
Fortaleza		16.7%
61.9%		21.3%
+340
+102
+315
+105
4
3		-1.51118-1.47320-1.78803
LDU de Quito
Defensa y Just		25.1%
49.7%		25.2%
+357
-125
+365
-130
0
0		-1.35201-1.35763-1.37729
Corinthians
Fortaleza		19.3%
54.9%		25.8%
+453
-135
+450
-140
0
2		-0.59450-0.58861-0.59975
America (MG)
Fortaleza		16.0%
60.6%		23.3%
+531
-205
+500
-180
1
2		-0.45356-0.49389-0.50020
Botafogo RJ
Defensa y Just		34.2%
35.0%		30.8%
+225
+141
+225
+140
1
2		-0.91702-0.92637-1.05034
Corinthians
Estudiantes		25.1%
46.7%		28.2%
+480
-121
+425
-125
3
2		-1.76931-1.70611-1.38131
Sao Paulo
LDU de Quito		32.8%
39.3%		27.9%
+270
+120
+270
+110
1
2		-0.81681-0.79467-0.93471
Fortaleza
America (MG)		33.5%
35.9%		30.6%
+160
+190
+165
+180
3
1		-1.00821-1.02521-1.09330
Defensa y Just
Botafogo RJ		15.5%
61.3%		23.2%
+474
+108
+450
-145
1
1		-1.20547-1.33109-1.46283
Estudiantes
Corinthians		23.0%
49.7%		27.3%
+365
+105
+335
+110
0
1		-0.74501-0.79160-0.69870
Nublense
LDU de Quito		12.9%
69.2%		18.0%
+1150
-361
+1050
-380
3
4		-0.26734-0.28482-0.36876
America (MG)
Bragantino		15.5%
61.9%		22.6%
+504
-165
+555
-200
4
3		-1.83121-1.93268-1.86465
Estudiantes
Goias		34.0%
37.3%		28.8%
+260
+130
+245
+120
2
0		-1.29193-1.28913-1.07910
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.74499 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61524
0.12975

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Sudamericana is the second-tier South American club tournament behind the Copa Libertadores. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Sudamericana soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.