These are the latest Colonial Athletic Association Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Colonial are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Colonial Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|5||William & Mary||10||16||12.1||17.9||6||8||8.1||9.9|
Projected Colonial Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Colonial Athletic Association Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Projected Colonial Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Colonial Athletic Association Conference standings.
|William & Mary||0%||0%||0%||21%||94%|
Colonial Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Colonial Athletic Association Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The CAA Men’s Conference Championship is played on a neutral site and follows the standard rules for a ten team tournament.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: North Charleston Coliseum (North Charleston, SC)
First Round: March 9th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 10th, 2019
Semifinals: March 11th, 2019
Finals: March 12th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
Colonial Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Col Charleston||62.5%||William & Mary||37.6%||Col Charleston wins by 4|
|2/21||UNC Wilmington||53.7%||Elon||46.3%||UNC Wilmington wins by 1|
|2/21||Towson||8%||Hofstra||92%||Hofstra wins by 14|
|2/21||James Madison||9.4%||Northeastern||90.6%||Northeastern wins by 13|
|2/23||Col Charleston||80.9%||Elon||19.1%||Col Charleston wins by 9|
|2/23||Delaware||40.2%||Drexel||59.8%||Drexel wins by 4|
|2/23||James Madison||8%||Hofstra||92%||Hofstra wins by 14|
|2/23||Towson||9.2%||Northeastern||90.8%||Northeastern wins by 13|
|2/23||UNC Wilmington||28.2%||William & Mary||71.8%||William & Mary wins by 7|
|2/28||Northeastern||65.3%||Delaware||34.7%||Northeastern wins by 5|
|2/28||Hofstra||71.2%||Drexel||28.8%||Hofstra wins by 7|
|2/28||Elon||21.8%||James Madison||78.2%||James Madison wins by 8|
|2/28||William & Mary||48.9%||Towson||51.1%||Towson wins by 1|
|3/2||UNC Wilmington||10.8%||Col Charleston||89.2%||Col Charleston wins by 13|
|3/2||Hofstra||70.3%||Delaware||29.7%||Hofstra wins by 7|
|3/2||Northeastern||66%||Drexel||34%||Northeastern wins by 5|
|3/2||Elon||23.3%||Towson||76.7%||Towson wins by 8|
|3/2||William & Mary||48.2%||James Madison||51.8%||James Madison wins by 1|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|