Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions. All of these projections for Ark Pine Bluff are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Ark Pine Bluff Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 13.6-17.4

Southwestern Conference Record: 3-1
Projected Final Southwestern Record: 10.6-7.4
Projected Final Rank in the Southwestern: 5

Ark Pine Bluff Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 304
RPI Rank: 263
NET Rank: 308
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-0 0-6 5-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.714

Our current projections give the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions a 7.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 92.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Ark Pine Bluff’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 7.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Ark Pine Bluff Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 151 San Diego St Away L 60-76
11/10 215 Colorado St Away L 67-92
11/17 148 S Illinois Away L 48-78
11/19 197 Massachusetts Away L 60-92
11/23 239 Cal Baptist Neutal W 115-107
11/24 266 Ark Little Rock Away W 75-66
11/27 32 Cincinnati Away L 49-105
12/5 14 Texas Tech Away L 47-65
12/8 132 UC Santa Barbara Away L 45-55
12/10 No Rank Champion Bap Home W 84-51
12/20 90 North Texas Away L 66-77
12/22 196 Missouri St Away L 72-93
12/29 183 Troy Away L 63-71
1/5 349 MS Valley St Home W 64-52
1/12 308 Alabama St Home W 82-71
1/14 346 Alabama A&M Home W 50-49
1/19 343 Southern Univ Away L 67-69
1/21 352 Alcorn St Away 77.2%
1/26 198 TX Southern Home 35.5%
1/28 270 Prairie View Home 47.4%
2/2 285 Grambling Away 39.5%
2/4 323 Jackson St Away 49.3%
2/9 308 Alabama St Away 43.5%
2/11 346 Alabama A&M Away 65.3%
2/16 343 Southern Univ Home 79.4%
2/18 352 Alcorn St Home 86.4%
2/23 198 TX Southern Away 19.6%
2/25 270 Prairie View Away 34.4%
3/2 285 Grambling Home 54.4%
3/4 323 Jackson St Home 62.1%
3/9 349 MS Valley St Away 67.2%