Boise State Broncos Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Boise State Broncos. All of these projections for Boise St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Boise St Record and Rankings

Record: 13-20
Projected Final Record: 13.0-20.0

Mountain West Conference Record: 7-11
Projected Final Mountain West Record: 7.0-11.0
Projected Final Rank in the Mountain West: 9

Boise St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 182
RPI Rank: 216
NET Rank: 149
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-6 0-6 3-5 9-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.375 0.750

Our current projections give the Boise State Broncos a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Boise St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Boise State Broncos. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Boise St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 318 Idaho St Home L 70-72
11/16 327 Jackson St Home W 70-53
11/19 52 Creighton Neutral L 82-94
11/20 125 St Bonaventure Neutal W 72-52
11/21 179 Illinois St Neutral L 70-73
11/27 111 Drake Away L 74-83
12/1 123 Grand Canyon Away L 67-69
12/8 No Rank C Washington Home W 82-62
12/12 330 Alabama St Home W 67-57
12/15 57 Oregon Away L 54-66
12/19 134 Loy Marymount Away L 69-70
12/22 199 Pacific Home W 83-71
12/29 57 Oregon Home L 50-62
1/2 315 Wyoming Away W 69-55
1/5 100 San Diego St Home W 88-64
1/12 339 San Jose St Away W 87-64
1/15 28 Nevada Home L 71-72
1/19 86 Fresno St Home L 53-63
1/22 222 Air Force Away L 60-74
1/26 315 Wyoming Home W 77-52
1/29 213 Colorado St Away W 70-68
2/2 28 Nevada Away L 73-93
2/6 156 UNLV Home L 72-83
2/9 339 San Jose St Home W 105-57
2/13 86 Fresno St Away L 63-65
2/16 100 San Diego St Away L 65-71
2/23 30 Utah St Home L 71-78
2/27 213 Colorado St Home L 62-76
3/2 156 UNLV Away L 81-85
3/6 191 New Mexico Away L 72-73
3/9 222 Air Force Home W 80-52
3/13 213 Colorado St Neutal W 66-57
3/14 28 Nevada Neutral L 69-77