Charleston Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Charleston. All of these projections for Col Charleston are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Col Charleston Record and Rankings

Record: 14-4
Projected Final Record: 23.0-8.0

Colonial Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Colonial Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 3

Col Charleston Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 101
RPI Rank: 87
NET Rank: 100
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 1-0 4-0 7-2
Win % by Tier 0.333 1.000 1.000 0.778

Our current projections give the Charleston a 27.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 7.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 65.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Col Charleston’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 4.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 13.6%
NCAA #14 Seed 7.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.8%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 1.2%
NIT #5 Seed 1.0%
NIT #6 Seed 2.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.8%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Charleston. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Col Charleston Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 225 Presbyterian Home W 85-73
11/10 262 W Carolina Away W 77-74
11/13 134 Rhode Island Home W 66-55
11/18 74 Oklahoma St Away L 58-70
11/22 21 LSU Neutral L 55-67
11/23 173 UAB Neutal W 74-51
11/25 89 Memphis Neutal W 78-75
11/28 338 S Carolina St Home W 83-70
12/1 260 Charlotte Home W 72-64
12/9 No Rank Georgia C&S Home W 87-69
12/15 53 VA Commonwealth Away W 83-79
12/18 270 Siena Away W 83-58
12/21 229 Coastal Car Home W 73-71
12/29 214 UNC Wilmington Away W 73-66
1/3 308 Towson Away W 67-55
1/5 236 James Madison Away L 58-69
1/10 231 Drexel Home L 78-79
1/12 193 Delaware Home W 71-58
1/17 125 Northeastern Away 41.8%
1/19 70 Hofstra Away 31.7%
1/24 334 Elon Home 95.1%
1/26 205 William & Mary Home 84%
1/31 236 James Madison Home 86.8%
2/2 308 Towson Home 92.2%
2/7 193 Delaware Away 61.8%
2/9 231 Drexel Away 65.3%
2/14 70 Hofstra Home 53.7%
2/16 125 Northeastern Home 61.5%
2/21 205 William & Mary Away 60.5%
2/23 334 Elon Away 82.6%
3/2 214 UNC Wilmington Home 84.5%