These are the latest Big West Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Big West are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.
Big West Projected Conference Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|1||UC Santa Barbara||20||6||23||7||9||3||12||4|
|5||Long Beach St||13||15||14.8||17.2||7||5||8.8||7.2|
Projected Big West Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Big West Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|UC Santa Barbara||14||1.682|
Big West Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Big West Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Big West team. The Big West Men’s Conference Championship follows a standard eight team tournament set up on a neutral court.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Honda Center (Anaheim, CA)
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Semis||Finals||To Win|
Big West Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||CS Fullerton||60.8%||UC Riverside||39.2%||CS Fullerton wins by 4|
|2/22||UC Santa Barbara||47.8%||UC Irvine||52.2%||UC Irvine wins by 1|
|2/22||CS Northridge||29.4%||Cal Poly||70.6%||Cal Poly wins by 7|
|2/22||Long Beach St||41.2%||Hawaii||58.8%||Hawaii wins by 3|
|2/24||UC Riverside||13.2%||UC Davis||86.8%||UC Davis wins by 12|
|2/24||Long Beach St||35.1%||CS Fullerton||64.9%||CS Fullerton wins by 5|
|2/24||UC Santa Barbara||80.6%||CS Northridge||19.4%||UC Santa Barbara wins by 9|
|2/24||UC Irvine||51.8%||Hawaii||48.2%||UC Irvine wins by 1|
|2/28||CS Fullerton||68.3%||CS Northridge||31.7%||CS Fullerton wins by 6|
|3/1||Hawaii||23.8%||UC Davis||76.2%||UC Davis wins by 8|
|3/1||Long Beach St||18.4%||UC Santa Barbara||81.6%||UC Santa Barbara wins by 9|
|3/1||Cal Poly||36.2%||UC Riverside||63.8%||UC Riverside wins by 5|
|3/3||UC Davis||39.2%||UC Irvine||60.8%||UC Irvine wins by 4|
|3/3||Hawaii||31.7%||CS Fullerton||68.3%||CS Fullerton wins by 6|
|3/3||UC Riverside||17.2%||Long Beach St||82.8%||Long Beach St wins by 10|
|3/3||Cal Poly||8%||UC Santa Barbara||92%||UC Santa Barbara wins by 14|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|