Big South Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Big South Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big South are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Big South Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Campbell 20 12 20 12 12 4 12 4
2 Radford 22 11 22 11 12 4 12 4
3 Winthrop 18 12 18 12 10 6 10 6
4 Gardner Webb 23 11 23 11 10 6 10 6
5 High Point 16 15 16 15 9 7 9 7
6 Charleston So 17 15 17 15 9 7 9 7
7 Presbyterian 18 15 18 15 9 7 9 7
8 Hampton 15 16 15 16 9 7 9 7
9 Longwood 15 17 15 17 5 11 5 11
10 UNC Asheville 4 27 4 27 2 14 2 14
11 SC Upstate 6 26 6 26 1 15 1 15

Projected Big South Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big South Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Gardner Webb 15 -0.414

Projected Big South Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Big South Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Campbell 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Radford 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Winthrop 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Gardner Webb 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
High Point 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Charleston So 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Presbyterian 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Hampton 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Longwood 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNC Asheville 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big South Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big South Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Big South Men’s Conference Tournament is unique in it’s set up. The First Round is played at the site of the higher seed, but then the Quarterfinals and Semifinals are played on the campus of the Regular Season winner. The Finals, however, are then played at the home site of the highest remaining seed.

Regular Season Champion: Campbell
Tournament Site: Campus Sites & Regular Season Champ Site
First Round: March 5th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 7th, 2019
Semifinals: March 8th, 2019
Finals: March 10th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Campbell
100%
100%
0%
0%
2
Radford
100%
100%
100%
0%
3
Winthrop
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
Gardner Webb
100%
100%
100%
100%
5
High Point
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
Charleston So
100%
100%
0%
0%
7
Presbyterian
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Hampton
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Longwood
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
UNC Asheville
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
SC Upstate
0%
0%
0%
0%

Big South Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC