Charleston Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Charleston. All of these projections for Col Charleston are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Col Charleston Record and Rankings

Record: 24-9
Projected Final Record: 24.0-9.0

Colonial Conference Record: 12-6
Projected Final Colonial Record: 12.0-6.0
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 3

Col Charleston Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 109
RPI Rank: 86
NET Rank: 106
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-4 2-2 5-1 15-2
Win % by Tier 0.200 0.500 0.833 0.882

Our current projections give the Charleston a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Col Charleston’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Charleston. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Col Charleston Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 227 Presbyterian Home W 85-73
11/10 289 W Carolina Away W 77-74
11/13 129 Rhode Island Home W 66-55
11/18 76 Oklahoma St Away L 58-70
11/22 13 LSU Neutral L 55-67
11/23 139 UAB Neutal W 74-51
11/25 58 Memphis Neutal W 78-75
11/28 342 S Carolina St Home W 83-70
12/1 268 Charlotte Home W 72-64
12/9 No Rank Georgia C&S Home W 87-69
12/15 47 VA Commonwealth Away W 83-79
12/18 234 Siena Away W 83-58
12/21 183 Coastal Car Home W 73-71
12/29 273 UNC Wilmington Away W 73-66
1/3 284 Towson Away W 67-55
1/5 257 James Madison Away L 58-69
1/10 238 Drexel Home L 78-79
1/12 231 Delaware Home W 71-58
1/17 79 Northeastern Away L 60-69
1/19 95 Hofstra Away L 72-86
1/24 288 Elon Home W 72-53
1/26 196 William & Mary Home W 74-59
1/31 257 James Madison Home W 70-53
2/2 284 Towson Home W 54-53
2/7 231 Delaware Away W 83-75
2/9 238 Drexel Away W 86-84
2/14 95 Hofstra Home L 95-99
2/16 79 Northeastern Home W 88-79
2/21 196 William & Mary Away L 84-86
2/23 288 Elon Away W 84-74
3/2 273 UNC Wilmington Home W 70-61
3/10 238 Drexel Neutal W 73-61
3/11 79 Northeastern Neutral L 67-70