Charlotte 49ers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Charlotte 49ers. All of these projections for Charlotte are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Charlotte Record and Rankings

Record: 8-21
Projected Final Record: 8.0-21.0

CUSA Conference Record: 5-13
Projected Final CUSA Record: 5.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 13

Charlotte Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 268
RPI Rank: 305
NET Rank: 263
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-4 5-8 3-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.385 0.300

Our current projections give the Charlotte 49ers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Charlotte’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Charlotte 49ers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Charlotte Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 252 Chattanooga Home L 69-80
11/10 76 Oklahoma St Home W 66-64
11/16 257 James Madison Home L 59-64
11/19 295 Longwood Home W 42-39
11/27 75 Davidson Away L 56-76
12/1 109 Col Charleston Away L 64-72
12/6 151 Wake Forest Away L 56-80
12/18 253 East Carolina Home W 55-49
12/22 43 TCU Neutral L 57-82
12/23 129 Rhode Island Neutral L 61-75
12/25 80 Colorado Neutral L 53-68
1/3 105 WKU Home L 50-68
1/5 142 Marshall Home L 84-85
1/10 173 Florida Intl Away L 66-69
1/12 177 FL Atlantic Away W 65-60
1/17 114 Southern Miss Home L 60-63
1/19 137 Louisiana Tech Home W 55-40
1/21 87 Old Dominion Home L 70-76
1/24 144 UT San Antonio Away L 43-88
1/26 302 UTEP Away L 53-57
1/31 237 Rice Home L 61-65
2/2 164 North Texas Home L 66-73
2/7 235 MTSU Away L 53-71
2/9 139 UAB Away W 69-62
2/16 87 Old Dominion Away L 60-73
2/23 235 MTSU Away L 67-86
3/3 302 UTEP Home W 68-58
3/6 237 Rice Home L 70-79
3/9 237 Rice Away W 78-70