Brigham Young Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Brigham Young. All of these projections for BYU are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

BYU Record and Rankings

Record: 11-8
Projected Final Record: 16.8-14.2

WCC Conference Record: 3-1
Projected Final WCC Record: 8.8-7.2
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 4

BYU Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 116
RPI Rank: 118
NET Rank: 116
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 3-1 1-4 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.750 0.200 1.000

Our current projections give the Brigham Young a 3.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 5.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 91.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account BYU’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 1.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 1.2%
NIT #5 Seed 1.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Brigham Young. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

BYU Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 20 Nevada Away L 70-86
11/9 103 Utah Valley Home W 75-65
11/13 330 Northwestern LA Home W 82-57
11/15 276 Oral Roberts Home W 85-65
11/17 342 Alabama A&M Home W 91-60
11/21 251 Rice Home W 105-78
11/24 13 Houston Home L 62-76
11/28 172 Illinois St Away L 89-92
12/1 177 Weber St Away L 103-113
12/5 56 Utah St Home W 95-80
12/8 119 Utah Neutal W 74-59
12/12 289 Portland St Home W 85-66
12/15 165 UNLV Neutral L 90-92
12/22 151 San Diego St Away L 81-90
12/29 29 Mississippi St Away L 81-103
1/3 169 Pacific Away W 90-87
1/5 64 St Mary’s CA Away L 66-88
1/10 310 Portland Home W 79-56
1/12 192 Santa Clara Home W 80-74
1/17 182 Pepperdine Away 58.2%
1/19 52 San Francisco Away 19.1%
1/24 64 St Mary’s CA Home 45.2%
1/31 6 Gonzaga Home 17.2%
2/2 143 Loy Marymount Home 72.8%
2/7 310 Portland Away 79.7%
2/9 169 Pacific Home 79.7%
2/14 129 San Diego Away 41.2%
2/16 143 Loy Marymount Away 48.5%
2/21 52 San Francisco Home 44.5%
2/23 6 Gonzaga Away 6.6%
3/2 129 San Diego Home 62.8%