Arizona State Sun Devils Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Arizona State Sun Devils. All of these projections for Arizona St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Arizona St Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 18.6-11.4

Pac-12 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 10.6-7.4
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 5

Arizona St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 56
RPI Rank: 75
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 10 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Arizona State Sun Devils a 77.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 11.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 11.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Arizona St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 6.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 13.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 22.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 12.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 11.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 6.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 5.6%
NIT #2 Seed 2.6%
NIT #3 Seed 1.8%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Arizona State Sun Devils. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Arizona St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 161 CS Fullerton Home W 102-94
11/9 317 McNeese St Home W 80-52
11/12 206 Long Beach St Home 93%
11/16 104 San Francisco Away 59.5%
11/19 32 Mississippi St Neutral 43.5%
11/28 328 NE Omaha Home 98.7%
12/1 137 TX Southern Home 86.4%
12/7 16 Nevada Neutral 28.7%
12/15 49 Georgia Away 38.5%
12/17 30 Vanderbilt Away 25.2%
12/22 6 Kansas Home 37.2%
12/29 228 Princeton Home 93%
1/3 43 Utah Home 63.1%
1/5 108 Colorado Home 84.5%
1/9 282 California Away 91.7%
1/12 66 Stanford Away 46.7%
1/17 85 Oregon St Home 79.2%
1/19 15 Oregon Home 40.5%
1/24 42 UCLA Away 37.2%
1/26 63 USC Away 42.2%
1/31 24 Arizona Home 55.5%
2/7 142 Washington St Home 90.8%
2/9 55 Washington Home 62.1%
2/13 108 Colorado Away 58.8%
2/16 43 Utah Away 40.2%
2/20 66 Stanford Home 71.4%
2/24 282 California Home 98.5%
2/28 15 Oregon Away 15.3%
3/3 85 Oregon St Away 52.6%
3/9 24 Arizona Away 30.5%