Big South Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Big South Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big South are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/10/2018.

Big South Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Radford 6 3 20.9 9.1 0 0 10.2 2.8
2 Gardner Webb 6 5 19.1 11.9 0 0 9 5
3 Winthrop 4 4 17.1 11.9 0 0 8.1 4.9
4 Campbell 4 4 16.4 12.6 0 0 6.7 5.3
5 High Point 4 5 16 14 0 0 6.7 6.3
6 Charleston So 4 4 13.6 15.4 0 0 5.8 7.2
7 Presbyterian 4 5 13.6 17.4 0 0 5.1 7.9
8 Longwood 7 4 16.7 14.3 0 0 5 7
9 UNC Asheville 1 8 4.1 25.9 0 0 1.4 11.6
10 Liberty 7 2 23.9 6.1 0 0 0 0

Projected Big South Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big South Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Liberty 14 3.421

Projected Big South Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Big South Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Radford 47% 29% 16% 3% 100%
Gardner Webb 35% 33% 11% 11% 100%
Winthrop 12% 14% 32% 20% 100%
Campbell 1% 6% 20% 18% 99%
High Point 3% 10% 10% 24% 97%
Charleston So 2% 3% 4% 9% 97%
Presbyterian 0% 2% 4% 8% 94%
Longwood 0% 3% 3% 7% 95%
UNC Asheville 0% 0% 0% 0% 18%
Liberty 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big South Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big South Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Big South Men’s Conference Tournament is unique in it’s set up. The First Round is played at the site of the higher seed, but then the Quarterfinals and Semifinals are played on the campus of the Regular Season winner. The Finals, however, are then played at the home site of the highest remaining seed.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
First Round: March 5th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 7th, 2019
Semifinals: March 8th, 2019
Finals: March 10th, 2019

Coming Soon!

Big South Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
1/5 Gardner Webb 46.7% Campbell 53.3% Campbell wins by 1
1/5 High Point 50% Charleston So 50% High Point wins by 1
1/5 Longwood 8.9% Radford 91.1% Radford wins by 13
1/5 Winthrop 92% UNC Asheville 8% Winthrop wins by 14
1/10 Presbyterian 20.6% High Point 79.4% High Point wins by 9
1/10 UNC Asheville 6.6% Longwood 93.4% Longwood wins by 16
1/10 Winthrop 43.3% Campbell 56.7% Campbell wins by 3
1/12 Presbyterian 7.4% Radford 92.6% Radford wins by 15
1/12 Charleston So 37.6% Longwood 62.5% Longwood wins by 4
1/12 High Point 30.5% Winthrop 69.5% Winthrop wins by 6
1/16 Campbell 89.4% UNC Asheville 10.6% Campbell wins by 13
1/16 Longwood 21.3% Winthrop 78.7% Winthrop wins by 8
1/17 Gardner Webb 18.2% Radford 81.8% Radford wins by 10
1/19 Campbell 54% Charleston So 46% Campbell wins by 2
1/19 Radford 93.3% UNC Asheville 6.7% Radford wins by 16
1/19 Longwood 48.5% Presbyterian 51.5% Presbyterian wins by 1
1/21 Radford 69.1% Longwood 30.9% Radford wins by 6
1/21 UNC Asheville 1.6% Winthrop 98.4% Winthrop wins by 20

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC