Clemson Tigers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Clemson Tigers. All of these projections for Clemson are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Clemson Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 19.0-10.0

ACC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final ACC Record: 9.8-8.2
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 6

Clemson Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 21
RPI Rank: 75
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 5 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Clemson Tigers a 92.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 3.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 4.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Clemson’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #3 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 7.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 13.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 21.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 21.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 8.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 6.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.6%
NIT #2 Seed 1.2%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Clemson Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Clemson Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 253 Citadel Home W 100-80
11/9 290 NC Central Home W 71-51
11/14 186 Sam Houston St Home 93%
11/19 190 Akron Neutal 91.1%
11/26 13 Nebraska Home 52.6%
12/4 212 St Peter’s Home 95.1%
12/8 32 Mississippi St Neutral 53.8%
12/15 118 Radford Home 90%
12/18 221 Charleston So Home 98.4%
12/22 112 South Carolina Away 60.8%
12/30 170 Lipscomb Home 93%
1/5 1 Duke Away 7.4%
1/9 26 Syracuse Away 39.2%
1/12 4 Virginia Home 40.9%
1/16 96 Georgia Tech Home 86.6%
1/22 10 Florida St Away 20.6%
1/26 25 NC State Away 37.9%
1/29 177 Pittsburgh Home 93.4%
2/3 103 Wake Forest Home 86.8%
2/6 96 Georgia Tech Away 60.8%
2/9 22 Virginia Tech Home 60.1%
2/13 23 Miami FL Away 38.2%
2/16 38 Louisville Away 44.5%
2/19 10 Florida St Home 48.2%
2/23 69 Boston College Home 82.1%
2/27 177 Pittsburgh Away 80.2%
3/2 5 North Carolina Home 41.8%
3/6 41 Notre Dame Away 45.2%
3/9 26 Syracuse Home 63.1%