Atlantic 10 Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Atlantic 10 Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Atlantic 10 are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Atlantic 10 Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Rhode Island 25 6 25.6 6.4 17 3 17.6 3.4
2 St Bonaventure 25 7 25 7 15 5 15 5
3 Davidson 20 11 20.4 11.6 15 5 15.4 5.6
4 St Joseph’s PA 16 16 16 16 11 9 11 9
5 George Mason 16 17 16 17 10 10 10 10
6 St Louis 17 16 17 16 10 10 10 10
7 Richmond 12 20 12 20 10 10 10 10
8 VA Commonwealth 18 15 18 15 10 10 10 10
9 Dayton 14 17 14 17 8 11 8 11
10 Duquesne 16 16 16 16 7 12 7 12
11 G Washington 15 18 15 18 8 12 8 12
12 La Salle 13 19 13 19 7 12 7 12
13 Massachusetts 13 20 13 20 6 14 6 14
14 Fordham 9 22 9 22 4 15 4 15

Projected Atlantic 10 Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Atlantic 10 Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Rhode Island 7 6.814
St Bonaventure 10 5.924

Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Atlantic 10 team. The Atlantic-10 tournament is a fourteen team tournament played at a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Rhode Island
Tournament Site: Captial One Arena (Washington, DC)
First Round: March 7th, 2018
Second Round: March 8th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 9th, 2018
Semifinals: March 10th, 2018
Finals: March 11th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
2nd Rd Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Rhode Island
100%
100%
100%
100%
63.8%
2
St Bonaventure
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
3
Davidson
100%
100%
100%
100%
36.2%
4
St Joseph’s PA
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
5
George Mason
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
St Louis
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Richmond
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
VA Commonwealth
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Dayton
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Duquesne
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
G Washington
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
La Salle
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
13
Massachusetts
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
14
Fordham
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Atlantic 10 Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
3/11 Davidson 40.4% Rhode Island 59.6% Rhode Island wins by 4

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC