Colonial Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Colonial Athletic Association Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Colonial are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Colonial Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Col Charleston 26 7 26 7 17 4 17 4
2 Northeastern 23 10 23 10 16 5 16 5
3 Hofstra 19 12 19 12 12 7 12 7
4 William & Mary 19 12 19 12 12 8 12 8
5 Towson 18 14 18 14 8 11 8 11
6 UNC Wilmington 11 21 11 21 8 12 8 12
7 Delaware 14 19 14 19 7 13 7 13
8 Drexel 13 20 13 20 7 13 7 13
9 James Madison 10 22 10 22 6 13 6 13
10 Elon 14 18 14 18 6 13 6 13

Projected Colonial Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Colonial Athletic Association Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Col Charleston 14 1.879

Colonial Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Colonial Athletic Association Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Colonial team. The CAA Men’s Conference Championship is played on a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: Col Charleston
Tournament Site: North Charleston Coliseum (North Charleston, SC)
First Round: March 3rd, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 4th, 2018
Semifinals: March 5th, 2018
Finals: March 6th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Col Charleston
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Northeastern
100%
100%
100%
0%
3
Hofstra
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
William & Mary
100%
100%
0%
0%
5
Towson
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
UNC Wilmington
100%
100%
0%
0%
7
Delaware
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Drexel
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
James Madison
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Elon
0%
0%
0%
0%

Colonial Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC