Alcorn State Braves Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Alcorn State Braves. All of these projections for Alcorn St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Alcorn St Record and Rankings

Record: 4-12
Projected Final Record: 7.2-22.8

Southwestern Conference Record: 0-4
Projected Final Southwestern Record: 3.2-14.8
Projected Final Rank in the Southwestern: 10

Alcorn St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 351
RPI Rank: 350
NET Rank: 351
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 0-3 0-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Alcorn State Braves a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Alcorn St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Alcorn State Braves. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Alcorn St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 99 Tulsa Away L 56-73
11/9 No Rank Blue Mtn Home W 79-55
11/16 106 Vanderbilt Away L 54-79
11/18 124 Kent Away L 48-79
11/23 69 Liberty Away L 54-76
11/24 341 Savannah St Neutral L 75-80
11/26 29 Mississippi St Away L 65-88
12/1 No Rank Rust Home W 103-66
12/8 No Rank Champion Bap Home W 109-45
12/9 No Rank Fisk Home W 75-45
12/18 173 UAB Away L 49-76
12/21 130 South Florida Away L 44-83
1/5 185 TX Southern Home L 70-87
1/7 271 Prairie View Home L 54-57
1/12 327 Jackson St Away L 52-59
1/14 311 Grambling Away L 42-77
1/19 346 MS Valley St Home 39.5%
1/21 282 Ark Pine Bluff Home 17.2%
1/26 315 Alabama St Away 11.9%
1/28 342 Alabama A&M Away 19.6%
2/2 350 Southern Univ Home 41.5%
2/9 327 Jackson St Home 27.9%
2/11 311 Grambling Home 22.8%
2/16 346 MS Valley St Away 24.7%
2/18 282 Ark Pine Bluff Away 8.6%
2/23 315 Alabama St Home 27.5%
2/25 342 Alabama A&M Home 38.2%
3/2 350 Southern Univ Away 27.2%
3/7 185 TX Southern Away 4.9%
3/9 271 Prairie View Away 8.2%