Big East Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Big East Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big East are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Big East Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Villanova 25 9 25 9 13 5 13 5
2 Marquette 24 9 24 9 12 6 12 6
3 Seton Hall 20 13 20 13 9 9 9 9
4 Xavier 18 15 18 15 9 9 9 9
5 Creighton 18 14 18 14 9 9 9 9
6 Georgetown 19 13 19 13 9 9 9 9
7 St John’s 21 12 21 12 8 10 8 10
8 Providence 18 15 18 15 7 11 7 11
9 Butler 16 16 16 16 7 11 7 11
10 DePaul 15 15 15 15 7 11 7 11

Projected Big East Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big East Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Villanova 6 8.584
Marquette 6 8.517
Seton Hall 8 6.423
St John’s Last 4 Out 4.565
Creighton Last 4 Out 4.472

Projected Big East Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Big East Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Villanova 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Marquette 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Seton Hall 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Xavier 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Creighton 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Georgetown 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
St John’s 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Providence 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Butler 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big East Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big East Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Big East Men’s Conference Championship features a ten team tournament at a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Villanova
Tournament Site: Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)
First Round: March 13th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Villanova
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Marquette
100%
100%
0%
0%
3
Seton Hall
100%
100%
100%
0%
4
Xavier
100%
100%
0%
0%
5
Creighton
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
Georgetown
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
St John’s
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Providence
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Butler
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
DePaul
0%
0%
0%
0%

Big East Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC