Colgate Raiders Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Colgate Raiders. All of these projections for Colgate are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Colgate Record and Rankings

Record: 24-10
Projected Final Record: 24.0-10.0

Patriot League Conference Record: 13-5
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 13.0-5.0
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 1

Colgate Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 127
RPI Rank: 88
NET Rank: 131
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 1-4 9-2 13-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.200 0.818 0.813

Our current projections give the Colgate Raiders a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Colgate’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 11.0%
NIT #8 Seed 88.8%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Colgate Raiders. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Colgate Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 174 NJIT Away L 78-81
11/9 261 Monmouth NJ Home W 87-74
11/11 181 Cornell Away W 73-57
11/14 No Rank Nazareth Home W 86-68
11/19 321 Binghamton Home W 76-68
11/21 36 Syracuse Away L 56-77
11/24 234 Siena Away W 84-79
11/30 122 South Florida Away L 63-73
12/2 219 FL Gulf Coast Away W 74-56
12/5 203 Columbia Away W 64-62
12/8 53 Penn St Away L 65-76
12/15 293 Marist Home W 82-66
12/29 121 Pittsburgh Away L 54-68
1/3 247 Navy Away L 66-72
1/6 224 American Univ Home W 73-69
1/9 146 Bucknell Away L 81-84
1/12 159 Lehigh Home W 91-78
1/16 251 Army Away L 81-91
1/19 241 Boston Univ Away W 77-56
1/23 277 Lafayette Home W 57-47
1/26 279 Loyola MD Away L 72-79
1/30 251 Army Home W 76-56
2/2 241 Boston Univ Home L 68-76
2/4 159 Lehigh Away W 84-62
2/9 279 Loyola MD Home W 75-72
2/13 232 Holy Cross Away W 74-70
2/16 224 American Univ Away W 83-81
2/19 146 Bucknell Home W 75-64
2/23 247 Navy Home W 93-71
2/27 232 Holy Cross Home W 79-59
3/2 277 Lafayette Away W 76-70
3/7 241 Boston Univ Home W 81-69
3/10 247 Navy Home W 80-70
3/13 146 Bucknell Home W 94-80