American University Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the American University Eagles. All of these projections for American Univ are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

American Univ Record and Rankings

Record: 15-15
Projected Final Record: 15.0-15.0

Patriot League Conference Record: 9-9
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 9.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 4

American Univ Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 224
RPI Rank: 239
NET Rank: 177
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-3 5-4 10-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.556 0.556

Our current projections give the American University Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account American Univ’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the American University Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

American Univ Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 150 George Mason Away W 78-75
11/12 97 Northwestern Away L 51-63
11/16 341 New Hampshire Home W 68-44
11/24 206 UMBC Away W 73-69
11/27 275 VMI Away W 74-64
11/30 299 Wagner Home L 58-64
12/4 242 St Francis PA Home W 95-82
12/8 301 Howard Away L 83-85
12/18 325 Mt St Mary’s Home L 55-56
12/22 352 MD E Shore Home W 82-58
12/29 276 G Washington Away L 67-71
1/2 241 Boston Univ Home W 86-74
1/6 127 Colgate Away L 69-73
1/9 247 Navy Home W 71-63
1/12 146 Bucknell Away L 54-55
1/16 159 Lehigh Away L 76-83
1/19 277 Lafayette Home L 79-84
1/23 241 Boston Univ Away W 70-66
1/26 146 Bucknell Home W 76-68
1/30 279 Loyola MD Away W 74-68
2/2 232 Holy Cross Home W 66-49
2/6 247 Navy Away L 67-77
2/9 251 Army Home W 71-68
2/13 279 Loyola MD Home L 84-86
2/16 127 Colgate Home L 81-83
2/20 277 Lafayette Away L 68-70
2/24 251 Army Away W 77-66
2/27 159 Lehigh Home L 66-80
3/2 232 Holy Cross Away W 86-66
3/7 247 Navy Home L 56-60