Clemson Tigers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Clemson Tigers. All of these projections for Clemson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Clemson Record and Rankings

Record: 25-9
Projected Final Record: 25.4-9.6

ACC Conference Record: 12-8
Projected Final ACC Record: 12.0-8.0
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 4

Clemson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 20
RPI Rank: 10
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 5 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 4-9 7-0 6-0 6-0
Win % by Tier 0.308 1.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Clemson Tigers a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Clemson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 3.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 27.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 58.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 10.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Clemson Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Clemson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 260 W Carolina Home W 85-57
11/12 285 NC A&T Home W 87-63
11/16 195 Ohio Charleston, SC W 81-76
11/17 146 Hofstra Charleston, SC W 78-59
11/19 82 Temple Charleston, SC L 60-67
11/24 264 TX Southern Home W 84-77
11/29 19 Ohio St Away W 79-65
12/3 180 UNC Asheville Home W 83-52
12/9 291 Samford Home W 81-59
12/16 23 Florida Sunrise, FL W 71-69
12/19 68 South Carolina Home W 64-48
12/22 83 ULL Home W 89-60
12/30 38 NC State Home W 78-62
1/3 71 Boston College Away W 74-70
1/6 33 Louisville Home W 74-69
1/11 38 NC State Away L 77-78
1/13 30 Miami FL Home W 72-63
1/16 10 North Carolina Away L 79-87
1/20 52 Notre Dame Home W 67-58
1/23 1 Virginia Away L 36-61
1/28 114 Georgia Tech Away W 72-70
1/30 10 North Carolina Home W 82-78
2/3 115 Wake Forest Away W 75-67
2/8 217 Pittsburgh Home W 72-48
2/14 36 Florida St Away L 79-81
2/18 3 Duke Home L 57-66
2/21 27 Virginia Tech Away L 58-65
2/24 114 Georgia Tech Home W 75-67
2/28 36 Florida St Home W 76-63
3/3 54 Syracuse Away L 52-55
3/8 71 Boston College Brooklyn, NY W 90-82
3/9 1 Virginia Brooklyn, NY L 58-64
3/16 55 New Mexico St NCAA Tournament San Diego CA W 79-68
3/18 14 Auburn NCAA Tournament W 84-53
3/23 7 Kansas NCAA Tournament Omaha NE 39.5%