Abilene Christian Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Abilene Christian. All of these projections for Abilene Chr are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Abilene Chr Record and Rankings

Record: 9-1
Projected Final Record: 24.7-6.3

Southland Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Southland Record: 14.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 1

Abilene Chr Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 134
RPI Rank: 100
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-0 1-1 4-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.500 1.000

Our current projections give the Abilene Christian a 50.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 49.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Abilene Chr’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 28.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 17.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Abilene Christian. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Abilene Chr Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Arlington Bap Home W 107-54
11/9 267 Arkansas St Home W 94-73
11/15 289 Denver Away W 67-61
11/22 315 Elon Neutal W 72-56
11/23 164 Pacific Away W 73-71
11/24 301 UC Riverside Neutal W 60-48
11/27 No Rank Howard Payne Home W 90-53
12/1 195 Pepperdine Away L 62-77
12/4 203 Campbell Home W 83-68
12/8 No Rank Schreiner Home W 93-53
12/15 9 Texas Tech Away 3.6%
12/21 279 SE Missouri St Away 74.8%
12/29 No Rank McMurry Home 98.7%
1/2 232 New Orleans Home 84%
1/5 292 Sam Houston St Away 77.2%
1/9 325 McNeese St Away 83%
1/12 273 SE Louisiana Away 71.2%
1/16 245 Houston Bap Home 84.5%
1/19 348 Northwestern LA Home 98.7%
1/23 189 SF Austin Away 57.5%
1/26 217 Cent Arkansas Home 82.3%
1/30 262 TAM C. Christi Home 85%
2/6 240 Lamar Away 63.4%
2/9 292 Sam Houston St Home 88.9%
2/13 222 Nicholls St Away 61.8%
2/16 323 Incarnate Word Away 80.9%
2/23 273 SE Louisiana Home 85.4%
2/27 262 TAM C. Christi Away 64.5%
3/2 217 Cent Arkansas Away 60.1%
3/5 189 SF Austin Home 75.7%
3/9 323 Incarnate Word Home 91.8%