Appalachian State Mountaineers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Appalachian State Mountaineers. All of these projections for Appalachian St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Appalachian St Record and Rankings

Record: 11-21
Projected Final Record: 11.0-21.0

Sun Belt Conference Record: 6-12
Projected Final Sun Belt Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Sun Belt: 10

Appalachian St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 228
RPI Rank: 271
NET Rank: 214
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-6 2-9 6-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.182 0.600

Our current projections give the Appalachian State Mountaineers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Appalachian St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Appalachian State Mountaineers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Appalachian St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Mars Hill Home W 125-62
11/11 54 Alabama Away L 73-81
11/15 12 Purdue Neutral L 70-92
11/16 74 Wichita St Neutral L 76-82
11/18 149 Ball St Neutral L 86-94
11/26 No Rank W Salem St Home W 91-64
11/30 253 East Carolina Away L 81-83
12/4 301 Howard Home W 100-86
12/8 305 NC Central Home W 82-73
12/15 122 South Florida Away L 69-76
12/18 68 Georgetown Away L 73-83
12/20 No Rank Milligan Home W 99-60
12/30 98 St Louis Away L 55-83
1/3 207 South Alabama Away L 73-79
1/5 243 Troy Away L 85-89
1/10 147 UT Arlington Home L 72-82
1/12 128 Texas St Home L 69-70
1/19 183 Coastal Car Away L 72-89
1/24 244 Arkansas St Away L 81-82
1/26 270 Ark Little Rock Away W 77-73
1/31 170 Louisiana Home W 104-77
2/2 165 ULM Home W 85-84
2/7 128 Texas St Away L 71-74
2/9 147 UT Arlington Away L 68-78
2/16 183 Coastal Car Home W 88-79
2/21 93 Georgia St Home L 75-80
2/23 118 Ga Southern Home L 69-92
2/28 165 ULM Away L 75-81
3/3 170 Louisiana Away W 90-80
3/7 243 Troy Home W 72-64
3/9 207 South Alabama Home L 71-78
3/12 165 ULM Away L 80-89