CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners. All of these projections for CS Bakersfield are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

CS Bakersfield Record and Rankings

Record: 15-15
Projected Final Record: 15.0-15.0

WAC Conference Record: 7-9
Projected Final WAC Record: 7.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the WAC: 5

CS Bakersfield Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 215
RPI Rank: 198
NET Rank: 218
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 1-2 2-6 10-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.333 0.250 0.769

Our current projections give the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account CS Bakersfield’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

CS Bakersfield Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 43 TCU Away L 61-66
11/15 117 C Michigan Neutral L 55-67
11/17 339 San Jose St Neutal W 73-72
11/18 217 Weber St Neutal W 68-67
11/25 120 USC Away L 75-90
12/1 249 South Dakota Away L 56-68
12/4 No Rank UC Merced Home W 67-53
12/8 345 Idaho Away W 73-67
12/13 212 Lamar Home W 86-65
12/18 334 Cal Poly Home W 74-61
12/20 264 Portland St Away W 76-71
12/31 7 Gonzaga Away L 54-89
1/3 188 Seattle Home W 83-71
1/5 88 Utah Valley Home W 73-71
1/10 162 UTRGV Away W 75-69
1/12 48 New Mexico St Away L 62-73
1/17 246 Missouri KC Home W 74-73
1/19 351 Chicago St Home W 86-73
1/24 204 Cal Baptist Away W 88-84
1/29 No Rank UC Santa Cruz Home W 81-54
2/2 123 Grand Canyon Home L 59-72
2/7 48 New Mexico St Home L 70-71
2/9 162 UTRGV Home L 74-79
2/14 351 Chicago St Away W 75-62
2/16 246 Missouri KC Away L 67-75
2/23 204 Cal Baptist Home L 58-72
3/2 123 Grand Canyon Away L 69-73
3/7 188 Seattle Away L 57-63
3/9 88 Utah Valley Away L 61-76
3/14 162 UTRGV Neutral L 70-85