California Baptist Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the California Baptist. All of these projections for Cal Baptist are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Cal Baptist Record and Rankings

Record: 16-14
Projected Final Record: 16.0-14.0

WAC Conference Record: 7-9
Projected Final WAC Record: 7.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the WAC: 6

Cal Baptist Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 204
RPI Rank: 203
NET Rank: 165
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 1-4 4-2 7-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.200 0.667 0.583

Our current projections give the California Baptist a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Cal Baptist’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the California Baptist. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Cal Baptist Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/13 292 Oral Roberts Away W 70-69
11/16 107 Tulsa Away L 79-82
11/19 28 Nevada Away L 55-90
11/23 319 Ark Pine Bluff Neutral L 107-115
11/24 301 Howard Neutral L 84-86
11/29 316 UC Riverside Away W 80-70
12/1 350 MS Valley St Home W 107-71
12/5 70 UC Irvine Home L 66-69
12/17 223 SE Louisiana Away W 73-52
12/19 338 Southern Univ Away W 79-76
1/3 48 New Mexico St Home W 82-76
1/5 162 UTRGV Home L 74-81
1/10 246 Missouri KC Away L 68-84
1/12 351 Chicago St Away W 77-75
1/24 215 CS Bakersfield Home L 84-88
1/26 123 Grand Canyon Home L 73-90
1/30 88 Utah Valley Away L 62-79
2/2 188 Seattle Away W 75-64
2/7 351 Chicago St Home W 94-44
2/9 246 Missouri KC Home W 70-60
2/21 123 Grand Canyon Away L 58-91
2/23 215 CS Bakersfield Away W 72-58
2/28 188 Seattle Home L 65-67
3/2 88 Utah Valley Home L 63-64
3/7 162 UTRGV Away W 82-79
3/9 48 New Mexico St Away L 63-75