Atlantic Sun Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Atlantic Sun Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Atlantic Sun are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.

Atlantic Sun Projected Conference Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 FL Gulf Coast 20 10 20.7 10.3 11 2 11.7 2.3
2 Lipscomb 19 9 19.8 9.2 9 4 9.8 4.2
3 North Florida 13 17 13.5 17.5 7 6 7.5 6.5
4 Jacksonville 13 17 13.5 17.5 7 6 7.5 6.5
5 NJIT 13 15 13.7 15.3 6 7 6.7 7.3
6 Kennesaw 10 18 10.2 18.8 6 7 6.2 7.8
7 Stetson 12 18 12.3 18.7 4 9 4.3 9.7
8 SC Upstate 7 23 7.3 23.7 2 11 2.3 11.7

Projected Atlantic Sun Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Atlantic Sun Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
FL Gulf Coast 16 -0.325

Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Atlantic Sun team. The eight teams in the Atlantic Sun Conference play in a standard eight-team tournament at the higher seed’s campus site.

Regular Season Champion: FL Gulf Coast
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: February 26th, 2018
Semifinals: March 1st, 2018
Finals: March 4th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
FL Gulf Coast
93.1%
79.4%
56.4%
2
Lipscomb
83.2%
58.9%
26.9%
3
North Florida
65.6%
25.5%
7.2%
4
Jacksonville
45%
7%
1.8%
5
NJIT
55%
12.1%
4.8%
6
Kennesaw
34.4%
8.7%
2%
7
Stetson
16.8%
6.9%
0.7%
8
SC Upstate
6.9%
1.5%
0.2%

Atlantic Sun Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
2/22 North Florida 52.6% Jacksonville 47.4% North Florida wins by 1
2/22 FL Gulf Coast 72.1% Stetson 27.9% FL Gulf Coast wins by 7
2/22 NJIT 65.3% SC Upstate 34.7% NJIT wins by 5
2/22 Kennesaw 16.5% Lipscomb 83.5% Lipscomb wins by 10

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC