These are the latest Colonial Athletic Association Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Colonial are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.
Colonial Projected Conference Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|4||William & Mary||16||11||17.2||11.8||9||7||10.2||7.8|
Projected Colonial Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Colonial Athletic Association Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Colonial Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Colonial Athletic Association Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Colonial team. The CAA Men’s Conference Championship is played on a neutral site.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: North Charleston Coliseum (North Charleston, SC)
First Round: March 3rd, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 4th, 2018
Semifinals: March 5th, 2018
Finals: March 6th, 2018
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
Colonial Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/22||Elon||15.5%||Col Charleston||84.5%||Col Charleston wins by 11|
|2/22||Delaware||39.9%||Drexel||60.1%||Drexel wins by 4|
|2/22||Hofstra||55.9%||James Madison||44.1%||Hofstra wins by 2|
|2/22||Towson||31.7%||Northeastern||68.3%||Northeastern wins by 6|
|2/22||UNC Wilmington||21.8%||William & Mary||78.2%||William & Mary wins by 8|
|2/24||James Madison||43.7%||Delaware||56.3%||Delaware wins by 2|
|2/24||UNC Wilmington||42.7%||Drexel||57.3%||Drexel wins by 3|
|2/24||Northeastern||60.5%||Elon||39.5%||Northeastern wins by 4|
|2/24||Towson||40.9%||Hofstra||59.2%||Hofstra wins by 3|
|2/24||Col Charleston||54.4%||William & Mary||45.6%||Col Charleston wins by 2|
|2/26||James Madison||39.5%||Elon||60.5%||Elon wins by 4|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|