Atlantic Sun Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Atlantic Sun Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Atlantic Sun are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Atlantic Sun Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Lipscomb 25 7 25 7 14 2 14 2
2 Liberty 28 6 28 6 14 2 14 2
3 North Florida 16 17 16 17 9 7 9 7
4 FL Gulf Coast 14 18 14 18 9 7 9 7
5 NJIT 21 12 21 12 8 8 8 8
6 North Alabama 10 22 10 22 7 9 7 9
7 Jacksonville 12 20 12 20 5 11 5 11
8 Kennesaw 5 26 5 26 3 13 3 13
9 Stetson 7 24 7 24 3 13 3 13

Projected Atlantic Sun Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Atlantic Sun Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Liberty 12 3.383

Projected Atlantic Sun Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Atlantic Sun Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Lipscomb 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Liberty 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
North Florida 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
FL Gulf Coast 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
NJIT 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
North Alabama 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Jacksonville 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Kennesaw 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Stetson 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The top eight of nine teams in the Atlantic Sun Conference play in a standard eight-team tournament at the higher seed’s campus site.

Regular Season Champion: Lipscomb
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 4th, 2019
Semifinals: March 7th, 2019
Finals: March 10th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
Lipscomb
100%
100%
0%
2
Liberty
100%
100%
100%
3
North Florida
100%
0%
0%
4
FL Gulf Coast
0%
0%
0%
5
NJIT
100%
0%
0%
6
North Alabama
0%
0%
0%
7
Jacksonville
0%
0%
0%
8
Kennesaw
0%
0%
0%
9
Stetson
0%
0%
0%

Atlantic Sun Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC