Bucknell Bison Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Bucknell Bison. All of these projections for Bucknell are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Bucknell Record and Rankings

Record: 11-7
Projected Final Record: 19.7-10.3

Patriot League Conference Record: 5-1
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 13.7-4.3
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 1

Bucknell Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 138
RPI Rank: 113
NET Rank: 174
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 1-1 3-1 6-3
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.500 0.750 0.667

Our current projections give the Bucknell Bison a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 59.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 41.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Bucknell’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.4%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 20.0%
NIT #8 Seed 37.4%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Bucknell Bison. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Bucknell Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 195 St Bonaventure Away W 88-85
11/10 289 Fairfield Home L 58-60
11/13 233 Canisius Home L 73-82
11/25 72 Vermont Away W 69-61
11/28 105 Northeastern Home L 78-96
12/1 265 Monmouth NJ Home W 65-43
12/4 275 La Salle Away W 92-79
12/15 39 Ohio St Away L 71-73
12/19 56 St Mary’s CA Away L 56-85
12/22 129 Rhode Island Neutal W 84-82
12/23 31 TCU Neutral L 65-82
12/24 156 UNLV Neutal W 97-72
1/2 240 Army Away W 64-63
1/5 242 Boston Univ Away L 80-87
1/9 166 Colgate Home W 84-81
1/12 236 American Univ Home W 55-54
1/14 184 Holy Cross Home W 93-78
1/19 146 Lehigh Away W 85-83
1/23 278 Loyola MD Home 89.2%
1/26 236 American Univ Away 62.5%
1/30 277 Navy Home 88.6%
2/2 295 Lafayette Away 72.1%
2/6 278 Loyola MD Away 70.3%
2/9 242 Boston Univ Home 84%
2/11 146 Lehigh Home 61.8%
2/16 184 Holy Cross Away 55.1%
2/19 166 Colgate Away 45.6%
2/23 295 Lafayette Home 87.5%
2/27 277 Navy Away 68%
3/2 240 Army Home 83%