These are the latest Big Ten Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big Ten are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/10/2018.
Big Ten Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected Big Ten Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big Ten Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|Iowa||Next 4 Out||4.771|
Projected Big Ten Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Big Ten Conference standings.
Big Ten Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big Ten Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. After playing a week early last year at Madison Square Garden, the Big Ten Tournament is back to it’s normal schedule.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: United Center (Chicago, IL)
First Round: March 13th, 2019
Second Round: March 14th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 15th, 2019
Semifinals: March 16th, 2019
Finals: March 17th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
|2nd Rd||Qtrs||Semis||Finals||To Win|
Big Ten Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|1/2||Northwestern||10.3%||Michigan St||89.7%||Michigan St wins by 13|
|1/2||Nebraska||47.8%||Maryland||52.2%||Maryland wins by 1|
|1/3||Illinois||8.2%||Indiana||91.8%||Indiana wins by 14|
|1/3||Iowa||32.8%||Purdue||67.2%||Purdue wins by 6|
|1/3||Penn St||7%||Michigan||93%||Michigan wins by 16|
|1/3||Minnesota||13.7%||Wisconsin||86.4%||Wisconsin wins by 11|
|1/5||Maryland||60.8%||Rutgers||39.2%||Maryland wins by 4|
|1/5||Michigan St||47.8%||Ohio St||52.2%||Ohio St wins by 1|
|1/6||Illinois||16.2%||Northwestern||83.8%||Northwestern wins by 10|
|1/6||Indiana||13%||Michigan||87%||Michigan wins by 12|
|1/6||Wisconsin||61.5%||Penn St||38.5%||Wisconsin wins by 4|
|1/6||Nebraska||52.2%||Iowa||47.8%||Nebraska wins by 1|
|1/8||Maryland||47.1%||Minnesota||52.9%||Minnesota wins by 1|
|1/8||Purdue||16%||Michigan St||84%||Michigan St wins by 10|
|1/9||Iowa||44.5%||Northwestern||55.5%||Northwestern wins by 2|
|1/9||Ohio St||70.3%||Rutgers||29.7%||Ohio St wins by 7|
|1/10||Michigan||90.8%||Illinois||9.2%||Michigan wins by 13|
|1/10||Penn St||16.2%||Nebraska||83.8%||Nebraska wins by 10|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|