Abilene Christian Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Abilene Christian. All of these projections for Abilene Chr are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Abilene Chr Record and Rankings

Record: 15-3
Projected Final Record: 24.9-6.1

Southland Conference Record: 4-1
Projected Final Southland Record: 13.9-4.1
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 1

Abilene Chr Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 140
RPI Rank: 125
NET Rank: 163
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 1-0 0-2 10-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Abilene Christian a 44.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 56.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Abilene Chr’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 21.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 20.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Abilene Christian. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Abilene Chr Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Arlington Bap Home W 107-54
11/9 211 Arkansas St Home W 94-73
11/15 301 Denver Away W 67-61
11/22 334 Elon Neutal W 72-56
11/23 169 Pacific Away W 73-71
11/24 314 UC Riverside Neutal W 60-48
11/27 No Rank Howard Payne Home W 90-53
12/1 182 Pepperdine Away L 62-77
12/4 227 Campbell Home W 83-68
12/8 No Rank Schreiner Home W 93-53
12/15 8 Texas Tech Away L 48-82
12/21 317 SE Missouri St Away W 70-68
12/29 No Rank McMurry Home W 88-40
1/2 208 New Orleans Home W 68-58
1/5 184 Sam Houston St Away L 68-71
1/9 298 McNeese St Away W 73-72
1/12 320 SE Louisiana Away W 75-72
1/16 242 Houston Bap Home W 75-68
1/19 330 Northwestern LA Home 92.2%
1/23 257 SF Austin Away 63.4%
1/26 245 Cent Arkansas Home 82.8%
1/30 280 TAM C. Christi Home 84.7%
2/6 277 Lamar Away 64.5%
2/9 184 Sam Houston St Home 69.9%
2/13 284 Nicholls St Away 66.4%
2/16 337 Incarnate Word Away 80.9%
2/23 320 SE Louisiana Home 88.9%
2/27 280 TAM C. Christi Away 63.4%
3/2 245 Cent Arkansas Away 60.5%
3/5 257 SF Austin Home 82.8%
3/9 337 Incarnate Word Home 92%