Appalachian State Mountaineers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Appalachian State Mountaineers. All of these projections for Appalachian St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Appalachian St Record and Rankings

Record: 5-13
Projected Final Record: 8.8-22.2

Sun Belt Conference Record: 0-5
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 3.8-14.2
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 12

Appalachian St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 303
RPI Rank: 314
NET Rank: 272
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-2 0-4 2-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.333

Our current projections give the Appalachian State Mountaineers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Appalachian St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Appalachian State Mountaineers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Appalachian St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Mars Hill Home W 125-62
11/11 49 Alabama Away L 73-81
11/15 15 Purdue Neutral L 70-92
11/16 115 Wichita St Neutral L 76-82
11/18 93 Ball St Neutral L 86-94
11/26 No Rank W Salem St Home W 91-64
11/30 212 East Carolina Away L 81-83
12/4 322 Howard Home W 100-86
12/8 329 NC Central Home W 82-73
12/15 131 South Florida Away L 69-76
12/18 86 Georgetown Away L 73-83
12/20 No Rank Milligan Home W 99-60
12/30 64 St Louis Away L 55-83
1/3 276 South Alabama Away L 73-79
1/5 183 Troy Away L 85-89
1/10 209 UT Arlington Home L 72-82
1/12 98 Texas St Home L 69-70
1/19 214 Coastal Car Away L 72-89
1/24 228 Arkansas St Away 30.1%
1/26 266 Ark Little Rock Away 34%
1/31 167 Louisiana Home 34.7%
2/2 149 ULM Home 32.8%
2/7 98 Texas St Away 8%
2/9 209 UT Arlington Away 24.7%
2/16 214 Coastal Car Home 42.2%
2/21 87 Georgia St Home 19.1%
2/23 124 Ga Southern Home 25.7%
2/28 149 ULM Away 15%
3/3 167 Louisiana Away 16.2%
3/7 183 Troy Home 40.2%
3/9 276 South Alabama Home 56.1%