These are the latest Big West Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big West are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Big West Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|4||UC Santa Barbara||17||8||20.3||9.7||6||5||9.3||6.7|
|6||Long Beach St||10||18||12.5||19.5||4||8||6.5||9.5|
Projected Big West Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big West Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Projected Big West Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Big West Conference standings.
|UC Santa Barbara||0%||9%||24%||41%||100%|
|Long Beach St||0%||0%||0%||1%||100%|
Big West Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big West Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Big West Men’s Conference Championship follows a standard eight team tournament set up on a neutral court.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Honda Center (Anaheim, CA)
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Semis||Finals||To Win|
Big West Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Cal Poly||1.5%||UC Irvine||98.5%||UC Irvine wins by 21|
|2/21||UC Davis||27.2%||CS Fullerton||72.8%||CS Fullerton wins by 7|
|2/21||Hawaii||43.1%||UC Santa Barbara||56.9%||UC Santa Barbara wins by 3|
|2/23||Hawaii||80.9%||Cal Poly||19.1%||Hawaii wins by 9|
|2/23||UC Davis||51.8%||CS Northridge||48.2%||UC Davis wins by 1|
|2/23||CS Fullerton||38.5%||UC Santa Barbara||61.5%||UC Santa Barbara wins by 4|
|2/23||Long Beach St||57.1%||UC Riverside||42.9%||Long Beach St wins by 3|
|2/27||UC Riverside||27.2%||CS Northridge||72.8%||CS Northridge wins by 7|
|2/28||Cal Poly||7.8%||CS Fullerton||92.2%||CS Fullerton wins by 15|
|2/28||UC Irvine||65.3%||UC Davis||34.7%||UC Irvine wins by 5|
|2/28||Long Beach St||21.8%||UC Santa Barbara||78.2%||UC Santa Barbara wins by 8|
|3/2||CS Northridge||15%||Hawaii||85%||Hawaii wins by 11|
|3/2||UC Irvine||82.1%||UC Riverside||17.9%||UC Irvine wins by 10|
|3/2||CS Fullerton||49.3%||UC Davis||50.7%||UC Davis wins by 1|
|3/2||Cal Poly||13%||Long Beach St||87%||Long Beach St wins by 12|
|3/6||UC Riverside||18.9%||Long Beach St||81.1%||Long Beach St wins by 9|
|3/7||UC Irvine||91.7%||Cal Poly||8.3%||UC Irvine wins by 14|
|3/7||Hawaii||54.8%||UC Davis||45.2%||Hawaii wins by 2|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|