Chattanooga Mocs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Chattanooga Mocs. All of these projections for Chattanooga are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Chattanooga Record and Rankings

Record: 12-20
Projected Final Record: 12.0-20.0

Southern Conference Record: 7-11
Projected Final Southern Record: 7.0-11.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 5

Chattanooga Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 252
RPI Rank: 255
NET Rank: 275
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-8 0-4 0-1 9-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.563

Our current projections give the Chattanooga Mocs a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Chattanooga’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Chattanooga Mocs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Chattanooga Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 268 Charlotte Away W 80-69
11/10 256 E Kentucky Home L 78-81
11/13 No Rank Cumberland TN Home W 92-61
11/16 207 South Alabama Away L 54-73
11/17 312 SE Missouri St Neutral L 42-63
11/18 291 Jacksonville Neutral L 66-74
11/23 8 Michigan Away L 55-83
11/27 No Rank Hiwassee Home W 95-62
12/1 328 Tennessee Tech Home W 71-60
12/9 275 VMI Home W 83-65
12/12 93 Georgia St Away L 88-95
12/16 38 Mississippi Away L 70-90
12/18 283 TN Martin Away L 72-75
12/21 No Rank Bryan Home W 79-45
12/29 51 UNC Greensboro Away L 72-85
1/3 289 W Carolina Away W 73-62
1/5 71 ETSU Away L 70-96
1/12 166 Samford Home W 80-75
1/17 214 Mercer Home W 73-70
1/19 254 Citadel Home W 73-71
1/24 59 Furman Away L 58-73
1/26 14 Wofford Away L 69-80
1/31 289 W Carolina Home L 96-105
2/2 71 ETSU Home L 64-77
2/7 275 VMI Away W 71-70
2/9 51 UNC Greensboro Home L 63-78
2/16 166 Samford Away L 76-80
2/21 254 Citadel Away W 68-65
2/23 214 Mercer Away L 69-74
2/28 14 Wofford Home L 54-80
3/2 59 Furman Home L 50-71
3/9 71 ETSU Neutral L 64-68