These are the latest Big Ten Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big Ten are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.
Big Ten Projected Conference Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected Big Ten Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big Ten Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|Nebraska||Last 4 Out||4.528|
Big Ten Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big Ten Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Big Ten team. The Big Ten Tournament is being played a week early this year as Madison Square Garden is also the site for the Big East Tournament the following week.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)
First Round: February 28th, 2018
Second Round: March 1st, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 2nd, 2018
Semifinals: March 3rd, 2018
Finals: March 4th, 2018
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
|2nd Rd||Qtrs||Semis||Finals||To Win|
Big Ten Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Michigan||42.2%||Penn St||57.8%||Penn St wins by 3|
|2/21||Iowa||35.9%||Minnesota||64.1%||Minnesota wins by 5|
|2/22||Purdue||79.4%||Illinois||20.6%||Purdue wins by 9|
|2/22||Wisconsin||34.4%||Northwestern||65.6%||Northwestern wins by 5|
|2/23||Ohio St||57.8%||Indiana||42.2%||Ohio St wins by 3|
|2/24||Michigan||44.9%||Maryland||55.1%||Maryland wins by 2|
|2/25||Minnesota||7.4%||Purdue||92.6%||Purdue wins by 15|
|2/25||Illinois||43.7%||Rutgers||56.3%||Rutgers wins by 2|
|2/25||Northwestern||48.2%||Iowa||51.8%||Iowa wins by 1|
|2/25||Penn St||48.2%||Nebraska||51.8%||Nebraska wins by 1|
|2/25||Michigan St||72.5%||Wisconsin||27.5%||Michigan St wins by 7|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|