Charleston Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Charleston. All of these projections for Col Charleston are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

Col Charleston Record and Rankings

Record: 22-6
Projected Final Record: 23.4-6.6

Colonial Conference Record: 13-3
Projected Final Colonial Record: 14.4-3.6
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 1

Col Charleston Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 98
RPI Rank: 72
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 2-0 4-3 13-1
Win % by Tier 0.333 1.000 0.571 0.929

Our current projections give the Charleston a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 96.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 3.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Col Charleston’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 1.4%
NIT #6 Seed 55.0%
NIT #7 Seed 39.8%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Charleston. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Col Charleston Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 291 Siena Home W 68-60
11/13 17 Wichita St Away L 63-81
11/18 326 Charlotte Away W 81-72
11/22 297 Cal Poly Anchorage, AK L 68-73
11/23 205 Sam Houston St Anchorage, AK W 59-49
11/25 No Rank AK Anchorage Away W 55-46
11/30 251 W Carolina Home W 69-60
12/4 236 High Point Home W 70-58
12/10 No Rank North Greenville Home W 92-60
12/16 19 Rhode Island Away L 62-68
12/19 338 S Carolina St Home W 80-64
12/22 232 Coastal Car Away W 67-65
12/30 163 Towson Home W 73-62
1/2 238 Delaware Home W 93-78
1/5 230 Drexel Away L 82-87
1/7 163 Towson Away L 62-73
1/11 104 Northeastern Home W 82-66
1/13 207 Elon Away L 58-63
1/18 246 UNC Wilmington Home W 80-76
1/20 139 Hofstra Home W 76-70
1/25 238 Delaware Away W 62-54
1/27 235 James Madison Home W 66-59
2/1 104 Northeastern Away W 69-64
2/3 139 Hofstra Away W 86-85
2/8 155 William & Mary Home W 82-77
2/10 230 Drexel Home W 89-67
2/15 235 James Madison Away W 81-78
2/17 246 UNC Wilmington Away W 88-74
2/22 207 Elon Home 84.5%
2/24 155 William & Mary Away 54.4%