Ball State Cardinals Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Ball State Cardinals. All of these projections for Ball St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Ball St Record and Rankings

Record: 16-17
Projected Final Record: 16.0-17.0

MAC Conference Record: 6-12
Projected Final MAC Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAC: 11

Ball St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 149
RPI Rank: 175
NET Rank: 130
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-4 2-3 4-8 8-2
Win % by Tier 0.200 0.400 0.333 0.800

Our current projections give the Ball State Cardinals a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Ball St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Ball State Cardinals. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Ball St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 189 Indiana St Home W 86-69
11/10 12 Purdue Away L 75-84
11/15 17 Virginia Tech Neutral L 64-73
11/16 54 Alabama Neutral L 61-79
11/18 228 Appalachian St Neutal W 94-86
11/24 236 Evansville Home W 82-72
11/27 No Rank Tiffin Home W 108-62
12/1 216 IUPUI Away W 85-75
12/5 130 Loyola-Chicago Away W 75-69
12/9 236 Evansville Away L 77-89
12/17 209 Valparaiso Away W 77-61
12/20 301 Howard Home W 98-71
12/29 353 Delaware St Home W 116-57
1/4 64 Toledo Away W 79-64
1/8 155 E Michigan Home L 82-84
1/12 171 Ohio Home L 52-70
1/15 104 Bowling Green Away L 78-79
1/19 117 C Michigan Away W 83-72
1/22 154 Miami OH Home L 65-71
1/26 171 Ohio Away L 74-78
1/29 18 Buffalo Away L 59-83
2/2 112 Kent Home L 80-83
2/5 143 N Illinois Away W 72-71
2/9 282 W Michigan Home W 79-59
2/16 132 Akron Home W 57-56
2/19 154 Miami OH Away L 66-69
2/23 117 C Michigan Home L 57-64
2/26 64 Toledo Home L 72-80
3/2 282 W Michigan Away W 60-58
3/5 155 E Michigan Away L 61-68
3/8 143 N Illinois Home L 57-64
3/11 155 E Michigan Away W 61-43
3/14 104 Bowling Green Neutral L 86-99