Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions. All of these projections for Ark Pine Bluff are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Ark Pine Bluff Record and Rankings

Record: 13-19
Projected Final Record: 13.0-19.0

Southwestern Conference Record: 10-8
Projected Final Southwestern Record: 10.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southwestern: 5

Ark Pine Bluff Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 319
RPI Rank: 291
NET Rank: 323
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 0-7 12-8
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.600

Our current projections give the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Ark Pine Bluff’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Ark Pine Bluff Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 100 San Diego St Away L 60-76
11/10 213 Colorado St Away L 67-92
11/17 148 S Illinois Away L 48-78
11/19 239 Massachusetts Away L 60-92
11/23 204 Cal Baptist Neutal W 115-107
11/24 270 Ark Little Rock Neutal W 75-66
11/27 24 Cincinnati Away L 49-105
12/5 11 Texas Tech Away L 47-65
12/8 176 UC Santa Barbara Away L 45-55
12/10 No Rank Champion Bap Home W 84-51
12/20 164 North Texas Away L 66-77
12/22 175 Missouri St Away L 72-93
12/29 243 Troy Away L 63-71
1/5 350 MS Valley St Home W 64-52
1/12 330 Alabama St Home W 82-71
1/14 348 Alabama A&M Home W 50-49
1/19 338 Southern Univ Away L 67-69
1/21 346 Alcorn St Away L 69-74
1/26 211 TX Southern Home W 90-86
1/28 187 Prairie View Home L 63-79
2/2 297 Grambling Away L 55-79
2/4 327 Jackson St Away L 52-65
2/9 330 Alabama St Away W 75-69
2/11 348 Alabama A&M Away W 69-60
2/16 338 Southern Univ Home W 61-45
2/18 346 Alcorn St Home W 73-62
2/23 211 TX Southern Away L 74-94
2/25 187 Prairie View Away L 44-48
3/2 297 Grambling Home W 70-66
3/4 327 Jackson St Home L 56-57
3/9 350 MS Valley St Away W 91-57
3/12 297 Grambling Away L 52-59