These are the latest American Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the AAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/10/2018.
AAC Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected AAC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the American Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|UCF||Next 4 Out||4.766|
Projected AAC Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the American Athletic Conference standings.
AAC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the American Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The AAC Men’s Basketball Tournament follows the standard rules of a twelve team tournament. The top four seeds get a by to the Quarterfinals.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: FedEx Forum (Memphis, TN)
First Round: March 14th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 15th, 2019
Semifinals: March 16th, 2019
Finals: March 17th, 2019
AAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|1/2||Connecticut||59.2%||South Florida||40.9%||Connecticut wins by 3|
|1/2||East Carolina||17%||SMU||83%||SMU wins by 10|
|1/2||Tulsa||9.7%||Houston||90.3%||Houston wins by 13|
|1/2||Tulane||1.5%||Cincinnati||98.5%||Cincinnati wins by 21|
|1/2||Temple||34%||UCF||66%||UCF wins by 5|
|1/3||Wichita St||35.9%||Memphis||64.1%||Memphis wins by 5|
|1/4||SMU||56.9%||Tulane||43.1%||SMU wins by 3|
|1/5||South Florida||22.8%||Tulsa||77.2%||Tulsa wins by 8|
|1/5||Cincinnati||91.7%||East Carolina||8.3%||Cincinnati wins by 14|
|1/5||UCF||44.1%||Connecticut||55.9%||Connecticut wins by 2|
|1/6||Memphis||10.8%||Houston||89.2%||Houston wins by 13|
|1/6||Temple||52.9%||Wichita St||47.1%||Temple wins by 1|
|1/9||Houston||60.1%||Temple||39.9%||Houston wins by 4|
|1/9||Tulane||17.4%||South Florida||82.6%||South Florida wins by 10|
|1/10||SMU||15.5%||Connecticut||84.5%||Connecticut wins by 11|
|1/10||East Carolina||10.6%||Memphis||89.4%||Memphis wins by 13|
|1/10||Cincinnati||65.3%||Tulsa||34.7%||Cincinnati wins by 5|
|1/12||Wichita St||8.9%||Houston||91.1%||Houston wins by 13|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|