Brigham Young Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Brigham Young. All of these projections for BYU are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

BYU Record and Rankings

Record: 21-8
Projected Final Record: 22.1-8.9

WCC Conference Record: 10-6
Projected Final WCC Record: 11.1-6.9
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 3

BYU Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 87
RPI Rank: 82
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 2-0 8-2 11-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.800 0.846

Our current projections give the Brigham Young a 5.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 1.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 93.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account BYU’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 4.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.2%
NIT #5 Seed 1.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Brigham Young. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

BYU Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 350 MS Valley St Home W 91-61
11/15 212 Princeton Away W 65-56
11/18 169 UT Arlington Home L 75-89
11/21 175 Niagara Home W 95-88
11/24 40 Alabama Brooklyn, NY L 59-71
11/25 197 Massachusetts Brooklyn, NY W 68-66
11/29 101 Utah Valley Away W 85-58
12/2 132 Utah St Away W 75-66
12/6 131 Illinois St Home W 80-68
12/9 125 Weber St Salt Lake City, UT W 74-68
12/16 52 Utah Home W 77-65
12/21 242 Idaho St Home W 85-71
12/23 301 TX Southern Home W 73-52
12/28 253 Portland Home W 69-45
12/30 33 St Mary’s CA Home L 64-74
1/4 140 San Francisco Away W 69-59
1/6 168 Pacific Away L 66-67
1/11 325 Pepperdine Home W 83-63
1/13 221 Santa Clara Away W 84-50
1/18 262 Loy Marymount Home W 82-67
1/20 146 San Diego Home W 74-58
1/25 33 St Mary’s CA Away L 62-75
1/27 168 Pacific Home W 80-65
2/1 262 Loy Marymount Away L 69-76
2/3 13 Gonzaga Away L 60-68
2/8 221 Santa Clara Home W 80-58
2/10 140 San Francisco Home W 75-73
2/15 325 Pepperdine Away W 75-70
2/17 146 San Diego Away L 62-75
2/22 253 Portland Away 76.7%
2/24 13 Gonzaga Home 35.9%