Arizona State Sun Devils Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Arizona State Sun Devils. All of these projections for Arizona St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Arizona St Record and Rankings

Record: 22-10
Projected Final Record: 22.0-10.0

Pac-12 Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 2

Arizona St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 62
RPI Rank: 44
NET Rank: 63
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 11 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 4-3 5-1 7-5 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.571 0.833 0.583 0.857

Our current projections give the Arizona State Sun Devils a 25.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 71.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 3.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Arizona St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 5.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 18.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 33.2%
NIT #2 Seed 6.8%
NIT #3 Seed 11.2%
NIT #4 Seed 12.6%
NIT #5 Seed 5.2%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 1.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Arizona State Sun Devils. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Arizona St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 190 CS Fullerton Home W 102-94
11/9 331 McNeese St Home W 80-52
11/12 210 Long Beach St Home W 90-58
11/19 21 Mississippi St Neutal W 72-67
11/21 30 Utah St Neutal W 87-82
11/28 168 NE Omaha Home W 89-71
12/1 211 TX Southern Home W 83-71
12/7 28 Nevada Neutral L 66-72
12/15 124 Georgia Away W 76-74
12/17 161 Vanderbilt Away L 65-81
12/22 15 Kansas Home W 80-76
12/29 152 Princeton Home L 66-67
1/3 96 Utah Home L 86-96
1/5 80 Colorado Home W 83-61
1/9 230 California Away W 80-66
1/12 135 Stanford Away L 71-85
1/17 91 Oregon St Home W 70-67
1/19 57 Oregon Home W 78-64
1/24 116 UCLA Away W 84-73
1/26 120 USC Away L 67-69
1/31 108 Arizona Home W 95-88
2/7 200 Washington St Home L 70-91
2/9 42 Washington Home W 75-63
2/13 80 Colorado Away L 73-77
2/16 96 Utah Away W 98-87
2/20 135 Stanford Home W 80-62
2/24 230 California Home W 69-59
2/28 57 Oregon Away L 51-79
3/3 91 Oregon St Away W 74-71
3/9 108 Arizona Away W 72-64
3/14 116 UCLA Neutal W 83-72
3/15 57 Oregon Neutral L 75-79