Bucknell Bison Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Bucknell Bison. All of these projections for Bucknell are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Bucknell Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 18.0-10.0

Patriot League Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 13.3-4.7
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 1

Bucknell Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 95
RPI Rank: 75
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Bucknell Bison a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Bucknell’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 28.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 61.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 9.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Bucknell Bison. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Bucknell Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 90 St Bonaventure Away W 88-85
11/10 133 Fairfield Home L 58-60
11/13 122 Canisius Home 66.4%
11/25 77 Vermont Away 35.9%
11/28 94 Northeastern Home 56.5%
12/1 240 Monmouth NJ Home 88.1%
12/4 209 La Salle Away 61.8%
12/15 8 Ohio St Away 8.2%
12/19 35 St Mary’s CA Away 17.7%
12/22 47 Rhode Island Neutral 31.5%
1/2 247 Army Away 74.8%
1/5 132 Boston Univ Away 55.9%
1/9 128 Colgate Home 71%
1/12 214 American Univ Home 85%
1/14 167 Holy Cross Home 80.4%
1/19 126 Lehigh Away 51.5%
1/23 293 Loyola MD Home 92.6%
1/26 214 American Univ Away 66%
1/30 264 Navy Home 92.6%
2/2 222 Lafayette Away 67.2%
2/6 293 Loyola MD Away 82.1%
2/9 132 Boston Univ Home 74.8%
2/11 126 Lehigh Home 69.1%
2/16 167 Holy Cross Away 59.5%
2/19 128 Colgate Away 52.9%
2/24 222 Lafayette Home 85.9%
2/27 264 Navy Away 82.1%
3/2 247 Army Home 90.3%