Albany Great Danes Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Albany Great Danes. All of these projections for Albany NY are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Albany NY Record and Rankings

Record: 5-13
Projected Final Record: 10.4-20.6

America East Conference Record: 0-3
Projected Final America East Record: 5.4-10.6
Projected Final Rank in the America East: 7

Albany NY Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 304
RPI Rank: 324
NET Rank: 292
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 1-3 3-6
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.250 0.333

Our current projections give the Albany Great Danes a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Albany NY’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Albany Great Danes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Albany NY Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 238 Iona Away L 68-72
11/14 237 Boston Univ Home L 61-71
11/17 266 Canisius Away W 75-66
11/19 No Rank SUNY Oneonta Home W 79-62
11/20 176 Holy Cross Home L 65-69
11/23 288 WI Milwaukee Away L 70-79
11/29 256 LIU Brooklyn Neutral L 77-80
11/30 207 Dartmouth Neutral L 77-91
12/8 281 Monmouth NJ Home W 82-63
12/11 88 Yale Away L 63-71
12/15 207 Dartmouth Home L 52-61
12/18 77 Providence Away L 43-73
12/20 339 Manhattan Home W 77-67
12/28 124 Kent Away L 68-70
12/31 290 Niagara Away W 79-74
1/5 80 Vermont Home L 51-80
1/12 321 Maine Home L 62-66
1/16 218 MA Lowell Away L 72-84
1/19 263 UMBC Away 26.2%
1/23 102 Stony Brook Home 24.3%
1/26 190 Hartford Home 40.9%
1/30 345 New Hampshire Away 60.1%
2/2 336 Binghamton Home 78.2%
2/9 80 Vermont Away 6.6%
2/13 218 MA Lowell Home 44.1%
2/17 321 Maine Away 43.9%
2/21 102 Stony Brook Away 8%
2/23 263 UMBC Home 51.8%
2/27 345 New Hampshire Home 84%
3/2 190 Hartford Away 17.2%
3/5 336 Binghamton Away 51.8%