Chicago State Cougars Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Chicago State Cougars. All of these projections for Chicago St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Chicago St Record and Rankings

Record: 3-16
Projected Final Record: 4.4-26.6

WAC Conference Record: 0-4
Projected Final WAC Record: 1.4-14.6
Projected Final Rank in the WAC: 9

Chicago St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 342
RPI Rank: 336
NET Rank: 345
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-4 0-6 1-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.167

Our current projections give the Chicago State Cougars a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Chicago St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Chicago State Cougars. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Chicago St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 34 Indiana Away L 55-104
11/8 82 Notre Dame Away L 62-89
11/9 133 C Michigan Away L 60-101
11/13 159 Illinois St Away L 71-75
11/16 158 Akron Away L 46-87
11/19 81 ETSU Away L 61-86
11/20 323 Jackson St Neutral L 68-81
11/24 218 Bradley Away L 70-86
11/29 No Rank East-West Home W 90-67
12/1 222 E Illinois Home W 80-72
12/6 No Rank Trinity Chr Home W 84-82
12/12 88 DePaul Away L 70-104
12/17 61 Northwestern Away L 46-88
12/20 309 W Illinois Away L 52-81
12/22 144 N Illinois Away L 59-100
1/5 244 Missouri KC Away L 72-80
1/12 239 Cal Baptist Home L 75-77
1/17 101 Grand Canyon Away L 46-80
1/19 152 CS Bakersfield Away L 73-86
1/24 178 Seattle Home 17.4%
1/26 114 Utah Valley Home 7.9%
1/31 191 UTRGV Away 7%
2/2 77 New Mexico St Away 1.3%
2/7 239 Cal Baptist Away 8.3%
2/14 152 CS Bakersfield Home 17.4%
2/16 101 Grand Canyon Home 7.9%
2/21 114 Utah Valley Away 1.5%
2/23 178 Seattle Away 7%
2/28 191 UTRGV Home 22.8%
3/2 77 New Mexico St Home 7.6%
3/9 244 Missouri KC Home 34.7%