CUSA Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Conference USA projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the CUSA are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

CUSA Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 MTSU 24 7 24 7 16 3 16 3
2 Old Dominion 25 7 25 7 16 4 16 4
3 WKU 24 10 24 10 16 5 16 5
4 Marshall 24 10 24 10 15 6 15 6
5 UT San Antonio 19 14 19 14 12 8 12 8
6 UAB 20 13 20 13 11 9 11 9
7 North Texas 15 17 15 17 8 11 8 11
8 Florida Intl 14 18 14 18 8 11 8 11
9 Southern Miss 16 18 16 18 9 12 9 12
10 Louisiana Tech 17 16 17 16 8 12 8 12
11 FL Atlantic 12 19 12 19 6 13 6 13
12 UTEP 11 20 11 20 6 13 6 13
13 Rice 7 24 7 24 4 14 4 14
14 Charlotte 6 23 6 23 2 16 2 16

Projected CUSA Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Conference USA. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Marshall 13 2.224
MTSU Next 4 Out 4.881

CUSA Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Conference USA Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each CUSA team. Although there are fourteen teams in Conference USA, only the top twelve teams from the regular season make the tournament.

Regular Season Champion: MTSU
Tournament Site: Ford Center at The Star (Frisco, TX)
First Round: March 8th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 9th, 2018
Semifinals: March 10th, 2018
Finals: March 11th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
MTSU
100%
0%
0%
0%
2
Old Dominion
100%
100%
0%
0%
3
WKU
100%
100%
100%
0%
4
Marshall
100%
100%
100%
100%
5
UT San Antonio
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
UAB
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
North Texas
0%
0%
0%
0%
8
Florida Intl
0%
0%
0%
0%
9
Southern Miss
100%
100%
0%
0%
10
Louisiana Tech
100%
0%
0%
0%
11
FL Atlantic
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
UTEP
0%
0%
0%
0%

CUSA Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC