America East Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest America East Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the America East are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

America East Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Vermont 27 6 27 6 14 2 14 2
2 Stony Brook 24 8 24 8 12 4 12 4
3 UMBC 21 13 21 13 11 5 11 5
4 Hartford 18 15 18 15 10 6 10 6
5 MA Lowell 15 17 15 17 7 9 7 9
6 Albany NY 12 20 12 20 7 9 7 9
7 Binghamton 10 23 10 23 5 11 5 11
8 Maine 5 27 5 27 3 13 3 13
9 New Hampshire 5 24 5 24 3 13 3 13

Projected America East Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the America East Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Vermont 13 2.744

Projected America East Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the America East Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Vermont 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Stony Brook 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
UMBC 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Hartford 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
MA Lowell 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Albany NY 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Binghamton 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Maine 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
New Hampshire 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

America East Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the America East Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. There are nine teams in the America East Conference, however only the top eight in the standings make the conference tournament. The games are played on the campus site of the higher rated team.

Regular Season Champion: Vermont
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 9th, 2019
Semifinals: March 12th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
Vermont
100%
100%
100%
2
Stony Brook
0%
0%
0%
3
UMBC
100%
100%
0%
4
Hartford
100%
0%
0%
5
MA Lowell
0%
0%
0%
6
Albany NY
0%
0%
0%
7
Binghamton
100%
0%
0%
8
Maine
0%
0%
0%

America East Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC