Charlotte 49ers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Charlotte 49ers. All of these projections for Charlotte are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Charlotte Record and Rankings

Record: 4-11
Projected Final Record: 7.2-17.8

CUSA Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final CUSA Record: 4.2-9.8
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 12

Charlotte Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 260
RPI Rank: 244
NET Rank: 248
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-3 1-4 2-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.250 0.200 0.500

Our current projections give the Charlotte 49ers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Charlotte’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Charlotte 49ers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Charlotte Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 261 Chattanooga Home L 69-80
11/10 74 Oklahoma St Home W 66-64
11/16 236 James Madison Home L 59-64
11/19 221 Longwood Home W 42-39
11/27 72 Davidson Away L 56-76
12/1 101 Col Charleston Away L 64-72
12/6 166 Wake Forest Away L 56-80
12/18 216 East Carolina Home W 55-49
12/22 27 TCU Neutral L 57-82
12/23 134 Rhode Island Neutral L 61-75
12/24 108 Colorado Neutral L 53-68
1/3 121 WKU Home L 50-68
1/5 110 Marshall Home L 84-85
1/10 202 Florida Intl Away L 66-69
1/12 189 FL Atlantic Away W 65-60
1/17 159 Southern Miss Home 39.2%
1/19 114 Louisiana Tech Home 32.1%
1/21 95 Old Dominion Home 27.9%
1/24 160 UT San Antonio Away 15.3%
1/26 269 UTEP Away 38.5%
1/31 251 Rice Home 60.8%
2/2 79 North Texas Home 26.6%
2/7 323 MTSU Away 52.2%
2/9 173 UAB Away 16.2%
2/16 95 Old Dominion Away 8.3%