California Baptist Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the California Baptist. All of these projections for Cal Baptist are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Cal Baptist Record and Rankings

Record: 10-7
Projected Final Record: 14.0-15.0

WAC Conference Record: 2-2
Projected Final WAC Record: 6.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the WAC: 7

Cal Baptist Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 239
RPI Rank: 246
NET Rank: 217
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 1-1 0-1 6-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.000 0.600

Our current projections give the California Baptist a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Cal Baptist’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the California Baptist. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Cal Baptist Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/13 271 Oral Roberts Away W 70-69
11/16 104 Tulsa Away L 79-82
11/19 22 Nevada Away L 55-90
11/23 304 Ark Pine Bluff Neutral L 107-115
11/24 322 Howard Neutral L 84-86
11/29 306 UC Riverside Away W 80-70
12/1 349 MS Valley St Home W 107-71
12/5 107 UC Irvine Home L 66-69
12/17 310 SE Louisiana Away W 73-52
12/19 343 Southern Univ Away W 79-76
1/3 77 New Mexico St Home W 82-76
1/5 191 UTRGV Home L 74-81
1/10 244 Missouri KC Away L 68-84
1/12 342 Chicago St Away W 77-75
1/24 152 CS Bakersfield Home 42.2%
1/26 101 Grand Canyon Home 27.9%
1/30 114 Utah Valley Away 11.1%
2/2 178 Seattle Away 20.1%
2/7 342 Chicago St Home 91.7%
2/9 244 Missouri KC Home 62.8%
2/21 101 Grand Canyon Away 9.7%
2/23 152 CS Bakersfield Away 18.4%
2/28 178 Seattle Home 45.6%
3/2 114 Utah Valley Home 35.9%
3/7 191 UTRGV Away 28.2%
3/9 77 New Mexico St Away 8.2%