Albany Great Danes Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Albany Great Danes. All of these projections for Albany NY are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Albany NY Record and Rankings

Record: 12-20
Projected Final Record: 12.0-20.0

America East Conference Record: 7-9
Projected Final America East Record: 7.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the America East: 6

Albany NY Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 281
RPI Rank: 290
NET Rank: 271
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-3 1-5 9-10
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.250 0.167 0.474

Our current projections give the Albany Great Danes a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Albany NY’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Albany Great Danes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Albany NY Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 195 Iona Away L 68-72
11/14 241 Boston Univ Home L 61-71
11/17 259 Canisius Away W 75-66
11/19 No Rank SUNY Oneonta Home W 79-62
11/20 232 Holy Cross Home L 65-69
11/23 306 WI Milwaukee Away L 70-79
11/29 263 LIU Brooklyn Neutral L 77-80
11/30 245 Dartmouth Neutral L 77-91
12/8 261 Monmouth NJ Home W 82-63
12/11 83 Yale Away L 63-71
12/15 245 Dartmouth Home L 52-61
12/18 66 Providence Away L 43-73
12/20 307 Manhattan Home W 77-67
12/28 112 Kent Away L 68-70
12/31 303 Niagara Away W 79-74
1/5 85 Vermont Home L 51-80
1/12 336 Maine Home L 62-66
1/16 274 MA Lowell Away L 72-84
1/19 206 UMBC Away L 64-65
1/23 157 Stony Brook Home L 66-67
1/26 197 Hartford Home W 84-77
1/30 341 New Hampshire Away W 62-42
2/2 321 Binghamton Home W 64-50
2/9 85 Vermont Away L 49-67
2/13 274 MA Lowell Home L 54-86
2/17 336 Maine Away W 63-54
2/21 157 Stony Brook Away W 74-70
2/23 206 UMBC Home W 84-75
2/27 341 New Hampshire Home L 58-62
3/2 197 Hartford Away L 80-82
3/5 321 Binghamton Away W 73-58
3/9 206 UMBC Away L 54-62