These are the latest American Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the AAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.
AAC Projected Conference Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected AAC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the American Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
AAC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the American Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each AAC team. The AAC Men’s Basketball Tournament follows the standard rules of a twelve team tournament. The top four seeds get a by to the Quarterfinals.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Amway Center (Orlando, FL)
First Round: March 8th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 9th, 2018
Semifinals: March 10th, 2018
Finals: March 11th, 2018
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
AAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||SMU||80.9%||East Carolina||19.1%||SMU wins by 9|
|2/21||UCF||50.4%||Tulsa||49.6%||UCF wins by 1|
|2/21||Tulane||6.3%||Wichita St||93.8%||Wichita St wins by 17|
|2/22||Connecticut||2.9%||Cincinnati||97.1%||Cincinnati wins by 19|
|2/22||Houston||68.3%||Memphis||31.7%||Houston wins by 6|
|2/24||Tulane||61.8%||South Florida||38.2%||Tulane wins by 4|
|2/24||Wichita St||61.8%||SMU||38.2%||Wichita St wins by 4|
|2/25||Tulsa||6.3%||Cincinnati||93.8%||Cincinnati wins by 17|
|2/25||Memphis||42.2%||Connecticut||57.8%||Connecticut wins by 3|
|2/25||UCF||37.9%||Temple||62.1%||Temple wins by 4|
|2/25||East Carolina||1.5%||Houston||98.5%||Houston wins by 21|
|2/28||Temple||57.1%||Connecticut||42.9%||Temple wins by 3|
|2/28||Houston||56.9%||SMU||43.1%||Houston wins by 3|
|3/1||Wichita St||62.8%||UCF||37.2%||Wichita St wins by 5|
|3/1||Tulsa||69.9%||East Carolina||30.1%||Tulsa wins by 6|
|3/1||South Florida||8.9%||Memphis||91.1%||Memphis wins by 13|
|3/1||Cincinnati||91.9%||Tulane||8.1%||Cincinnati wins by 14|
|3/4||Tulane||14.8%||UCF||85.2%||UCF wins by 11|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|