America East Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest America East Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the America East are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.

America East Projected Conference Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Vermont 22 6 24.7 6.3 12 1 14.7 1.3
2 UMBC 19 9 21 10 10 3 12 4
3 Hartford 16 11 17.8 12.2 9 4 10.8 5.2
4 Albany NY 20 9 21.8 9.2 8 6 9.8 6.2
5 New Hampshire 10 18 11.1 18.9 6 8 7.1 8.9
6 Stony Brook 11 17 11.4 18.6 6 8 6.4 9.6
7 MA Lowell 10 16 11.1 17.9 4 9 5.1 10.9
8 Maine 6 22 6.4 24.6 3 10 3.4 12.6
9 Binghamton 11 17 11.6 19.4 2 11 2.6 13.4

Projected America East Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the America East Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Vermont 13 3.196

America East Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the America East Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each America East team. There are nine teams in the America East Conference, however only the top eight in the standings make the conference tournament. The games are played on the campus site of the higher rated team.

Regular Season Champion: Vermont
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 3rd, 2018
Semifinals: March 6th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
Vermont
96.7%
76.7%
67.5%
2
UMBC
82.1%
45.9%
9.9%
3
Hartford
63.8%
37.5%
7.7%
4
Albany NY
81.8%
20.8%
12.3%
5
New Hampshire
18.2%
2.4%
0.8%
6
Stony Brook
36.2%
11.5%
1%
7
MA Lowell
17.9%
5.1%
0.8%
8
Maine
3.3%
0.1%
0%

America East Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
2/21 New Hampshire 29% Hartford 71% Hartford wins by 7
2/21 Stony Brook 24.3% UMBC 75.7% UMBC wins by 8
2/21 Binghamton 6.3% Vermont 93.8% Vermont wins by 17
2/21 Maine 27.2% MA Lowell 72.8% MA Lowell wins by 7
2/24 MA Lowell 14.8% UMBC 85.2% UMBC wins by 11
2/24 Vermont 80.4% Stony Brook 19.6% Vermont wins by 9
2/24 Maine 7% Albany NY 93% Albany NY wins by 16
2/24 Hartford 56.1% Binghamton 43.9% Hartford wins by 2
2/27 UMBC 43.5% Hartford 56.5% Hartford wins by 2
2/27 Vermont 92.1% Maine 7.9% Vermont wins by 15
2/27 MA Lowell 22.8% New Hampshire 77.2% New Hampshire wins by 8
2/27 Binghamton 11.9% Albany NY 88.1% Albany NY wins by 12

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC