American University Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the American University Eagles. All of these projections for American Univ are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

American Univ Record and Rankings

Record: 8-8
Projected Final Record: 15.1-13.9

Patriot League Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 9.1-8.9
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 5

American Univ Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 222
RPI Rank: 268
NET Rank: 193
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-2 1-2 7-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.333 0.636

Our current projections give the American University Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account American Univ’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the American University Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

American Univ Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 135 George Mason Away W 78-75
11/12 60 Northwestern Away L 51-63
11/16 345 New Hampshire Home W 68-44
11/24 263 UMBC Away W 73-69
11/27 318 VMI Away W 74-64
11/30 204 Wagner Home L 58-64
12/4 279 St Francis PA Home W 95-82
12/8 331 Howard Away L 83-85
12/18 340 Mt St Mary’s Home L 55-56
12/22 352 MD E Shore Home W 82-58
12/29 252 G Washington Away L 67-71
1/2 237 Boston Univ Home W 86-74
1/6 178 Colgate Away L 69-73
1/9 268 Navy Home W 71-63
1/12 150 Bucknell Away L 54-55
1/16 144 Lehigh Away L 76-83
1/19 309 Lafayette Home 81.1%
1/21 237 Boston Univ Away 44.1%
1/26 150 Bucknell Home 42.9%
1/30 302 Loyola MD Away 59.2%
2/2 176 Holy Cross Home 48.5%
2/6 268 Navy Away 53.7%
2/9 253 Army Home 66.8%
2/13 302 Loyola MD Home 80.4%
2/16 178 Colgate Home 48.2%
2/20 309 Lafayette Away 58.5%
2/24 253 Army Away 47.8%
2/27 144 Lehigh Home 43.5%
3/2 176 Holy Cross Away 30.9%