CUSA Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Conference USA projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the CUSA are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

CUSA Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Old Dominion 26 8 26 8 13 5 13 5
2 WKU 20 14 20 14 11 7 11 7
3 Southern Miss 19 12 19 12 11 7 11 7
4 UT San Antonio 17 15 17 15 11 7 11 7
5 UAB 20 14 20 14 10 8 10 8
6 Marshall 19 14 19 14 11 7 11 7
7 Florida Intl 19 13 19 13 10 8 10 8
8 Louisiana Tech 20 13 20 13 9 9 9 9
9 FL Atlantic 17 15 17 15 8 10 8 10
10 North Texas 21 12 21 12 8 10 8 10
11 Rice 13 19 13 19 8 10 8 10
12 MTSU 11 21 11 21 8 10 8 10
13 Charlotte 8 21 8 21 5 13 5 13
14 UTEP 8 21 8 21 3 15 3 15

Projected CUSA Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Conference USA. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Old Dominion 13 2.734

Projected CUSA Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Conference USA standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Old Dominion 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
WKU 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Southern Miss 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
UT San Antonio 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
UAB 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Marshall 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Florida Intl 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Louisiana Tech 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
FL Atlantic 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
MTSU 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UTEP 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

CUSA Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Conference USA Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Although there are fourteen teams in Conference USA, only the top twelve teams from the regular season make the tournament.

Regular Season Champion: Old Dominion
Tournament Site: Ford Center at The Star (Frisco, TX)
First Round: March 13th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Old Dominion
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
WKU
100%
100%
100%
0%
3
Southern Miss
100%
100%
0%
0%
4
UT San Antonio
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
UAB
100%
100%
0%
0%
6
Marshall
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Florida Intl
0%
0%
0%
0%
8
Louisiana Tech
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
FL Atlantic
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
North Texas
100%
0%
0%
0%
11
Rice
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
MTSU
0%
0%
0%
0%

CUSA Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC