Arizona Wildcats Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Arizona Wildcats. All of these projections for Arizona are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Arizona Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 20.9-8.1

Pac-12 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Pac-12 Record: 11.7-6.3
Projected Final Rank in the Pac-12: 2

Arizona Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 24
RPI Rank: 32
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 7 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 1.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Arizona Wildcats a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Arizona’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 4.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 9.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 25.8%
NCAA #7 Seed 17.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 11.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 9.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 4.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 5.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 4.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Arizona Wildcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Arizona Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 339 Houston Bap Home W 90-60
11/11 323 Cal Poly Home W 82-61
11/14 217 UTEP Home 97.1%
11/19 60 Iowa St Neutal 55.9%
11/29 168 Ga Southern Home 92.2%
12/2 160 Connecticut Away 76.7%
12/6 183 Utah Valley Home 93.4%
12/9 57 Alabama Away 49.3%
12/15 83 Baylor Home 78.7%
12/19 75 Montana Home 85%
12/22 229 UC Davis Home 97.1%
1/3 108 Colorado Home 86.8%
1/5 43 Utah Home 71.8%
1/9 66 Stanford Away 54.4%
1/12 282 California Away 92%
1/17 15 Oregon Home 44.1%
1/19 85 Oregon St Home 83%
1/24 63 USC Away 48.9%
1/26 42 UCLA Away 43.1%
1/31 56 Arizona St Away 44.5%
2/7 55 Washington Home 71%
2/9 142 Washington St Home 92.2%
2/14 43 Utah Away 47.1%
2/17 108 Colorado Away 62.5%
2/21 282 California Home 98.7%
2/24 66 Stanford Home 80.4%
2/28 85 Oregon St Away 57.1%
3/2 15 Oregon Away 18.4%
3/9 56 Arizona St Home 69.5%