These are the latest Atlantic Sun Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Atlantic Sun are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Atlantic Sun Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|3||FL Gulf Coast||12||17||13.4||17.6||7||7||8.4||7.6|
Projected Atlantic Sun Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Atlantic Sun Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|Lipscomb||Last 4 Out||3.802|
Projected Atlantic Sun Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Atlantic Sun Conference standings.
|FL Gulf Coast||0%||0%||45%||32%||100%|
Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The top eight of nine teams in the Atlantic Sun Conference play in a standard eight-team tournament at the higher seed’s campus site.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 4th, 2019
Semifinals: March 7th, 2019
Finals: March 10th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Semis||Finals||To Win|
Atlantic Sun Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/23||NJIT||57.5%||Jacksonville||42.5%||NJIT wins by 3|
|2/23||North Alabama||54%||Stetson||46%||North Alabama wins by 2|
|2/23||Kennesaw||10.6%||FL Gulf Coast||89.4%||FL Gulf Coast wins by 13|
|2/23||Liberty||67.2%||North Florida||32.8%||Liberty wins by 6|
|2/25||NJIT||12.2%||Lipscomb||87.8%||Lipscomb wins by 12|
|2/26||Jacksonville||51.8%||North Alabama||48.2%||Jacksonville wins by 1|
|2/26||Stetson||10.8%||North Florida||89.2%||North Florida wins by 13|
|2/26||Kennesaw||1.4%||Liberty||98.6%||Liberty wins by 22|
|3/1||FL Gulf Coast||49.3%||Jacksonville||50.7%||Jacksonville wins by 1|
|3/1||Lipscomb||89.4%||North Alabama||10.6%||Lipscomb wins by 13|
|3/1||Stetson||45.6%||Kennesaw||54.4%||Kennesaw wins by 2|
|3/1||Liberty||65.3%||NJIT||34.7%||Liberty wins by 5|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|