Belmont Bruins Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Belmont Bruins. All of these projections for Belmont are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

Belmont Record and Rankings

Record: 22-7
Projected Final Record: 23.5-7.5

OVC Conference Record: 14-2
Projected Final OVC Record: 15.5-2.5
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 2

Belmont Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 85
RPI Rank: 81
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-3 1-1 5-2 14-1
Win % by Tier 0.400 0.500 0.714 0.933

Our current projections give the Belmont Bruins a 44.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 38.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 16.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Belmont’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 42.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.4%
NIT #5 Seed 17.6%
NIT #6 Seed 20.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Belmont Bruins. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Belmont Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 69 Washington Away L 82-86
11/13 84 Vanderbilt Home W 69-60
11/16 48 MTSU Away W 69-63
11/18 337 Houston Bap Home W 93-88
11/19 159 Seattle Home W 90-77
11/22 55 Providence Away L 65-66
11/27 165 Lipscomb Home L 66-74
11/29 21 TCU Away L 76-87
12/2 309 WI Green Bay Home W 86-75
12/4 165 Lipscomb Away L 54-69
12/13 214 WI Milwaukee Home W 82-63
12/16 325 Pepperdine Home W 79-62
12/19 70 WKU Away W 75-72
12/28 237 SE Missouri St Away W 94-72
12/30 303 TN Martin Away W 65-58
1/4 192 Tennessee Tech Home W 80-67
1/6 179 Jacksonville St Home L 60-64
1/11 293 Edwardsville Away W 76-61
1/13 260 E Illinois Away W 75-66
1/18 72 Murray St Home W 79-72
1/20 183 Austin Peay Home W 83-59
1/25 260 E Illinois Home W 81-59
1/27 293 Edwardsville Home W 83-72
2/1 283 E Kentucky Away W 98-63
2/3 306 Morehead St Away W 83-73
2/8 190 Tennessee St Away L 56-64
2/10 192 Tennessee Tech Away W 75-70
2/15 283 E Kentucky Home W 84-73
2/17 306 Morehead St Home W 108-65
2/22 179 Jacksonville St Away 58.8%
2/24 190 Tennessee St Home 86.6%