Big 12 Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Big 12 Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big 12 are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Big 12 Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Kansas St 25 8 25 8 14 4 14 4
2 Texas Tech 26 6 26 6 14 4 14 4
3 Kansas 25 9 25 9 12 6 12 6
4 Baylor 19 13 19 13 10 8 10 8
5 Iowa St 23 11 23 11 9 9 9 9
6 Texas 16 16 16 16 8 10 8 10
7 Oklahoma 19 13 19 13 7 11 7 11
8 TCU 20 13 20 13 7 11 7 11
9 Oklahoma St 12 20 12 20 5 13 5 13
10 West Virginia 14 20 14 20 4 14 4 14

Projected Big 12 Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big 12 Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Texas Tech 3 11.162
Kansas 4 10.961
Kansas St 4 9.728
Iowa St 5 9.708
Oklahoma 9 5.98
Baylor 10 5.583
TCU 11 5.328

Projected Big 12 Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Big 12 Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Kansas St 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Texas Tech 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Kansas 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Baylor 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Iowa St 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Texas 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Oklahoma 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
TCU 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Oklahoma St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
West Virginia 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big 12 Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big 12 Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Big 12 uses a standard ten team tournament at a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Kansas St
Tournament Site: Sprint Center (Kansas City, MO)
First Round: March 13th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Kansas St
100%
100%
0%
0%
2
Texas Tech
100%
0%
0%
0%
3
Kansas
100%
100%
100%
0%
4
Baylor
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
Iowa St
100%
100%
100%
100%
6
Texas
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Oklahoma
0%
0%
0%
0%
8
TCU
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Oklahoma St
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
West Virginia
100%
100%
0%
0%

Big 12 Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC