Big West Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Big West Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big West are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Big West Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 UC Irvine 30 5 30 5 15 1 15 1
2 UC Santa Barbara 22 10 22 10 10 6 10 6
3 CS Fullerton 16 17 16 17 10 6 10 6
4 Hawaii 18 13 18 13 9 7 9 7
5 Long Beach St 15 19 15 19 8 8 8 8
6 UC Davis 11 20 11 20 7 9 7 9
7 CS Northridge 13 20 13 20 7 9 7 9
8 UC Riverside 10 23 10 23 4 12 4 12
9 Cal Poly 6 23 6 23 2 14 2 14

Projected Big West Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big West Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
UC Irvine 13 2.932

Projected Big West Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Big West Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
UC Irvine 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
UC Santa Barbara 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
CS Fullerton 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Hawaii 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Long Beach St 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
UC Davis 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
CS Northridge 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
UC Riverside 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Cal Poly 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big West Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big West Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Big West Men’s Conference Championship follows a standard eight team tournament set up on a neutral court.

Regular Season Champion: UC Irvine
Tournament Site: Honda Center (Anaheim, CA)
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
UC Irvine
100%
100%
100%
2
UC Santa Barbara
100%
0%
0%
3
CS Fullerton
100%
100%
0%
4
Hawaii
0%
0%
0%
5
Long Beach St
100%
0%
0%
6
UC Davis
0%
0%
0%
7
CS Northridge
0%
0%
0%
8
UC Riverside
0%
0%
0%

Big West Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC