Brown Bears Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Brown Bears. All of these projections for Brown are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Brown Record and Rankings

Record: 19-11
Projected Final Record: 19.0-11.0

Ivy League Conference Record: 7-7
Projected Final Ivy League Record: 7.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the Ivy League: 5

Brown Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 145
RPI Rank: 118
NET Rank: 145
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 3-5 5-2 9-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.375 0.714 0.818

Our current projections give the Brown Bears a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Brown’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Brown Bears. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Brown Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 263 LIU Brooklyn Away L 81-83
11/11 174 NJIT Away L 60-63
11/16 274 MA Lowell Home W 82-74
11/17 262 Sacred Heart Home W 82-77
11/18 251 Army Home W 86-66
11/21 No Rank Salve Regina Home W 96-64
11/25 320 Bryant Home W 84-60
11/28 129 Rhode Island Away L 51-71
12/1 247 Navy Away W 67-50
12/5 72 Butler Away L 55-70
12/8 157 Stony Brook Home W 71-69
12/22 293 Marist Away W 78-53
12/29 100 San Diego St Away W 82-61
1/2 336 Maine Home W 75-67
1/8 259 Canisius Away W 97-90
1/15 No Rank J&W RI Home W 100-61
1/19 83 Yale Home L 67-70
1/25 83 Yale Away L 71-79
2/1 245 Dartmouth Away W 60-58
2/2 101 Harvard Away L 47-68
2/8 126 Penn Home L 82-92
2/9 152 Princeton Home W 78-70
2/15 181 Cornell Away L 66-70
2/16 203 Columbia Away W 65-63
2/22 101 Harvard Home W 88-79
2/23 245 Dartmouth Home W 68-65
3/1 203 Columbia Home L 77-80
3/2 181 Cornell Home W 75-51
3/8 152 Princeton Away W 67-63
3/9 126 Penn Away L 51-58