Buffalo Bulls Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Buffalo Bulls. All of these projections for Buffalo are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Buffalo Record and Rankings

Record: 27-9
Projected Final Record: 27.0-9.0

MAC Conference Record: 18-3
Projected Final MAC Record: 18.0-3.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAC: 1

Buffalo Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 69
RPI Rank: 26
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-5 3-0 14-2 8-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.875 0.889

Our current projections give the Buffalo Bulls a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Buffalo’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 46.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 54.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Buffalo Bulls. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Buffalo Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/11 139 Canisius Home W 80-75
11/15 154 Jacksonville St Home W 81-76
11/20 5 Cincinnati George Town, Cayman Islands L 67-73
11/21 130 UAB George Town, Cayman Islands W 96-91
11/22 59 S Dakota St George Town, Cayman Islands L 80-94
11/29 189 Niagara Away W 106-87
12/2 61 St Bonaventure Home L 62-73
12/6 228 Delaware Away W 75-72
12/9 No Rank Central Penn Home W 88-54
12/16 255 Robert Morris Home W 86-70
12/19 54 Syracuse Away L 74-81
12/21 26 Texas A&M Away L 73-89
12/28 267 NJIT Home W 86-81
1/2 113 Toledo Home W 104-94
1/6 152 Ball St Away W 83-63
1/9 223 Akron Away W 87-65
1/13 190 Miami OH Home W 82-66
1/16 238 N Illinois Home W 95-67
1/19 170 W Michigan Away W 84-74
1/23 142 E Michigan Home W 83-69
1/26 195 Ohio Away W 73-66
1/30 191 Kent Away L 79-82
2/2 170 W Michigan Home W 92-86
2/6 181 C Michigan Away W 88-82
2/10 238 N Illinois Away L 88-90
2/13 191 Kent Home W 84-72
2/16 209 Bowling Green Home W 95-82
2/20 190 Miami OH Away L 81-84
2/24 195 Ohio Home W 108-82
2/27 223 Akron Home W 80-68
3/2 209 Bowling Green Away W 100-70
3/8 181 C Michigan Cleveland, OH W 89-74
3/9 191 Kent Cleveland, OH W 78-61
3/10 113 Toledo Cleveland, OH W 76-66
3/15 16 Arizona NCAA Tournament Boise ID W 89-68
3/17 17 Kentucky NCAA Tournament Boise, ID L 75-95