Creighton Bluejays Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Creighton Bluejays. All of these projections for Creighton are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Creighton Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 16.6-12.4

Big East Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big East Record: 8.8-9.2
Projected Final Rank in the Big East: 5

Creighton Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 53
RPI Rank: 142
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Next 4 Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Creighton Bluejays a 14.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 59.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 26.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Creighton’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 2.0%
NIT #2 Seed 10.4%
NIT #3 Seed 24.2%
NIT #4 Seed 14.0%
NIT #5 Seed 8.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Creighton Bluejays. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Creighton Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 269 W Illinois Home W 78-67
11/11 119 ETSU Home W 75-69
11/15 8 Ohio St Home 39.5%
11/19 164 Boise St Neutal 80.2%
11/28 75 Montana Home 79.4%
12/1 3 Gonzaga Home 27.5%
12/8 13 Nebraska Away 15.5%
12/14 286 WI Green Bay Home 97.1%
12/18 74 Oklahoma Away 41.8%
12/20 No Rank Coe Home 99.3%
12/27 326 Missouri KC Home 98.8%
12/31 71 Providence Away 43.1%
1/5 28 Butler Away 23.8%
1/9 31 Marquette Home 53.7%
1/13 2 Villanova Home 24.3%
1/16 72 St John’s Away 43.1%
1/21 124 Georgetown Away 60.5%
1/25 28 Butler Home 49.6%
1/30 72 St John’s Home 66.4%
2/3 50 Xavier Home 72.3%
2/6 2 Villanova Away 7.4%
2/9 27 Seton Hall Away 22.8%
2/13 50 Xavier Away 47.4%
2/17 27 Seton Hall Home 48.5%
2/20 98 DePaul Away 54%
2/23 124 Georgetown Home 85.4%
3/3 31 Marquette Away 29%
3/6 71 Providence Home 66.4%
3/9 98 DePaul Home 79.9%