Bucknell Bison Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Bucknell Bison. All of these projections for Bucknell are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Bucknell Record and Rankings

Record: 25-10
Projected Final Record: 25.0-10.0

Patriot League Conference Record: 19-2
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 19.0-2.0
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 1

Bucknell Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 108
RPI Rank: 80
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 14 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 1-1 6-3 18-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.667 0.947

Our current projections give the Bucknell Bison a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Bucknell’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 24.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 75.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Bucknell Bison. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Bucknell Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 214 Monmouth NJ Away L 78-79
11/12 24 Arkansas Away L 73-101
11/15 10 North Carolina Away L 81-93
11/18 57 Maryland Away L 78-80
11/20 312 Siena Home W 115-92
11/22 152 Ball St Home W 87-83
11/26 235 Stony Brook Away W 85-76
11/29 120 St Joseph’s PA Away L 70-83
12/2 84 Vermont Home W 81-77
12/5 97 Northeastern Away L 64-82
12/16 133 VA Commonwealth Away L 79-85
12/19 165 Richmond Away W 86-78
12/22 168 La Salle Home W 88-81
12/29 332 American Univ Home W 84-55
1/2 253 Boston Univ Home L 79-84
1/5 286 Army Away W 83-66
1/8 310 Lafayette Away W 80-75
1/11 244 Lehigh Home W 78-65
1/15 213 Colgate Away W 63-51
1/17 319 Loyola MD Away W 78-70
1/20 277 Holy Cross Home W 77-56
1/24 234 Navy Away W 87-67
1/28 253 Boston Univ Away W 91-79
1/31 286 Army Home W 83-71
2/3 310 Lafayette Home W 74-59
2/5 244 Lehigh Away L 89-92
2/12 213 Colgate Home W 65-64
2/14 319 Loyola MD Home W 94-53
2/17 277 Holy Cross Away W 68-67
2/21 234 Navy Home W 85-61
2/24 332 American Univ Away W 80-61
3/1 319 Loyola MD Home W 83-78
3/4 253 Boston Univ Home W 90-59
3/7 213 Colgate Home W 83-54
3/16 4 Michigan St NCAA Tournament Detroit MI L 78-82