Connecticut Huskies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Connecticut Huskies. All of these projections for Connecticut are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Connecticut Record and Rankings

Record: 11-8
Projected Final Record: 16.9-14.1

AAC Conference Record: 2-4
Projected Final AAC Record: 7.9-10.1
Projected Final Rank in the AAC: 9

Connecticut Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 95
RPI Rank: 140
NET Rank: 90
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-4 0-3 1-1 9-0
Win % by Tier 0.200 0.000 0.500 1.000

Our current projections give the Connecticut Huskies a 4.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 12.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 82.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Connecticut’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.8%
NIT #2 Seed 1.8%
NIT #3 Seed 1.6%
NIT #4 Seed 3.8%
NIT #5 Seed 2.0%
NIT #6 Seed 1.8%
NIT #7 Seed 1.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Connecticut Huskies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Connecticut Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/8 250 Morehead St Home W 80-70
11/11 244 Missouri KC Home W 94-66
11/15 41 Syracuse Neutal W 83-76
11/16 24 Iowa Neutral L 72-91
11/20 216 Cornell Home W 91-74
11/24 347 New Hampshire Home W 91-66
11/27 201 MA Lowell Home W 97-75
12/2 51 Arizona Home L 72-76
12/5 295 Lafayette Home W 90-63
12/8 27 Florida St Neutral L 71-79
12/15 333 Manhattan Home W 61-46
12/18 223 Drexel Home W 97-65
12/22 25 Villanova Neutral L 58-81
1/2 131 South Florida Away L 68-76
1/5 46 UCF Home L 53-65
1/10 121 SMU Home W 76-64
1/12 32 Cincinnati Away L 72-74
1/16 104 Tulsa Away L 83-89
1/19 311 Tulane Home W 87-71
1/26 115 Wichita St Home 67.6%
1/31 46 UCF Away 19.6%
2/3 212 East Carolina Home 90.8%
2/6 54 Temple Away 28.6%
2/10 76 Memphis Away 36.2%
2/14 13 Houston Home 32.8%
2/21 121 SMU Away 43.7%
2/24 32 Cincinnati Home 38.5%
2/28 115 Wichita St Away 43.9%
3/3 131 South Florida Home 73.8%
3/7 54 Temple Home 51.8%
3/10 212 East Carolina Away 66.4%