Brigham Young Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Brigham Young. All of these projections for BYU are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

BYU Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 19.1-11.9

WCC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final WCC Record: 9.3-6.7
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 3

BYU Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 93
RPI Rank: 64
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Brigham Young a 1.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 7.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 90.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account BYU’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.4%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 1.6%
NIT #4 Seed 2.0%
NIT #5 Seed 2.4%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Brigham Young. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

BYU Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 16 Nevada Away L 70-86
11/9 183 Utah Valley Home W 75-65
11/13 342 Northwestern LA Home 98.7%
11/15 312 Oral Roberts Home 97.7%
11/17 348 Alabama A&M Home 98.7%
11/21 268 Rice Home 93%
11/24 33 Houston Home 40.2%
11/28 157 Illinois St Away 58.8%
12/1 211 Weber St Away 70.3%
12/5 165 Utah St Home 84.7%
12/8 43 Utah Neutral 34.6%
12/12 226 Portland St Home 92%
12/15 208 UNLV Away 63.4%
12/22 79 San Diego St Away 32.4%
12/29 32 Mississippi St Away 15.5%
1/3 188 Pacific Away 61.8%
1/5 35 St Mary’s CA Away 16.5%
1/10 284 Portland Home 93.4%
1/12 285 Santa Clara Home 93.4%
1/17 243 Pepperdine Away 68.3%
1/19 104 San Francisco Away 44.1%
1/24 35 St Mary’s CA Home 41.5%
1/31 3 Gonzaga Home 18.2%
2/2 155 Loy Marymount Home 83%
2/7 284 Portland Away 80.6%
2/9 188 Pacific Home 86.1%
2/14 106 San Diego Away 43.7%
2/16 155 Loy Marymount Away 57.8%
2/21 104 San Francisco Home 68%
2/23 3 Gonzaga Away 6.3%
3/2 106 San Diego Home 67.2%