Big Sky Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Big Sky Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big Sky are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Big Sky Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Montana 26 7 26 7 19 2 19 2
2 Idaho 22 9 22 9 14 5 14 5
3 E Washington 20 14 20 14 15 6 15 6
4 Weber St 20 11 20 11 13 6 13 6
5 N Colorado 22 12 22 12 13 8 13 8
6 Portland St 20 13 20 13 10 10 10 10
7 Idaho St 14 16 14 16 9 10 9 10
8 North Dakota 12 20 12 20 7 13 7 13
9 Montana St 13 19 13 19 6 13 6 13
10 Southern Utah 13 19 13 19 7 14 7 14
11 CS Sacramento 7 25 7 25 4 15 4 15
12 Northern Arizona 5 27 5 27 2 17 2 17

Projected Big Sky Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big Sky Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Montana 13 3.214

Big Sky Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big Sky Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Big Sky team. The Big Sky Men’s Basketball Tournament is a standard twelve team tournament that is played on a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Montana
Tournament Site: Reno Events Center (Reno, NV)
First Round: March 6th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Montana
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Idaho
100%
0%
0%
0%
3
E Washington
100%
100%
100%
0%
4
Weber St
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
N Colorado
100%
100%
0%
0%
6
Portland St
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Idaho St
0%
0%
0%
0%
8
North Dakota
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Montana St
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Southern Utah
100%
100%
0%
0%
11
CS Sacramento
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
Northern Arizona
0%
0%
0%
0%

Big Sky Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC