Belmont Bruins Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Belmont Bruins. All of these projections for Belmont are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Belmont Record and Rankings

Record: 7-1
Projected Final Record: 23.5-5.5

OVC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final OVC Record: 15.1-2.9
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 2

Belmont Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 59
RPI Rank: 12
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 12 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-0 1-1 1-0 3-0
Win % by Tier 1.000 0.500 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Belmont Bruins a 41.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 48.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 10.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Belmont’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 31.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 4.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 3.8%
NIT #2 Seed 6.0%
NIT #3 Seed 7.4%
NIT #4 Seed 9.2%
NIT #5 Seed 7.2%
NIT #6 Seed 9.4%
NIT #7 Seed 5.6%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Belmont Bruins. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Belmont Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 168 Illinois St Home W 100-89
11/12 253 MTSU Home W 92-73
11/15 55 Lipscomb Away W 87-83
11/20 No Rank Trevecca Naz Home W 104-50
11/24 329 Kennesaw Away W 91-53
11/29 111 Samford Away W 99-93
12/1 175 WI Green Bay Away L 92-100
12/4 55 Lipscomb Home W 76-74
12/15 52 UCLA Away 35.5%
12/19 114 WKU Home 80.4%
12/29 27 Purdue Away 18.9%
1/3 159 Jacksonville St Home 85.9%
1/5 335 Tennessee Tech Home 98.7%
1/10 274 Morehead St Home 93.4%
1/12 220 E Kentucky Home 92.2%
1/17 159 Jacksonville St Away 62.5%
1/19 308 Tennessee St Home 97.1%
1/24 68 Murray St Away 40.9%
1/26 188 Austin Peay Away 68%
1/31 279 SE Missouri St Home 93.4%
2/2 313 TN Martin Home 97.1%
2/7 220 E Kentucky Away 74.8%
2/9 274 Morehead St Away 80.9%
2/14 308 Tennessee St Away 83%
2/16 335 Tennessee Tech Away 92.1%
2/21 254 E Illinois Home 92.2%
2/23 328 SIUE Home 98.4%
2/28 313 TN Martin Away 82.8%
3/2 279 SE Missouri St Away 79.7%