Colorado State Rams Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Colorado State Rams. All of these projections for Colorado St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Colorado St Record and Rankings

Record: 7-11
Projected Final Record: 11.9-19.1

Mountain West Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final Mountain West Record: 6.9-11.1
Projected Final Rank in the Mountain West: 8

Colorado St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 215
RPI Rank: 255
NET Rank: 208
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-3 0-6 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.857

Our current projections give the Colorado State Rams a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Colorado St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Colorado State Rams. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Colorado St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 No Rank Colorado Chr Home W 100-66
11/10 304 Ark Pine Bluff Home W 92-67
11/14 269 Montana St Home W 81-77
11/19 167 Louisiana Neutral L 73-91
11/20 273 FL Gulf Coast Neutal W 82-74
11/21 141 S Dakota St Neutral L 65-78
11/27 148 S Illinois Home L 67-82
12/1 113 Colorado Away L 80-86
12/5 78 Arkansas Home L 74-98
12/8 182 Sam Houston St Home W 71-65
12/16 224 South Dakota Home L 63-68
12/22 190 Long Beach St Away L 61-64
12/30 77 New Mexico St Home L 68-88
1/2 156 UNLV Away L 76-78
1/5 63 Fresno St Away L 67-78
1/8 231 Air Force Home W 87-64
1/12 176 New Mexico Home W 91-76
1/19 57 Utah St Away L 72-87
1/23 22 Nevada Away 1.3%
1/26 63 Fresno St Home 24.3%
1/29 160 Boise St Home 43.3%
2/2 231 Air Force Away 42.7%
2/6 22 Nevada Home 8.2%
2/9 318 Wyoming Away 60.1%
2/12 151 San Diego St Home 43.9%
2/20 331 San Jose St Away 63.4%
2/23 318 Wyoming Home 84.7%
2/27 160 Boise St Away 18.4%
3/2 176 New Mexico Away 27.2%
3/5 57 Utah St Home 25.2%
3/9 156 UNLV Home 46.3%