Boston College Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Boston College Eagles. All of these projections for Boston College are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Boston College Record and Rankings

Record: 9-7
Projected Final Record: 13.4-16.6

ACC Conference Record: 0-4
Projected Final ACC Record: 4.4-13.6
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 14

Boston College Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 123
RPI Rank: 136
NET Rank: 141
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-0 2-2 6-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.500 0.750

Our current projections give the Boston College Eagles a 2.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 5.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 92.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Boston College’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 1.6%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Boston College Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Boston College Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 267 WI Milwaukee Home W 73-53
11/11 219 St Francis NY Home W 74-69
11/14 193 IUPUI Home L 69-76
11/19 318 Wyoming Neutal W 88-76
11/21 100 Loyola-Chicago Neutal W 78-66
11/26 43 Minnesota Home W 68-56
11/29 248 Sacred Heart Home W 81-73
12/4 80 Providence Home L 95-100
12/12 282 Columbia Home W 82-73
12/16 289 Fairfield Home W 77-67
12/22 88 DePaul Away W 65-62
12/31 200 Hartford Home L 78-79
1/5 11 Virginia Tech Away L 66-77
1/9 1 Virginia Home L 56-83
1/12 82 Notre Dame Away L 66-69
1/16 21 Louisville Away L 70-80
1/20 27 Florida St Home 28.8%
1/26 164 Wake Forest Away 51.8%
1/30 41 Syracuse Home 38.9%
2/2 82 Notre Dame Home 51.8%
2/5 3 Duke Away 1.3%
2/9 41 Syracuse Away 13%
2/12 65 Pittsburgh Home 48.9%
2/17 97 Miami FL Home 55.5%
2/20 33 NC State Away 11.7%
2/23 44 Clemson Away 14.3%
2/27 21 Louisville Home 31.7%
3/3 89 Georgia Tech Away 28.2%
3/5 10 North Carolina Home 21.8%
3/9 33 NC State Home 38.2%