Charleston Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Charleston. All of these projections for Col Charleston are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Col Charleston Record and Rankings

Record: 26-8
Projected Final Record: 26.0-8.0

Colonial Conference Record: 17-4
Projected Final Colonial Record: 17.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the Colonial: 1

Col Charleston Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 91
RPI Rank: 56
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 4-1 4-2 15-2
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.800 0.667 0.882

Our current projections give the Charleston a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Col Charleston’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 63.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 37.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Charleston. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Col Charleston Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 312 Siena Home W 68-60
11/13 18 Wichita St Away L 63-81
11/18 321 Charlotte Away W 81-72
11/22 308 Cal Poly Anchorage, AK L 68-73
11/23 219 Sam Houston St Anchorage, AK W 59-49
11/25 No Rank AK Anchorage Away W 55-46
11/30 260 W Carolina Home W 69-60
12/4 257 High Point Home W 70-58
12/10 No Rank North Greenville Home W 92-60
12/16 44 Rhode Island Away L 62-68
12/19 339 S Carolina St Home W 80-64
12/22 229 Coastal Car Away W 67-65
12/30 169 Towson Home W 73-62
1/2 228 Delaware Home W 93-78
1/5 225 Drexel Away L 82-87
1/7 169 Towson Away L 62-73
1/11 97 Northeastern Home W 82-66
1/13 227 Elon Away L 58-63
1/18 231 UNC Wilmington Home W 80-76
1/20 146 Hofstra Home W 76-70
1/25 228 Delaware Away W 62-54
1/27 240 James Madison Home W 66-59
2/1 97 Northeastern Away W 69-64
2/3 146 Hofstra Away W 86-85
2/8 143 William & Mary Home W 82-77
2/10 225 Drexel Home W 89-67
2/15 240 James Madison Away W 81-78
2/17 231 UNC Wilmington Away W 88-74
2/22 227 Elon Home W 79-58
2/24 143 William & Mary Away L 104-114
3/4 225 Drexel North Charleston, SC W 66-59
3/5 143 William & Mary North Charleston, SC W 83-73
3/6 97 Northeastern North Charleston, SC W 83-76
3/16 14 Auburn NCAA Tournament San Diego CA L 58-62