Abilene Christian Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Abilene Christian. All of these projections for Abilene Chr are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Abilene Chr Record and Rankings

Record: 27-6
Projected Final Record: 27.0-6.0

Southland Conference Record: 14-4
Projected Final Southland Record: 14.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 2

Abilene Chr Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 140
RPI Rank: 126
NET Rank: 155
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 3-3 20-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.500 0.909

Our current projections give the Abilene Christian a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Abilene Chr’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 6.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 93.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Abilene Christian. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Abilene Chr Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Arlington Bap Home W 107-54
11/9 244 Arkansas St Home W 94-73
11/15 324 Denver Away W 67-61
11/22 288 Elon Neutal W 72-56
11/23 199 Pacific Away W 73-71
11/24 316 UC Riverside Neutal W 60-48
11/27 No Rank Howard Payne Home W 90-53
12/1 167 Pepperdine Away L 62-77
12/4 185 Campbell Home W 83-68
12/8 No Rank Schreiner Home W 93-53
12/15 11 Texas Tech Away L 48-82
12/21 312 SE Missouri St Away W 70-68
12/29 No Rank McMurry Home W 88-40
1/2 220 New Orleans Home W 68-58
1/5 158 Sam Houston St Away L 68-71
1/9 331 McNeese St Away W 73-72
1/12 223 SE Louisiana Away W 75-72
1/16 286 Houston Bap Home W 75-68
1/19 332 Northwestern LA Home W 78-69
1/23 298 SF Austin Away L 60-61
1/26 287 Cent Arkansas Home W 79-56
1/30 280 TAM C. Christi Home W 78-71
2/6 212 Lamar Away W 75-64
2/9 158 Sam Houston St Home L 85-90
2/13 309 Nicholls St Away W 64-48
2/16 347 Incarnate Word Away W 68-48
2/23 223 SE Louisiana Home L 66-75
2/27 280 TAM C. Christi Away W 73-64
3/2 287 Cent Arkansas Away W 67-55
3/5 298 SF Austin Home W 72-58
3/9 347 Incarnate Word Home W 81-52
3/15 223 SE Louisiana Neutal W 69-66
3/16 220 New Orleans Neutal W 77-60