Columbia Lions Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Columbia Lions. All of these projections for Columbia are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Columbia Record and Rankings

Record: 10-18
Projected Final Record: 10.0-18.0

Ivy League Conference Record: 5-9
Projected Final Ivy League Record: 5.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the Ivy League: 7

Columbia Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 203
RPI Rank: 259
NET Rank: 197
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-1 2-3 2-9 3-5
Win % by Tier 0.500 0.400 0.182 0.375

Our current projections give the Columbia Lions a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Columbia’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Columbia Lions. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Columbia Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 293 Marist Away L 76-82
11/16 271 Youngstown St Neutral L 83-94
11/17 173 Florida Intl Neutral L 87-98
11/18 265 Fordham Away L 69-70
11/25 No Rank St Joseph’s NY Home W 85-38
12/2 231 Delaware Home L 86-87
12/5 127 Colgate Home L 62-64
12/7 320 Bryant Home W 90-68
12/9 195 Iona Neutal W 74-71
12/12 119 Boston College Away L 73-82
12/22 82 Rutgers Away L 65-68
12/30 97 Northwestern Away L 54-75
1/2 321 Binghamton Away W 65-63
1/12 No Rank Elmira Home W 102-63
1/19 181 Cornell Away L 59-60
1/26 181 Cornell Home W 73-70
2/1 152 Princeton Home L 43-55
2/2 126 Penn Home L 70-72
2/8 101 Harvard Away L 96-98
2/9 245 Dartmouth Away L 66-82
2/15 83 Yale Home L 64-70
2/16 145 Brown Home L 63-65
2/22 126 Penn Away W 79-77
2/23 152 Princeton Away L 61-79
3/1 145 Brown Away W 80-77
3/2 83 Yale Away W 83-75
3/8 245 Dartmouth Home W 70-66
3/9 101 Harvard Home L 81-83