Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

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Games for Apr 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Inter
Milan
37.2%
34.8%
28.0%
+107
+284
+105
+270
2
1
-0.74488-0.75683-0.99021
Bologna
Roma
14.7%
66.0%
19.3%
+265
+140
+241
+135
3
1
-1.31308-1.26723-1.91909
Atalanta
Monza
52.1%
24.1%
23.8%
-110
+325
-105
+291
2
1
-0.66530-0.70938-0.65177
Frosinone
Torino
16.9%
60.7%
22.4%
+440
-139
+415
-140
0
0
-1.36449-1.37484-1.49803
Udinese
Hellas Verona
27.9%
45.9%
26.1%
+200
+185
+195
+179
0
1
-1.06912-1.06178-0.77801
Napoli
Empoli
59.0%
18.8%
22.1%
-147
+426
-140
+400
0
1
-1.68832-1.64222-1.67052
Juventus
Cagliari
63.8%
15.1%
21.2%
-110
+375
-118
+376
2
2
-1.27261-1.26823-1.55249
Lazio
Genoa
33.0%
39.6%
27.4%
+150
+217
+155
+220
1
0
-0.94292-0.96706-1.10912
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
9.0%
76.6%
14.3%
+623
-214
+575
-210
2
2
-1.60465-1.55946-1.94156
Genoa
Fiorentina
21.6%
54.2%
24.2%
+410
-117
+375
-110
1
1
-1.28374-1.26227-1.41898
Cagliari
Inter
3.9%
86.6%
9.5%
+1700
-513
+1500
-530
2
2
-2.08901-2.06294-2.35820
Milan
Sassuolo
61.9%
17.5%
20.5%
-113
+345
-125
+325
3
3
-1.38585-1.41679-1.58392
Frosinone
Napoli
8.7%
75.9%
15.4%
+825
-290
+775
-300
2
2
-1.76873-1.75730-1.87087
Juventus
Torino
46.0%
27.1%
26.9%
+130
+287
+130
+270
0
0
-1.12479-1.12488-1.31375
Inter
Udinese
62.7%
16.1%
21.2%
-241
+740
-246
+700
2
1
-0.37452-0.38657-0.46657
Fiorentina
Juventus
16.3%
62.0%
21.6%
+432
-128
+433
-125
0
1
-0.60261-0.61234-0.47754
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.