Big East Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Big East Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big East are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Big East Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Xavier 28 5 28 5 16 4 16 4
2 Villanova 30 4 30 4 17 4 17 4
3 Seton Hall 21 11 21 11 10 9 10 9
4 Creighton 21 11 21 11 10 9 10 9
5 Providence 21 13 21 13 12 9 12 9
6 Butler 20 13 20 13 10 10 10 10
7 Marquette 19 13 19 13 10 10 10 10
8 Georgetown 15 15 15 15 5 14 5 14
9 St John’s 16 17 16 17 5 15 5 15
10 DePaul 11 20 11 20 4 15 4 15

Projected Big East Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big East Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Villanova 1 13.72
Xavier 1 11.325
Seton Hall 7 7.033
Butler 8 6.553
Creighton 9 6.436
Providence 9 6.38
Marquette Last 4 Out 5.201

Big East Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big East Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Big East team. The Big East Men’s Conference Championship features a ten team tournament at a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Xavier
Tournament Site: Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)
First Round: March 7th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Xavier
100%
100%
0%
0%
2
Villanova
100%
100%
100%
100%
3
Seton Hall
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
Creighton
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
Providence
100%
100%
100%
0%
6
Butler
100%
100%
0%
0%
7
Marquette
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Georgetown
0%
0%
0%
0%
9
St John’s
100%
0%
0%
0%
10
DePaul
0%
0%
0%
0%

Big East Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC