Big 12 Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Big 12 Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big 12 are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Big 12 Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Kansas 27 7 27 7 16 5 16 5
2 Texas Tech 24 9 24 9 12 8 12 8
3 West Virginia 24 10 24 10 13 8 13 8
4 Kansas St 22 11 22 11 11 9 11 9
5 TCU 21 11 21 11 9 10 9 10
6 Baylor 18 14 18 14 8 11 8 11
7 Texas 19 14 19 14 9 11 9 11
8 Oklahoma St 19 14 19 14 9 11 9 11
9 Oklahoma 18 13 18 13 8 11 8 11
10 Iowa St 13 18 13 18 4 15 4 15

Projected Big 12 Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big 12 Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Kansas 1 12.333
West Virginia 4 9.348
Texas Tech 4 8.795
TCU 6 7.203
Kansas St 9 6.465
Texas 10 6.005
Oklahoma 11 5.463
Oklahoma St Last 4 Out 5.092
Baylor Next 4 Out 4.885

Big 12 Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big 12 Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Big 12 team. The Big 12 uses a standard ten team tournament at a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Kansas
Tournament Site: Sprint Center (Kansas City, MO)
First Round: March 7th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Kansas
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Texas Tech
100%
100%
0%
0%
3
West Virginia
100%
100%
100%
0%
4
Kansas St
100%
100%
0%
0%
5
TCU
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
Baylor
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Texas
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Oklahoma St
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Oklahoma
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Iowa St
0%
0%
0%
0%

Big 12 Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC