Army Black Knights Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Army Black Knights. All of these projections for Army are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Army Record and Rankings

Record: 8-10
Projected Final Record: 13.3-17.7

Patriot League Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 8.3-9.7
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 6

Army Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 253
RPI Rank: 264
NET Rank: 263
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-2 1-2 6-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.333 0.545

Our current projections give the Army Black Knights a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Army’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Army Black Knights. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Army Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 286 Marist Home W 73-69
11/11 5 Duke Away L 72-94
11/16 235 Sacred Heart Neutral L 78-79
11/17 218 MA Lowell Neutral L 85-92
11/18 133 Brown Away L 66-86
11/21 No Rank NY Maritime Home W 91-40
11/24 187 Miami OH Away L 55-85
11/28 336 Binghamton Home W 67-56
12/1 267 Fairfield Home W 63-60
12/4 153 NJIT Away L 72-77
12/8 232 Air Force Away W 66-61
12/12 255 F Dickinson Away L 84-93
12/22 290 Niagara Home L 66-78
1/2 150 Bucknell Home L 63-64
1/5 309 Lafayette Home W 77-69
1/9 237 Boston Univ Away W 86-82
1/12 302 Loyola MD Away L 64-66
1/16 178 Colgate Home W 91-81
1/19 268 Navy Home 62.8%
1/23 176 Holy Cross Home 42.5%
1/26 309 Lafayette Away 54.8%
1/30 178 Colgate Away 20.3%
2/2 144 Lehigh Home 38.2%
2/6 176 Holy Cross Away 20.8%
2/9 222 American Univ Away 33.2%
2/13 237 Boston Univ Home 56.7%
2/16 268 Navy Away 43.9%
2/20 144 Lehigh Away 17.7%
2/24 222 American Univ Home 52.2%
2/27 302 Loyola MD Home 71.4%
3/2 150 Bucknell Away 17.9%