Charleston Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Charleston. All of these projections for Col Charleston are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Col Charleston Record and Rankings

Record: 14-6
Projected Final Record: 22.2-8.8

Colonial Conference Record: 3-4
Projected Final Colonial Record: 11.2-6.8
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 3

Col Charleston Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 120
RPI Rank: 88
NET Rank: 115
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-3 1-1 3-0 8-2
Win % by Tier 0.250 0.500 1.000 0.800

Our current projections give the Charleston a 17.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 2.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 79.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Col Charleston’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 6.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 7.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.6%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Charleston. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Col Charleston Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 213 Presbyterian Home W 85-73
11/10 281 W Carolina Away W 77-74
11/13 129 Rhode Island Home W 66-55
11/18 73 Oklahoma St Away L 58-70
11/22 16 LSU Neutral L 55-67
11/23 155 UAB Neutal W 74-51
11/25 76 Memphis Neutal W 78-75
11/28 340 S Carolina St Home W 83-70
12/1 238 Charlotte Home W 72-64
12/9 No Rank Georgia C&S Home W 87-69
12/15 52 VA Commonwealth Away W 83-79
12/18 260 Siena Away W 83-58
12/21 214 Coastal Car Home W 73-71
12/29 220 UNC Wilmington Away W 73-66
1/3 298 Towson Away W 67-55
1/5 246 James Madison Away L 58-69
1/10 223 Drexel Home L 78-79
1/12 203 Delaware Home W 71-58
1/17 105 Northeastern Away L 60-69
1/19 58 Hofstra Away L 72-86
1/24 315 Elon Home 93.4%
1/26 226 William & Mary Home 86.1%
1/31 246 James Madison Home 88.6%
2/2 298 Towson Home 92.2%
2/7 203 Delaware Away 62.8%
2/9 223 Drexel Away 65.3%
2/14 58 Hofstra Home 44.3%
2/16 105 Northeastern Home 56.5%
2/21 226 William & Mary Away 62.8%
2/23 315 Elon Away 80.9%
3/2 220 UNC Wilmington Home 85.7%