Central Connecticut State Blue Devils Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils. All of these projections for Central Conn are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Central Conn Record and Rankings

Record: 4-5
Projected Final Record: 17.8-12.2

NEC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final NEC Record: 12.8-5.2
Projected Final Rank in the NEC: 1

Central Conn Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 191
RPI Rank: 204
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-0 0-1 3-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.750

Our current projections give the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils a 47.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 28.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 24.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Central Conn’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 46.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 1.8%
NIT #8 Seed 26.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Central Conn Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 258 Hartford Away W 75-68
11/10 84 Georgetown Away L 78-85
11/13 223 MA Lowell Home W 86-74
11/16 188 Austin Peay Neutral L 78-80
11/18 302 Florida A&M Neutal W 89-75
11/21 83 Loy Marymount Away L 74-76
11/25 No Rank Pine Manor Home W 88-59
11/29 298 NC A&T Away L 60-72
12/1 14 Virginia Tech Away L 40-94
12/16 88 Providence Away 13%
12/22 333 Maine Away 78.2%
12/29 73 Oregon St Away 10.6%
1/3 248 Wagner Home 76.7%
1/5 266 Sacred Heart Away 56.5%
1/10 295 F Dickinson Away 61.1%
1/12 343 Mt St Mary’s Away 80.6%
1/19 237 St Francis PA Home 72.8%
1/21 316 Robert Morris Home 86.1%
1/24 339 Bryant Away 78.2%
1/26 255 LIU Brooklyn Home 77.7%
1/31 244 St Francis NY Home 74.3%
2/2 339 Bryant Home 92%
2/7 237 St Francis PA Away 50%
2/9 316 Robert Morris Away 62.8%
2/14 248 Wagner Away 51.8%
2/16 244 St Francis NY Away 51.5%
2/21 343 Mt St Mary’s Home 92%
2/23 266 Sacred Heart Home 78.2%
2/28 255 LIU Brooklyn Away 52.6%
3/2 295 F Dickinson Home 82.3%