Army Black Knights Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Army Black Knights. All of these projections for Army are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Army Record and Rankings

Record: 13-19
Projected Final Record: 13.0-19.0

Patriot League Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 6

Army Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 251
RPI Rank: 244
NET Rank: 239
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-6 3-7 9-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.300 0.643

Our current projections give the Army Black Knights a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Army’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Army Black Knights. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Army Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 293 Marist Home W 73-69
11/11 2 Duke Away L 72-94
11/16 262 Sacred Heart Neutral L 78-79
11/17 274 MA Lowell Neutral L 85-92
11/18 145 Brown Away L 66-86
11/21 No Rank NY Maritime Home W 91-40
11/24 154 Miami OH Away L 55-85
11/28 321 Binghamton Home W 67-56
12/1 308 Fairfield Home W 63-60
12/4 174 NJIT Away L 72-77
12/8 222 Air Force Away W 66-61
12/12 202 F Dickinson Away L 84-93
12/22 303 Niagara Home L 66-78
1/2 146 Bucknell Home L 63-64
1/5 277 Lafayette Home W 77-69
1/9 241 Boston Univ Away W 86-82
1/12 279 Loyola MD Away L 64-66
1/16 127 Colgate Home W 91-81
1/19 247 Navy Home W 72-61
1/23 232 Holy Cross Home W 76-57
1/26 277 Lafayette Away W 69-63
1/30 127 Colgate Away L 56-76
2/2 159 Lehigh Home L 70-75
2/6 232 Holy Cross Away L 42-56
2/9 224 American Univ Away L 68-71
2/13 241 Boston Univ Home W 71-61
2/16 247 Navy Away L 68-79
2/20 159 Lehigh Away L 81-91
2/24 224 American Univ Home L 66-77
2/27 279 Loyola MD Home W 79-69
3/2 146 Bucknell Away L 61-62
3/7 159 Lehigh Away L 70-75