Brigham Young Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Brigham Young. All of these projections for BYU are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

BYU Record and Rankings

Record: 19-13
Projected Final Record: 19.0-13.0

WCC Conference Record: 11-5
Projected Final WCC Record: 11.0-5.0
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 3

BYU Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 90
RPI Rank: 66
NET Rank: 84
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-6 4-3 5-4 9-0
Win % by Tier 0.143 0.571 0.556 1.000

Our current projections give the Brigham Young a 1.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 8.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 90.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account BYU’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.6%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 1.6%
NIT #6 Seed 2.2%
NIT #7 Seed 3.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Brigham Young. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

BYU Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 28 Nevada Away L 70-86
11/9 88 Utah Valley Home W 75-65
11/13 332 Northwestern LA Home W 82-57
11/15 292 Oral Roberts Home W 85-65
11/17 348 Alabama A&M Home W 91-60
11/21 237 Rice Home W 105-78
11/24 9 Houston Home L 62-76
11/28 179 Illinois St Away L 89-92
12/1 217 Weber St Away L 103-113
12/5 30 Utah St Home W 95-80
12/8 96 Utah Neutal W 74-59
12/12 264 Portland St Home W 85-66
12/15 156 UNLV Neutral L 90-92
12/22 100 San Diego St Away L 81-90
12/29 21 Mississippi St Away L 81-103
1/3 199 Pacific Away W 90-87
1/5 39 St Mary’s CA Away L 66-88
1/10 329 Portland Home W 79-56
1/12 172 Santa Clara Home W 80-74
1/17 167 Pepperdine Away W 87-76
1/19 94 San Francisco Away L 63-82
1/24 39 St Mary’s CA Home W 71-66
1/31 7 Gonzaga Home L 63-93
2/2 134 Loy Marymount Home W 67-49
2/7 329 Portland Away W 83-48
2/9 199 Pacific Home W 69-59
2/14 102 San Diego Away W 88-82
2/16 134 Loy Marymount Away W 70-62
2/21 94 San Francisco Home L 71-77
2/23 7 Gonzaga Away L 68-102
3/2 102 San Diego Home W 87-73
3/9 102 San Diego Neutral L 57-80