Big South Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Big South Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big South are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.

Big South Projected Conference Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Winthrop 18 9 19.4 9.6 12 4 13.4 4.6
2 UNC Asheville 19 10 20 11 12 4 13 5
3 Radford 17 12 18.1 12.9 10 6 11.1 6.9
4 Campbell 15 13 16.3 13.7 9 7 10.3 7.7
5 Liberty 17 12 18.3 12.7 8 8 9.3 8.7
6 High Point 13 14 14.2 14.8 8 8 9.2 8.8
7 Gardner Webb 12 17 12.9 18.1 7 9 7.9 10.1
8 Charleston So 12 15 12.7 16.3 7 9 7.7 10.3
9 Presbyterian 11 18 11.7 19.3 4 12 4.7 13.3
10 Longwood 6 23 6.4 24.6 3 13 3.4 14.6

Projected Big South Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big South Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Winthrop 16 0.247

Big South Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big South Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Big South team. The Big South Men’s Conference Tournament is unique in it’s set up. The First Round is played at the site of the higher seed, but then the Quarterfinals and Semifinals are played on the campus of the Regular Season winner. The Finals, however, are then played at the home site of the highest remaining seed.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
First Round: February 27th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 1st, 2018
Semifinals: March 2nd, 2018
Finals: March 4th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Winthrop
100%
86.1%
63.6%
49.4%
2
UNC Asheville
100%
79.6%
49.1%
18%
3
Radford
100%
66.3%
32.3%
12.2%
4
Campbell
100%
49.5%
13.3%
4.2%
5
Liberty
100%
50.5%
18.9%
10.1%
6
High Point
100%
33.7%
13.7%
3.6%
7
Gardner Webb
76.4%
17.1%
4.4%
1.1%
8
Charleston So
73%
12.1%
3.8%
1.3%
9
Presbyterian
27%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
10
Longwood
23.6%
3.3%
0.5%
0%

Big South Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
2/22 Campbell 44.5% Charleston So 55.5% Charleston So wins by 2
2/22 Radford 38.5% Liberty 61.5% Liberty wins by 4
2/22 Winthrop 55.5% UNC Asheville 44.5% Winthrop wins by 2
2/22 Gardner Webb 50.4% Presbyterian 49.6% Gardner Webb wins by 1
2/23 Longwood 11.1% High Point 88.9% High Point wins by 12
2/24 Presbyterian 16.7% Campbell 83.3% Campbell wins by 10
2/24 High Point 29% Liberty 71% Liberty wins by 7
2/24 Charleston So 13.4% Winthrop 86.6% Winthrop wins by 12
2/24 UNC Asheville 60.1% Gardner Webb 39.9% UNC Asheville wins by 4
2/24 Radford 75.7% Longwood 24.3% Radford wins by 8

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC