Boston College Eagles Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Boston College Eagles. All of these projections for Boston College are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Boston College Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 16.3-13.7

ACC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final ACC Record: 6.4-11.6
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 12

Boston College Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 69
RPI Rank: 142
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Boston College Eagles a 7.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 31.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 61.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Boston College’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 5.8%
NIT #3 Seed 8.4%
NIT #4 Seed 9.4%
NIT #5 Seed 7.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Boston College Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Boston College Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 271 WI Milwaukee Home W 73-53
11/11 220 St Francis NY Home W 74-69
11/14 257 IUPUI Home 93.4%
11/19 244 Wyoming Neutral 88.4%
11/26 109 Minnesota Home 77.7%
11/29 310 Sacred Heart Home 98.5%
12/4 71 Providence Home 62.5%
12/8 70 Texas A&M Away 37.9%
12/12 270 Columbia Home 93%
12/16 133 Fairfield Home 86.4%
12/22 98 DePaul Away 48.5%
12/31 307 Hartford Home 98.7%
1/5 22 Virginia Tech Away 16.7%
1/9 4 Virginia Home 27.5%
1/12 41 Notre Dame Away 25.2%
1/16 38 Louisville Away 24.7%
1/20 10 Florida St Home 37.6%
1/26 103 Wake Forest Away 48.5%
1/30 26 Syracuse Home 45.2%
2/2 41 Notre Dame Home 52.2%
2/5 1 Duke Away 1.6%
2/9 26 Syracuse Away 18.4%
2/12 177 Pittsburgh Home 89.7%
2/17 23 Miami FL Home 44.9%
2/20 25 NC State Away 18.2%
2/23 21 Clemson Away 17.9%
2/27 38 Louisville Home 51.8%
3/3 96 Georgia Tech Away 47.4%
3/5 5 North Carolina Home 28.8%
3/9 25 NC State Home 44.5%