Cal State Northridge Matadors Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Cal State Northridge Matadors. All of these projections for CS Northridge are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

CS Northridge Record and Rankings

Record: 8-12
Projected Final Record: 12.3-19.7

Big West Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final Big West Record: 6.3-9.7
Projected Final Rank in the Big West: 6

CS Northridge Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 279
RPI Rank: 266
NET Rank: 278
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 2-3 5-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.400 0.500

Our current projections give the Cal State Northridge Matadors a 0.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account CS Northridge’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Cal State Northridge Matadors. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

CS Northridge Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 176 New Mexico Home L 84-87
11/13 143 Loy Marymount Away L 64-79
11/17 316 Portland Home L 77-80
11/20 321 Tennessee St Home W 80-77
11/27 208 Washington St Away L 94-103
12/1 293 CS Sacramento Home L 68-88
12/3 189 Pepperdine Away W 90-83
12/5 No Rank CS San Marcos Home W 76-72
12/9 128 San Diego Away L 68-82
12/16 179 Pacific Home L 77-79
12/19 77 New Mexico St Away L 57-92
12/22 327 SIUE Neutal W 85-79
12/23 169 Rider Neutal W 81-80
12/29 325 Morgan St Home W 94-86
1/1 151 San Diego St Away L 60-65
1/5 66 Yale Home L 90-94
1/9 306 UC Riverside Away W 84-83
1/12 337 Cal Poly Away W 78-74
1/17 170 Hawaii Home L 79-84
1/19 107 UC Irvine Home L 68-74
1/23 190 Long Beach St Home 41.8%
1/30 210 CS Fullerton Away 19.6%
2/2 337 Cal Poly Home 81.6%
2/6 132 UC Santa Barbara Away 10.3%
2/13 274 UC Davis Away 34.4%
2/16 210 CS Fullerton Home 44.3%
2/20 190 Long Beach St Away 18.4%
2/23 274 UC Davis Home 56.5%
2/27 306 UC Riverside Home 66.8%
3/2 170 Hawaii Away 15.5%
3/7 132 UC Santa Barbara Home 34.7%
3/9 107 UC Irvine Away 8.2%