Arizona State Sun Devils Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Arizona State Sun Devils. All of these projections for Arizona St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Arizona St Record and Rankings

Record: 11-5
Projected Final Record: 19.0-11.0

Pac-12 Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 10.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 5

Arizona St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 61
RPI Rank: 58
NET Rank: 80
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Next 4 Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-1 2-0 2-4 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.667 1.000 0.333 1.000

Our current projections give the Arizona State Sun Devils a 30.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 52.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 17.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Arizona St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 5.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 7.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 7.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 10.2%
NIT #2 Seed 13.4%
NIT #3 Seed 10.4%
NIT #4 Seed 8.6%
NIT #5 Seed 6.0%
NIT #6 Seed 2.8%
NIT #7 Seed 1.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Arizona State Sun Devils. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Arizona St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 254 CS Fullerton Home W 102-94
11/9 298 McNeese St Home W 80-52
11/12 180 Long Beach St Home W 90-58
11/19 29 Mississippi St Neutal W 72-67
11/21 56 Utah St Neutal W 87-82
11/28 194 NE Omaha Home W 89-71
12/1 185 TX Southern Home W 83-71
12/7 20 Nevada Neutral L 66-72
12/15 84 Georgia Away W 76-74
12/17 106 Vanderbilt Away L 65-81
12/22 7 Kansas Home W 80-76
12/29 149 Princeton Home L 66-67
1/3 119 Utah Home L 86-96
1/5 108 Colorado Home W 83-61
1/9 226 California Away W 80-66
1/12 132 Stanford Away L 71-85
1/17 57 Oregon St Home 59.8%
1/19 81 Oregon Home 62.8%
1/24 83 UCLA Away 43.3%
1/26 126 USC Away 53.7%
1/31 44 Arizona Home 52.9%
2/7 215 Washington St Home 91.7%
2/9 41 Washington Home 52.6%
2/13 108 Colorado Away 50%
2/16 119 Utah Away 52.6%
2/20 132 Stanford Home 80.9%
2/24 226 California Home 91.8%
2/28 81 Oregon Away 40.9%
3/3 57 Oregon St Away 37.9%
3/9 44 Arizona Away 29.7%