Colonial Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Colonial Athletic Association Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Colonial are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Colonial Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Hofstra 27 7 27 7 15 3 15 3
2 Northeastern 23 10 23 10 14 4 14 4
3 Col Charleston 24 9 24 9 12 6 12 6
4 William & Mary 14 17 14 17 10 8 10 8
5 Delaware 17 16 17 16 8 10 8 10
6 Drexel 13 19 13 19 7 11 7 11
7 Elon 11 21 11 21 7 11 7 11
8 James Madison 14 19 14 19 6 12 6 12
9 Towson 10 22 10 22 6 12 6 12
10 UNC Wilmington 10 23 10 23 5 13 5 13

Projected Colonial Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Colonial Athletic Association Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Northeastern 14 2.695

Projected Colonial Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Colonial Athletic Association Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Hofstra 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Northeastern 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Col Charleston 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
William & Mary 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Delaware 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Drexel 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Elon 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
James Madison 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Towson 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNC Wilmington 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Colonial Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Colonial Athletic Association Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The CAA Men’s Conference Championship is played on a neutral site and follows the standard rules for a ten team tournament.

Regular Season Champion: Hofstra
Tournament Site: North Charleston Coliseum (North Charleston, SC)
First Round: March 9th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2019
Semifinals: March 11th, 2019
Finals: March 12th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Hofstra
100%
100%
100%
0%
2
Northeastern
100%
100%
100%
100%
3
Col Charleston
100%
100%
0%
0%
4
William & Mary
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
Delaware
100%
100%
0%
0%
6
Drexel
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Elon
0%
0%
0%
0%
8
James Madison
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Towson
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
UNC Wilmington
100%
0%
0%
0%

Colonial Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC