Bucknell Bison Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Bucknell Bison. All of these projections for Bucknell are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Bucknell Record and Rankings

Record: 20-12
Projected Final Record: 20.0-12.0

Patriot League Conference Record: 12-5
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 12.0-5.0
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 2

Bucknell Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 146
RPI Rank: 90
NET Rank: 152
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 2-4 5-4 13-2
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.333 0.556 0.867

Our current projections give the Bucknell Bison a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Bucknell’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Bucknell Bison. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Bucknell Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 125 St Bonaventure Away W 88-85
11/10 308 Fairfield Home L 58-60
11/13 259 Canisius Home L 73-82
11/25 85 Vermont Away W 69-61
11/28 79 Northeastern Home L 78-96
12/1 261 Monmouth NJ Home W 65-43
12/4 221 La Salle Away W 92-79
12/15 46 Ohio St Away L 71-73
12/19 39 St Mary’s CA Away L 56-85
12/22 129 Rhode Island Neutal W 84-82
12/23 43 TCU Neutral L 65-82
12/25 156 UNLV Neutal W 97-72
1/2 251 Army Away W 64-63
1/5 241 Boston Univ Away L 80-87
1/9 127 Colgate Home W 84-81
1/12 224 American Univ Home W 55-54
1/14 232 Holy Cross Home W 93-78
1/19 159 Lehigh Away W 85-83
1/23 279 Loyola MD Home W 71-68
1/26 224 American Univ Away L 68-76
1/30 247 Navy Home W 69-57
2/2 277 Lafayette Away W 94-66
2/6 279 Loyola MD Away W 84-72
2/9 241 Boston Univ Home W 82-76
2/11 159 Lehigh Home W 87-75
2/16 232 Holy Cross Away L 71-72
2/19 127 Colgate Away L 64-75
2/27 247 Navy Away L 53-64
3/2 251 Army Home W 62-61
3/7 232 Holy Cross Home W 77-65
3/10 159 Lehigh Home W 97-75
3/13 127 Colgate Away L 80-94