Big Sky Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Big Sky Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big Sky are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Big Sky Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Montana 26 8 26 8 16 4 16 4
2 N Colorado 21 11 21 11 15 5 15 5
3 E Washington 16 18 16 18 12 8 12 8
4 Weber St 18 15 18 15 11 9 11 9
5 Portland St 16 16 16 16 11 9 11 9
6 Montana St 15 17 15 17 11 9 11 9
7 Southern Utah 16 16 16 16 9 11 9 11
8 Northern Arizona 10 21 10 21 8 12 8 12
9 CS Sacramento 15 16 15 16 8 12 8 12
10 Idaho St 11 19 11 19 7 13 7 13
11 Idaho 5 27 5 27 2 18 2 18

Projected Big Sky Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big Sky Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Montana 15 0.851

Projected Big Sky Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Big Sky Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Montana 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
N Colorado 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
E Washington 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Weber St 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Portland St 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Montana St 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Southern Utah 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Northern Arizona 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
CS Sacramento 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big Sky Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big Sky Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Big Sky Men’s Basketball Tournament is a standard eleven team tournament that is played on a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Montana
Tournament Site: CenturyLink Arena (Boise, ID)
First Round: March 13th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Montana
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
N Colorado
100%
0%
0%
0%
3
E Washington
100%
100%
100%
0%
4
Weber St
100%
100%
0%
0%
5
Portland St
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
Montana St
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Southern Utah
100%
100%
0%
0%
8
Northern Arizona
0%
0%
0%
0%
9
CS Sacramento
100%
0%
0%
0%
10
Idaho St
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
Idaho
0%
0%
0%
0%

Big Sky Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC