ACC Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Atlantic Coast Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the ACC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

ACC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Virginia 31 2 31 2 20 1 20 1
2 Duke 26 7 26 7 14 6 14 6
3 Miami FL 22 9 22 9 11 8 11 8
4 Clemson 23 9 23 9 12 8 12 8
5 NC State 21 11 21 11 11 8 11 8
6 North Carolina 25 10 25 10 14 8 14 8
7 Virginia Tech 21 11 21 11 10 9 10 9
8 Florida St 20 11 20 11 9 10 9 10
9 Louisville 20 13 20 13 10 10 10 10
10 Notre Dame 20 14 20 14 10 11 10 11
11 Syracuse 20 13 20 13 9 11 9 11
12 Boston College 19 15 19 15 9 12 9 12
13 Georgia Tech 13 19 13 19 6 13 6 13
14 Wake Forest 11 20 11 20 4 15 4 15
15 Pittsburgh 8 24 8 24 0 19 0 19

Projected ACC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Atlantic Coast Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Virginia 1 15.205
North Carolina 2 11.264
Duke 2 11.123
Clemson 5 8.269
Miami FL 7 7.087
Virginia Tech 8 6.71
NC State 9 6.425
Florida St 10 6.219
Louisville Last 4 Out 5.311
Syracuse Last 4 Out 4.976

ACC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each ACC team. The ACC Men’s Basketball Tournament gives the first four seeds a double-bye which starts them in the Quarterfinals. The fifth through eighth seeds get a bye into the Second Round of the tournament.

Regular Season Champion: Virginia
Tournament Site: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, NY)
First Round: March 6th, 2018
Second Round: March 7th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
2nd Rd Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Virginia
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Duke
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
3
Miami FL
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
Clemson
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
5
NC State
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6
North Carolina
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
7
Virginia Tech
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
8
Florida St
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
9
Louisville
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
10
Notre Dame
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
11
Syracuse
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
Boston College
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
13
Georgia Tech
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
14
Wake Forest
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
15
Pittsburgh
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

ACC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC